- Victorian state election, 2010
-
Victorian state election, 2010 
2006 ← 27 November 2010 → 2014 All 88 seats in the Victorian Legislative Assembly
and all 40 seats in the Victorian Legislative CouncilFirst party Second party 
Leader Ted Baillieu John Brumby Party Liberal/National coalition Labor Leader since 8 May 2006 30 July 2007 Leader's seat Hawthorn Broadmeadows Last election 32 seats 55 seats Seats won 45 seats 43 seats Seat change 
13
12Percentage 51.58% 48.42% Swing 5.965.96
Premier before election
Premier after election
Ted Baillieu
Liberal/National coalitionThe 2010 Victorian state election was held on 27 November. The incumbent centre-left Australian Labor Party government, led by John Brumby, was defeated by the centre-right Liberal/National Coalition opposition, led by Ted Baillieu.
Victoria has compulsory voting and uses preferential ballot in single-member seats for the Legislative Assembly, and single transferable vote in multi-member seats for the proportionally represented Legislative Council. The election was conducted by the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC).
Contents
Results
Legislative Assembly
See also: Post-election pendulum for the Victorian state election, 2010
Lower house seat outcome of the Victorian 2010 election
Victorian state election, 2010[1]
Legislative Assembly
<< 2010 — 2014 >>Enrolled Voters 3,582,232 Votes Cast 3,329,865 Turnout 92.96 +0.23 Informal Votes 165,134 Informal 4.96 +0.40 Summary of votes by party Party Primary Votes % Swing Seats Change Liberal 1,203,654 38.03 +3.59 35 +12 Labor 1,147,348 36.25 –6.81 43 –12 Greens 354,697 11.21 +1.17 0 ±0 National 213,492 6.75 +1.58 10 +1 Family First 72,354 2.29 –2.00 0 ±0 Country Alliance 42,938 1.36 +1.36 0 ±0 Democratic Labor 28,176 0.89 +0.89 0 ±0 Sex Party 17,252 0.55 +0.55 0 ±0 Socialist Alliance 1,787 0.06 +0.02 0 ±0 Christian Democrats 636 0.02 +0.02 0 ±0 Other 82,395 2.60 +0.31 0 –1 Total 3,164,729 88 Two-Party Preferred Coalition 51.58 +5.96 Labor 48.42 –5.96 The new Liberal/National government was sworn in on 2 December 2010.[2] Daniel Andrews replaced Brumby as Labor leader on 3 December.[3]
Legislative Council
Votes Cast 3,328,866 Turnout 92.93 Informal Votes 112,052 Informal 3.37 Party Primary Votes % Seats Liberal/National Coalition 1,388,083 43.15 21 Australian Labor Party 1,137,629 35.37 16 Australian Greens 386,241 12.01 3 Other 304,861 9.47 0 Total 3,216,814 40 In the 40-member upper house where all members are up for re-election every term, the Coalition won a majority with 21 seats, 16 seats to Labor and 3 to the Greens.[4][5]
Seats changing hands
Seat Pre-2010 Swing Post-2010 Party Member Margin Margin Member Party Bentleigh Labor Rob Hudson 6.3 -7.1 0.8 Elizabeth Miller Liberal Burwood Labor Bob Stensholt 3.7 -9.6 5.9 Graham Watt Liberal Carrum Labor Jenny Lindell 6.7 -8.7 2.0 Donna Bauer Liberal Forest Hill Labor Kirstie Marshall 0.8 -3.9 3.2 Neil Angus Liberal Frankston Labor Alistair Harkness 3.2 -5.3 2.1 Geoff Shaw Liberal Gembrook Labor Tammy Lobato 0.7 -7.5 6.8 Brad Battin Liberal Gippsland East ¶ Independent Craig Ingram 9.1 -21.1 12.0 Tim Bull National Mitcham Labor Tony Robinson 2.0 -4.7 2.8 Dee Ryall Liberal Mordialloc Labor Janice Munt 3.5 -5.6 2.1 Lorraine Wreford Liberal Mount Waverley Labor Maxine Morand 0.3 -7.8 7.4 Michael Gidley Liberal Prahran Labor Tony Lupton 3.6 -7.8 4.3 Clem Newton-Brown Liberal Seymour Labor Ben Hardman 6.7 -7.9 1.2 Cindy McLeish Liberal South Barwon Labor Michael Crutchfield 4.1 -6.2 3.9 Andrew Katos Liberal ¶ In 2006, the final Gippsland East 2PP count included Independent and Liberal, however in 2010 the final 2PP count included Independent and Nationals
Campaign
See also: Candidates of the Victorian state election, 2010
The Coalition launched their campaign on 14 November 2010 at the Melbourne Convention and Exhibition Centre in the electoral district of Melbourne, with the slogan: "Fix the problems. Build the future." Labor launched their campaign on 16 November 2010 in the electoral district of Bendigo East, using the slogan: "For the times ahead." The Greens ran with the slogan "This time, I'm voting Green".
The Liberal and National Parties contested the election as a Coalition. They had not done so since the previous agreement lapsed in 2000.[6] The Liberal Party departed from tradition and preferenced the Greens last instead of above Labor. Without Liberal preferences, the chances of the Greens winning up to four inner city seats from Labor were decreased.[7]
Background
See also: Results and maps of the Victorian state election, 2006See also: Post-election pendulum for the Victorian state election, 2006Labor led by Steve Bracks came to power as a minority government at the 1999 election, defeating the incumbent Jeff Kennett Liberal/National Coalition government. Labor was returned with a majority government after a landslide win at the 2002 election. Labor was elected for a third term at the 2006 election with a substantial but reduced majority. Labor won 55 of the 88 seats up for election, a decrease of 7, and 54.4 percent of the two-party preferred vote, a decrease of 3.4 percent. Brumby replaced Bracks as Labor leader and Premier of Victoria in 2007.
Between the 2006 and 2010 elections, four by-elections were held; in Bracks' seat of Williamstown and former Deputy Premier John Thwaites' seat of Albert Park in 2007, former minister Andre Haermeyer's seat of Kororoit in 2008, and former minister Lynne Kosky's seat of Altona in 2010. All four seats were retained by Labor. Labor MP Craig Langdon resigned from his seat of Ivanhoe in August 2010, however the by-election writ was discharged by the Parliamentary Speaker due to the proximity of the state election coupled with the cost of holding a by-election.[8]
Key dates
Terms are fixed at four years. Elections occur in line with the fixed term provisions laid out in the Electoral Act 2002.[9]
Key dates for the election were:[10]
- 2 November: Dissolution of Parliament and lodgement of election writs
- 9 November: Close of rolls
- 11 November: Close of nominations for party candidates
- 12 November: Close of nominations for independents
- 15 November: Early voting commences
- 25 November: Close of postal voting
- 26 November: Early voting closes
- 27 November: Election day (polls open 8am to 6pm)
Retiring MPs
Labor
- Peter Batchelor MLA (Thomastown)
- Bob Cameron MLA (Bendigo West)
- Carlo Carli MLA (Brunswick)
- Judy Maddigan MLA (Essendon)
- Karen Overington MLA (Ballarat West)
- George Seitz MLA (Keilor)
Liberal
- Helen Shardey MLA (Caulfield)
- John Vogels MLC (Western Victoria Region)
National
- Ken Jasper MLA (Murray Valley)
Polling
Polling conducted by Newspoll and published in The Australian is performed via random telephone number selection in city and country areas. Sampling sizes usually consist of over 1000 electors, with the declared margin of error at ±3 percent.
Better Premier ratings^ Labor
BrumbyLiberal
Baillieu2010 election – – 23 – 25 Nov 2010 48% 38% 9 – 11 Nov 2010 50% 36% Sep – Oct 2010 49% 31% Jul – Aug 2010 52% 27% May – Jun 2010 47% 31% Mar – Apr 2010 49% 29% Jan – Feb 2010 51% 29% Nov – Dec 2009 54% 26% Sep – Oct 2009 52% 27% Jul – Aug 2009 52% 27% May – Jun 2009 54% 21% Jan – Feb 2009 54% 22% Nov – Dec 2008 49% 27% Sep – Oct 2008 45% 27% Jul – Aug 2008 48% 26% May – Jun 2008 51% 28% Mar – Apr 2008 49% 23% Jan – Feb 2008 48% 25% Nov – Dec 2007 51% 22% Sep – Oct 2007 51% 25% 2006 election – – 22 – 23 Nov 2006 53%1 30% Polling conducted by Newspoll
and published in The Australian.
1 Steve Bracks.
^ Remainder were "uncommitted" to either leader.Legislative Assembly (lower house) opinion polling Primary vote 2PP vote ALP LIB NAT GRN OTH ALP L/NP 2010 election 36.3% 38.1% 6.7% 11.2% 7.7% 48.4% 51.6% 23 – 25 Nov 2010 33% 40% 5% 15% 7% 48.9% 51.1% 9 – 11 Nov 2010 37% 39% 5% 14% 5% 51% 49% Sep – Oct 2010 35% 36% 4% 19% 6% 52% 48% Jul – Aug 2010 38% 32% 4% 17% 9% 55% 45% May – Jun 2010 34% 36% 4% 18% 8% 51% 49% Mar – Apr 2010 37% 38% 3% 14% 8% 52% 48% Jan – Feb 2010 39% 36% 3% 14% 8% 54% 46% Nov – Dec 2009 41% 32% 3% 14% 10% 57% 43% Sep – Oct 2009 43% 32% 3% 15% 7% 57% 43% Jul – Aug 2009 43% 35% 2% 12% 8% 56% 44% May – Jun 2009 42% 34% 3% 14% 7% 56% 44% Jan – Feb 2009 46% 31% 2% 15% 6% 60% 40% Nov – Dec 2008 45% 34% 3% 13% 5% 57% 43% Sep – Oct 2008 37% 37% 4% 15% 7% 51% 49% Jul – Aug 2008 41% 34% 4% 12% 9% 54% 46% May – Jun 2008 41% 35% 3% 14% 7% 55% 45% Mar – Apr 2008 44% 33% 3% 12% 8% 58% 42% Jan – Feb 2008 43% 34% 3% 12% 8% 56% 44% Nov – Dec 2007 51% 31% 3% 9% 6% 60% 40% Sep – Oct 2007 49% 36% 4% 6% 5% 56% 44% 2006 election 43.1% 34.4% 5.2% 10.0% 7.3% 54.4% 45.6% 22 – 23 Nov 2006 45% 32% 5% 9% 9% 56% 44% Polling conducted by Newspoll and published in The Australian. Sky News exit polls in marginal seats recorded a Coalition 54-46 Labor result.[11]
Newspaper endorsements
Dailies Sundays Newspaper Endorsement Newspaper Endorsement The Age Labor[12] The Sunday Age Labor[13] The Australian Labor[14] The Weekend Australian The Australian Financial Review Labor[15] The Herald Sun Labor[16] Sunday Herald Sun Labor[17] References
- ^ State Election 2010 interim results (Victorian Electoral Commission), accessed 11 December 2010.
- ^ Baillieu sworn in as Premier: ABC 2 December 2010
- ^ Daniel Andrews new Victorian Labor leader: The Australian 4 December 2010
- ^ Upper house summary: ABC
- ^ Coalition wins Upper House majority: ABC 14 December 2010
- ^ Best, Catherine (2008-02-11). "Coalition reunites in Victoria". http://news.smh.com.au/national/coalition-reunites-in-victoria-20080211-1ri4.html. Retrieved 2010-03-14.
- ^ Greens still hopeful of winning seats: ABC 15 November 2010
- ^ Speaker decides against Ivanhoe by-election, ABC News, 14 September 2010.
- ^ "Section 63, Electoral Act 2002". http://www.austlii.edu.au/au/legis/vic/consol_act/ea2002103/s63.html. Retrieved 2010-09-06.
- ^ "2010 Victorian state election information: VEC". Vec.vic.gov.au. 2010-08-20. http://www.vec.vic.gov.au/Vote/vote-stateelectioninfo.html#3. Retrieved 2010-11-28.
- ^ "'Swing is on' as voters turn against Labor: ABC News 27 November 2010". Abc.net.au. http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2010/11/27/3078347.htm. Retrieved 2010-11-28.
- ^ "Leaders have delivered a choice between clear alternatives". Melbourne: The Age. 26 November 2010. http://www.theage.com.au/opinion/editorial/leaders-have-delivered-a-choice-between-clear-alternatives-20101125-1891e.html. Retrieved 2010-11-27.
- ^ "Labor? Liberal? What difference would it make?". Melbourne: The Sunday Age. 21 November 2010. http://www.theage.com.au/opinion/editorial/labor-liberal-what-difference-would-it-make-20101120-181vc.html. Retrieved 2010-11-27.
- ^ "The compelling case for a vote against complacency". The Australian. 26 November 2010. http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/opinion/the-compelling-case-for-a-vote-against-complacency/story-e6frg71x-1225961115335. Retrieved 2010-11-27.
- ^ "Brumby earns another term". The Australian Financial Review. 26 November 2010. http://afr.com/p/opinion/brumby_earns_another_term_1oU3IvkJOeK6wsKI9GF1xH. Retrieved 2010-11-27.
- ^ "A tight contest between clones". The Herald Sun. 26 November 2010. http://www.heraldsun.com.au/opinion/editorials/a-tight-contest-between-clones/story-e6frfhqo-1225961181470. Retrieved 2010-11-27.
- ^ "Victoria deserves strong leadership from next state government". Sunday Herald Sun. 21 November 2010. http://www.heraldsun.com.au/opinion/editorials/victoria-deserves-strong-leadership-from-next-state-government/story-e6frfhqo-1225957487337. Retrieved 2010-11-27.
Elections in VictoriaGeneral elections 1856 · 1859 · 1861 · 1864 · 1866 · 1868 · 1871 · 1874 · 1877 · 1880 (Feb) · 1880 (Jul) · 1883 · 1886 · 1889 · 1892 · 1894 · 1897 · 1900 · 1902 · 1904 · 1907 · 1908 · 1911 · 1914 · 1917 · 1920 · 1921 · 1924 · 1927 · 1929 · 1932 · 1935 · 1937 · 1940 · 1943 · 1945 · 1947 · 1950 · 1952 · 1955 · 1958 · 1961 · 1964 · 1967 · 1970 · 1973 · 1976 · 1979 · 1982 · 1985 · 1988 · 1992 · 1996 · 1999 · 2002 · 2006 · 2010 · 2014 · by-electionsPolitics of Australia Commonwealth Queen · Governor-General · Prime Minister · Cabinet · Executive Council · Ministry · Foreign relations
Parliament · Senate · House of Representatives · Opposition Leader
High Court · Lower courts
Constitution Act · Statute of Westminster · Australia Act
Federal elections State/territory governments State/Territorial elections Most
recentNSW (2011 election) · Vic (2010 election) · Qld (2009 election) · WA (2008 election) · SA (2010 election) · Tas (2010 election) · ACT (2008 election) · NT (2008 election)
NextLocal government Political parties Categories:- Elections in Victoria (Australia)
- 2010 elections in Australia
Wikimedia Foundation. 2010.
