- Northern Territory general election, 2012
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Northern Territory general election, 2012 
2008 ← By 25 August 2012 
Leader Paul Henderson Terry Mills Party Labor Country Liberal Party Leader since 26 November 2007 29 January 2008 Leader's seat Wanguri Blain Last election 12 seats 12 seats Seats needed 
112PP @ 2008 49.3% 50.7%
Incumbent Chief Minister
The Next Northern Territory general election will elect members of the Legislative Assembly in the unicameral Northern Territory Parliament. All 25 seats in the Legislative Assembly whose current members were elected at the 2008 election will become vacant. The Northern Territory parliament elects members through instant-runoff voting in single-member electorates. The election will be conducted by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission, an independent body answerable to Parliament.
Contents
Parties
The Australian Labor Party, led by Chief Minister Paul Henderson, and the Country Liberal Party, led by Opposition Leader Terry Mills, are the two main parties in the Northern Territory. In the 2008 general election, of 25 seats total, Labor won 13 seats, the Liberals won 11 seats, with one seat held by independent Gerry Wood.
In October 2010, former CLP leader Jodeen Carney resigned in her seat of Araluen. A by-election was held where the CLP retained the seat, but suffered a significant swing of 6.7 against them.
Date
The Henderson Labor government introduced fixed four-year terms following the previous election. The next election is due on the fourth Saturday in August 2012.[1]
In mid-2009, Alison Anderson resigned from the Labor Party to sit as an independent member of parliament. Anderson along with the existing independent Gerry Wood signed a letter to the speaker of parliament to push sittings forward, in which the CLP leader put forth a motion of no confidence on Monday 10 August 2009, to be voted on in a few days.[2][3][4] Wood ended up voting with the government, defeating the motion of no confidence.[5]
Anderson joined the CLP in September 2011. [6]
Current pendulum
The following pendulum is known as the Mackerras Pendulum, invented by psephologist Malcolm Mackerras. The pendulum works by lining up all of the seats held in the Legislative Assembly according to the percentage point margin they are held by on a two party preferred basis. This is also known as the swing required for the seat to change hands. Given a uniform swing to the opposition or government parties, the number of seats that change hands can be predicted.
LABOR SEATS Marginal Fannie Bay Michael Gunner ALP 1.1 Daly Robert Knight ALP 5.6 Fairly safe Johnston Chris Burns ALP 8.1 Safe Nightcliff Jane Aagaard ALP 10.7 Karama Delia Lawrie ALP 10.8 Arafura Marion Scrymgour ALP 14.0 Casuarina Kon Vatskalis ALP 14.2 Wanguri Paul Henderson ALP 14.9 Stuart Karl Hampton ALP 15.1 Barkly Gerry McCarthy ALP 15.6 Very safe Nhulunbuy Lynne Walker ALP 24.2 Arnhem Malarndirri McCarthy ALP Unopp INDEPENDENT SEATS Nelson Gerry Wood IND 28.7 COUNTRY LIBERAL SEATS Marginal Fong Lim Dave Tollner CLP 2.1 Brennan Peter Chandler CLP 2.6 Port Darwin John Elferink CLP 2.8 Fairly safe Sanderson Peter Styles CLP 6.4 Goyder Kezia Purick CLP 8.4 Katherine Willem W-V-Holthe CLP 8.4 Safe Drysdale Ross Bohlin CLP 10.1 Blain Terry Mills CLP 11.6 Greatorex Matt Conlan CLP 16.5 Araluen Robyn Lambley CLP 18.0 Very safe Braitling Adam Giles CLP 20.3 MacDonnell Alison Anderson CLP Unopp References
- ^ "Fixed Term Parliaments face test in Northern Territory: ABC Antony Green 4/8/2009". Blogs.abc.net.au. 4 August 2009. http://blogs.abc.net.au/antonygreen/2009/08/fixed-term-parliaments-face-test-in-northern-territory.html. Retrieved 3 February 2011.
- ^ "D-Day brought forward: Northern Territory News 7/8/2009". Ntnews.com.au. 7 August 2009. http://www.ntnews.com.au/article/2009/08/07/73421_ntnews.html. Retrieved 3 February 2011.
- ^ "NT Labor may be ousted next week: ABC News 7/8/2009". Abc.net.au. 7 August 2009. http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2009/08/07/2649483.htm. Retrieved 3 February 2011.
- ^ "Labor's fate uncertain: The Age 11/8/09". Theage.com.au. 11 August 2009. http://www.theage.com.au/national/labors-fate-uncertain-20090810-efl9.html. Retrieved 3 February 2011.
- ^ 14 August 2009 11:42 am (14 August 2009). "Labor survives D-day in NT showdown: The Australian 14/8/2009". Theaustralian.news.com.au. http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,25927928-5006790,00.html. Retrieved 3 February 2011.
- ^ http://www.ntnews.com.au/article/2011/09/09/259011_ntnews.html
External links
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