Iranian presidential election, 2009

Iranian presidential election, 2009
Iranian presidential election, 2009
Iran
2005 ←
 12 June 2009
 → 2013
  Mahmoud Ahmadinejad 2009.jpg Mir Hossein Mousavi in Zanjan by Mardetanha.jpg
Nominee Mahmoud Ahmadinejad Mir-Hossein Mousavi
Party Abadgaran Independent Reformist
Popular vote 24,592,793 13,338,121
Percentage 64.22% 33.86%

2009 Iranian Votes.png
Map showing the provinces of Iran.
Red provinces voted for Ahmadinejad and
Green provinces voted for Mousavi.
President before election

Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
Abadgaran

 Elected President

Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
Abadgaran

Iran's tenth presidential election was held on 12 June 2009,[1][2] with incumbent Mahmoud Ahmadinejad running against three challengers. The next morning the Islamic Republic News Agency, Iran's official news agency, announced that with two-thirds of the votes counted, Ahmadinejad had won the election with 62% of the votes cast,[3] and that Mir-Hossein Mousavi had received 34% of the votes cast.[4][5] The European Union,[6] the United Kingdom[7] the United States, and several western countries expressed concern over alleged irregularities during the vote,[6] and many analysts and journalists from the United States, Europe and other western based media voiced doubts about the authenticity of the results.[8][9][10][11] Meanwhile many OIC member states, as well as Russia, China, India, and Brazil congratulated Ahmadinejad on his victory.

Mousavi issued a statement saying, "I'm warning that I won't surrender to this charade," and urged his supporters to fight the decision, without committing acts of violence.[9] Protests, in favour of Mousavi and against the alleged fraud, broke out in Tehran. Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei urged the nation to unite behind Ahmadinejad, labeling his victory as a "divine assessment".[12] Mousavi lodged an official appeal against the result to the Guardian Council on 14 June.[13] On 15 June, Khamenei announced there would be an investigation into vote-rigging claims, which would take seven to ten days.[14] On 16 June, the Guardian Council announced it would recount disputed votes. However, Mousavi stated that 14 million unused ballots were missing, giving a chance to manipulate the results.[15] On 29 June, Iran's electoral board completed the partial recount and concluded that Ahmadinejad had won the election; this was protested by opposition parties.[16]

The President of Iran is the highest official elected by direct popular vote, but does not control foreign policy or the armed forces. Candidates are vetted by the Guardian Council, a twelve member body consisting of six clerics (selected by Iran's Supreme Leader) and six lawyers (proposed by the head of Iran's judicial system and elected by Parliament).[17]

Mahmoud Ahmadinejad was sworn into his second term in office on 5 August, in an inauguration ceremony that was boycotted by many opposition leaders.[18]

Contents

Background

Ahmadinejad became President of Iran after the 2005 election. The losing candidates at that time claimed irregularities at the polls, but the charges were not investigated.[12] A formal protest to the Guardian Council was made and the group dismissed it without comment.[19] His victory had surprised most observers of the campaign.[20] At that time the reformist camp had mostly either boycotted elections entirely or held back out of disillusionment with past lack of progress.[21] The voting for the 2009 election was scheduled for 12 June 2009 and ended up being extended until midnight that day because the turnout was unexpectedly high.[17] Voting ended up proceeding four hours longer than originally scheduled.[22]

The President is elected by direct vote, however candidates for the presidency must be approved by the 12-member Council of Guardians. Candidates need to win a majority (more than half) to become President. Iran has a two-round system: if none of the candidates wins the majority in the first round, the top two candidates will go to a run-off. The first round was held on 12 June 2009; the run-off would have been held one week later, on 19 June 2009.[23] All Iranian citizens of age 18 and up are eligible to vote. Both the Iranian Center for Statistics and the Iranian Ministry of the Interior have stated that there are around 46.2 million eligible voters.[24]

Candidates

Iran

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On 20 May 2009, the Guardian Council officially announced a list of approved candidates, while rejecting a number of registered nominees.[25] Only four candidates were approved by the Guardian Council, out of the 476 men and women who had applied to seek the presidency of Iran in the 2009 election.[26]

Approved candidates

Conservatives[citation needed]
Reformists[citation needed]

Rejected candidates

Conservatives
  • Rafat Bayat, female Majlis representative from Zanjan[27]
Independents
  • Akbar Alami, former Majlis representative from Tabriz[28][29]
  • Ghasem Sholeh-Saadi, former Majlis representative[30]

Withdrawn candidates

Declined candidates

The following people were said to be possible candidates in the election, but did not register within the five days allowed for registration.[32] Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, former President and chairman of the Assembly of Experts, would have been over 75 years old on the election day and therefore ineligible to run by election law.

Conservatives
Reformists

Campaign

Background

Further information: Mir-Hossein Mousavi presidential campaign, 2009, Domestic criticism of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, and Major events in the Iranian reform movement
Mir-Hossein Mousavi's campaign in Tabriz, 10 June 2009.

The incumbent was Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. The Iranian reform movement attempted to unite behind a single candidate; former President Mohammad Khatami had been the leading opponent to Ahmadinejad in some opinion polls until he withdrew and endorsed former Prime Minister Mir-Hossein Mousavi.[39] Former Speaker of the Majlis Mehdi Karroubi, another Reformist, was also running, as was former Commander of Iranian Revolutionary Guard, Mohsen Rezaee, a Conservative with a reputation of political pragmatism.[24] The election marked a return to the public spotlight for Mousavi, who had not received much attention since he served as Prime Minister in the 1980s.[40] Reformist opinions galvanized around him as the election grew nearer.[17] He became the symbol for a groundswell of youthful democratic sentiment, despite his personal background and his political views.[41]

The Telegraph has described the campaign as "unusually open by Iranian standards, but also highly acrimonious."[10] It was marked by heated rhetoric between the incumbent and his challengers. Mousavi and two other candidates said Ahmadinejad had lied about the state of the economy, which was suffering from high inflation and a fall in oil revenues from last year's record levels. Ahmadinejad responded by comparing his opponents to Adolf Hitler, adding that they could be jailed for their comments. "No one has the right to insult the president, and they did it. And this is a crime. The person who insulted the president should be punished, and the punishment is jail... Such insults and accusations against the government are a return to Hitler's methods, to repeat lies and accusations... until everyone believes those lies," Ahmadinejad said.[40]

Debates about the economy played the biggest role in the campaign, with the global economic recession looming in people's minds.[24] About one in five Iranians live under the poverty line, inflation is at about 25 percent, and unemployment is at over 12.5 percent[42] (some unofficial estimates report it as 30 percent).[15] Mousavi advocated further privatization of the economy towards a free market with a tight monetary policy in comparison to Ahmadinejad's populist fiscal policy, with Ahmadinejad making measures to fight poverty a key principle in his campaign.[20][43] Mousavi drew his electoral base from the middle and upper classes while Ahmadinejad drew support from the urban poor and rural residents.[24] Civil servants, police officers, pensioners, and others dependent on the government also contributed to Ahmadinejad's base.[44] He made financial support from the business class against him into a theme of attack.[42] BBC News has described his campaign as "one that foresees the death of capitalism".[9]

Mousavi also criticized Ahmadinejad for diplomatically isolating Iran by denying the Holocaust and making anti-Western speeches. He opposed the government's current strict enforcement of Islamic dress and social behavior as well,[43] calling for an end to the regime's 'Vice Police'.[45] He advocated letting private individuals and groups own Iranian media.[20] Both candidates strongly supported further development of the Iranian nuclear program.[43] However, Mousavi advocated a less combative and tense tone with other nations about the program.[40] He also floated the idea of an international consortium overseeing uranium enrichment in Iran.[20] The BBC stated about Mousavi that "[i]n foreign affairs, he seems to be offering little change on major issues".[24] Council on Foreign Relations Senior Fellow Mohamad Bazzi has stated that "[i]f Mousavi wins, it could create a new opening for dialogue with the United States. Ahmadinejad's continued presence would be a major obstacle".[17] Robert Fisk has also remarked that a Mousavi victory would mean closer ties to the U.S.[20]

The campaign was the most expensive in the Islamic republic's history, with the two main candidates spending more than tens of millions of dollars in bid to convince voters to support them. Funds were spent on, among other things, a mass distribution of computerized propaganda, such as CDs and DVDs. Another interesting phenomenon which took place during the campaign was a dramatic rise in the number of text messages sent to Iranian cell phone subscribers, from 60 million messages a day to some 110 million.[42] Mousavi adopted the traditional Islamic color, green, as a campaign symbol. Young male supporters wore green ribbons tied around their wrists and young female supporters wore green headscarves. Activists used the term 'Change' as his main slogan, chanting phrases such as "Green change for Iran", "Together for change", and "Vote for change".[46]

Debates

Between 2 and 8 June 2009 Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting broadcast nightly debates on TV channel IRIB 3 between two candidates at a time, with each candidate facing the others once. This was the first time Iran had held televised debates between candidates.[47] Each debate lasted for around one and a half hours. During the debate on 3 June between President Ahmadinejad and reformist rival, former Prime Minister Mousavi, Ahmadinejad made accusations regarding former presidents Mohammad Khatami and Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani and the Iranian Revolution. Rafsanjani responded to these charges on 9 June in an open letter to Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei requesting that he step in to rebuke Ahmadinejad for his comments at the debate.[48][49]

Polling

The opinion polls in Iran have been considered unreliable.[50][51] A number of polls conducted between relatively small voting groups, like university students and workers, have been reported as election propaganda. More general polls reported in the media do not state the polling organization nor the basic facts about the methodology. The results show a high variance and depend heavily on who is reporting the poll.[50][51] In 2002, the polling organization Ayandeh and another polling organization was closed and its directors were arrested.[52] The director of Ayandeh, Abbas Abdi, spent several years in prison.[53]

Mousavi's and Karroubi's campaign posters in Tehran claimed that a high turnout would reduce Ahmadinejad's chance of winning the election.[46] Karroubi's campaign manager, Gholamhossein Karbaschi, claimed that the chance of Ahmadinejad losing the election would be over 65 percent if over 32 million people voted, but less than 35 percent if less than 27 million people voted.[46]

An independent poll, conducted by Terror Free Tomorrow: The Center for Public Opinion, a nonprofit institute that researches attitudes toward extremism, found that Ahmadinejad was leading by a margin of 2 to 1. 34% said they would vote for Ahmadinejad, 14% favored Mousavi, 2% favored Karroubi, 1% favored Rezaee and 27% were undecided. The poll was taken from 11 May to 20 May. The poll was carried out by a company whose work for ABC News and the BBC in the Middle East has received an Emmy award. Polling itself was funded by the Rockefeller Brothers Fund. Writing in the Washington Post, pollsters Ken Ballen and Patrick Doherty have used this to suggest that Ahmadinejad's apparent victory might reflect the will of the Iranian people.[54] The poll was quoted by Reuters,[55] Khaleej Times[56] and Jim Muir of BBC News.[57] However, the Irish Times, while quoting the poll, also pointed out that it was taken three weeks before the election, and electoral campaigning in Iran is only allowed for a period of 30 days prior to the election date, which means this poll was conducted only one week into the campaigning.[58] Another critic of the poll, Mansoor Moaddel, pointed out that of "1,731 people contacted [by the poll], well over half either refused to participate (42.2%) or did not indicate a preferred candidate (15.6%)."[59] Though it is quite useful to mention here that the average response rate in US for such telephonic surveys doesn't exceed 30%.[60] This is while the minimum response rate for an opinion poll to be considered scientific by many leading academic journals is 50%.,[61][62]

A post-election national poll was conducted in late August and early September 2009 by the American polling agency, World Public Opinion, which is affiliated to the University of Maryland. Of the initial 46% respondents of the poll, 27% did not state their chosen candidate, 55% said that they had voted for Ahmadinejad. Both Mr Karroubi and Mr Rezai received minimal support. 87% of respondents replied that they had voted compared to 85% according to the official figures, which is within the margin of error provided. Also, the survey found that 62% of Iranians had "strong confidence" in the election result whilst 64% expressed a similar feeling towards the incumbent president. This finding almost exactly matches up with the proportion of the vote that Ahmadinejad received.[63]

Polls by Western Organizations

Polling organisation Date Poll details Candidate
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad Mehdi Karroubi Mir-Hossein Mousavi Mohsen Rezaee
ABC News and BBC
New America Foundation[64]		 May 11–20, 2009 Nationwide; 1001 people, error margin +/-3.1% (27% undecided); (59% satisfied, 23% unsatisfied) 34% 2% 14% 1%
Global Scan[65] June 2009 reported by International Peace Institute and Charney Research 56% 42%
University of Maryland[65] June 2009 reported by International Peace Institute and Charney Research 61% 37%
WPO (World Public Opinion)[66] Sept. 9, 2009 Post-election national poll;1003 respondents in 30 provinces 55% 1% 14% 3%
WPO (World Public Opinion)
On behalf of the Rockefeller Brothers Fund and the Calvert Foundation[67]		 Aug. 27- Sept. 10, 2009 Nationwide; stratified using provincial telephone area codes with random number generation. Around 83% of respondents reported some (21%) or a high level (62%) of confidence in the declared election results, while 13% percent reported little or no confidence in the results. 55%
49% (if new election held)		 Unknown 14%
13% (if new election held)		 Unknown
Charney Research[65] Aug. 30 - Sept. 7 2010 Nationwide, error margin +/-3.5%, ( the governments crackdown on post-election protests: 59% was correct, 19% went too far, 10% refused to answer). 58% 36%

Polls by Iranian Organizations

Polling organisation Date Poll details Candidate
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad Mehdi Karroubi Mir-Hossein Mousavi Mohsen Rezaee
Rahbord Danesh, reported by Tabnak[68] 5 March 2009 Nationwide 44% 7% 13% 0%
Worker's Statistical Institute[69] late March 2009 Nationwide survey of workers 36% 8% 52% Unknown
Rahbord Danesh, reported by Tabnak[68] 4 April 2009 Nationwide 40% 8% 24% 1%
Government[70] before 3 May 2009 Unknown 54% (45% in Tehran) Unknown 22% (29% in Tehran) Unknown
reported by Rajanews/Press TV[70][71] 3 May 2009–4 May 2009 62 cities 59% Unknown 22% Unknown
Rahbord Danesh, reported by Tabnak[68] 5 May 2009 Nationwide 38% 12% 32% 15%
Etemad-e-Melli[72] before 13 May 2009 Nationwide 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
reported by Ayandeh News[73] before 26 May 2009 10 major cities 34% Unknown 38% Unknown
reported by Ghalamnews
(official Mousavi website)[74]		 before 27 May 2009 1650 people 35% Unknown 54% Unknown
ISPA (Iranian Students Polling Association)[75] 29 May 2009 National, 11285 people 54.8 4.7 21.3 2.6
Young Journalists Club (IRIB affiliated)[76] before 30 May 2009 Nationwide; 30,000 people 2nd 3rd 1st 4th
Baznevis, reported by Tabnak[68] before 31 May 2009 Nationwide; 77,058 people 33% 3% 36% 27%
Aftab News, reported by Tabnak[68] before 31 May 2009 Nationwide; 18,391 people; (Who will you not vote for?) 28% 7% 62% 4%
Rahbord Danesh, reported by Tabnak[68] 31 May 2009 Nationwide 32% 6% 36% 27%
reported by Rajanews/Press TV[77] before 1 June 2009 major cities 53% Unknown 36% Unknown
Rahbord e Danesh, reported by Tabnak[78] before 3 June 2009 1743 people 29.5% 7.5% 37.5% 25.2%
reported by ILNA[79] before 5 June 2009 Nationwide 300,000 people 24.61% 10.72% 54.53% 10.14%
alleged Iranian government funded polls, leaked and reported by Newsweek[80] before 6 June 2009 nationwide 6-8 millions Unknown 16-18 millions Unknown
IRIB, reported by Alef[81] before 7 June 2009 more than 16,000 people, 30 major cities in each Province 62.7 Unknown 25.7 Unknown
reported by Alef[82] before 8 June 2009 Major cities 61.7 Unknown 28 Unknown
reported by Rooz Online[83] before 9 June 2009 Nationwide; 7900 people 23% Unknown 54%–57% Unknown
Rahbord e Danesh, reported by Tabnak[84] before 9 June 2009 1743 people 25.5% 6.1% 37.6% 30.8%
ISPA (Iranian Students Polling Association)[85] 10 June 2009 National 47 Unknown 31 Unknown

Irregularities

Two screenshots from IRINN, Iranian state-run television illustrating the apparent decrease in votes for candidate Mohsen Rezaee over a four hour period. The upper picture shows Rezaee with 633,048 votes at 09:47; the lower shows the same candidate with 587,913 votes at 13:53 later that day. Mohsen Rezaee's official website published the screenshots and stated that never during the vote counting in Iran had the counted votes of candidates dropped.[86]

Pre-election violence

On 1 June, a campaign office of Ahmadinejad's primary opponent, Mir-Hossein Mousavi, was torched. The office was located in the city of Qum, in northwest Iran. No group claimed responsibility for the attack. At the same time, it was reported that an assassination had been attempted against former president Mohammad Khatami by means of a bomb placed on an aircraft he was to board.[87]

Blocking of communications

Mobile phone communications were interrupted in Tehran on election day and the BBC has stated that "heavy electronic jamming" was being used to halt their broadcasts.[88] On 23 May 2009, the Iranian government temporarily blocked access to Facebook across the country. Gulfnews.com reported that this move was a response to the use of Facebook by candidates running against Ahmadinejad.[89] PC World reported that Mousavi's Facebook page had more than 6,600 supporters.[90] Access was restored by 26 May 2009.[91]

Alleged vote rigging or coup attempt

In an interview taken after third partial results were announced, Mohsen Makhmalbaf said he was told that there was to be a coup on Saturday.[92] Makhmalbaf also claimed to be Mousavi's official speaker, which was refuted by Mousavi's official site Ghalamnews. Makhmalbaf then claimed that Ghalamnews is hacked, which was refuted this time by Ghalamnews, Kaleme, and officials at Mousavi's campaign headquarter, which repeated that only these two sites and his campaign headquarter are reliable sources for Mousavi's position and people should not consider any other source as reliable.[93]

The New York Times quoted an employee of the Interior Ministry claiming that "the government had been preparing its fraud for weeks, purging anyone of doubtful loyalty and importing pliable staff members from around the country."[44] The New Yorker stated that "dissident employees of the Interior Ministry... have reportedly issued an open letter" saying that the election was stolen.[41] The Guardian has also mentioned "reports of a leaked interior ministry figures allegedly suggesting Mousavi had won", although the article questioned the credibility of the report.[14]

The Guardian reported on 17 June 2009 that an Iranian news website identified at least 30 polling sites with turnout over 100% and 200 sites with turnout over 95%.[94] On 21 June 2009, a spokesman from the Guardian Council (an organ of the Iranian government) stated that the number of votes cast exceeded the number of eligible voters in no more than 50 cities, something the Council argued was a normal phenomenon which had taken place in previous elections as people are not obliged to vote where registered (when they have been born).[95][96]

On 18 June, Iranian film makers Marjane Satrapi and Mohsen Makhmalbaf appeared before Green Party members in the European Parliament to present a document allegedly received from a member of the Iranian electoral commission claiming that that Mir Hossein Mousavi had actually won the election, and that the conservative incumbent Mahmoud Ahmedinejad had received only 12% of the vote.[97][98][99]

Result

Main article: Results of the Iranian presidential election, 2009
Iranian presidential election, 2009v · d · e
Party Candidate Votes Percentage
Alliance of Builders Mahmoud Ahmadinejad (inc.) 24,527,516 62.63%
Green Movement Mir-Hossein Mousavi 13,216,411 33.75%
Moderation and Development Mohsen Rezaee 678,240 1.73%
National Trust Mehdi Karroubi 333,635 0.85%
Valid votes 38,755,802 98.95%
Blank or invalid votes 409,389 1.05%
Totals 39,165,191 100.00%
Voter turnout 85%
Sources: Ministry of Interior of Iran[100]

Analysis

sample of ballot which was used in the Iranian presidential election

The published evidence supporting an election fraud may only show the possibility of an election fraud. Some of them are based on the unexpectedness of announced results by supporters of Mousavi. So far no credible evidence has been published which would indicate that a major fraud has happened in fact. Most of official objections to the election filed by Mousavi are related to issues before election [101][102] like misuse of government resources by Ahmadinejad in his election campaign. Several analysis has been published rejecting the claims that Ahmadinejad did not win the election.[103][104][105][106] A comprehensive analysis[107] by Eric A. Brill of claimed evidence published by Mousavi and other activists (including those listed below) has concluded that there are no grounds to suspect the occurrence of fraud. For example, Mousavi claimed that over 10 million people had voted without proper identification, but his official complaint mentioned only 31 such voters. Widespread ballot-box stuffing was alleged, but no single stuffed box has ever been identified. Buying and selling of votes was alleged, but Mousavi has identified only four instances, and failed to provide any evidence. Thousands or millions of Mousavi votes were claimed to have been thrown away and replaced by Ahmadinejad votes, but no one has identified any of the perpetrators, nor mentioned exactly where or how this was accomplished. Vote counts from the field, approved in writing by Mousavi's observers, were said to have been altered by the Interior Ministry, but nobody has identified a single ballot box ­where this occurred even though the data has long been available to compare the counts for all 45,692 ballot boxes.[107] Western polling organizations have repeated that the official result of election is consistent with their pre and post election polls.[108]

On the other hand, several supporters of green movement have continued to repeat the evidence supporting the alleged vote rigging. Reza Esfandiari and Yousef Bozorgmehr also maintain that the election data does comport to a natural outcome, allowing for some possible fraud at the local level.[109]

Mohtashami, former interior minister of Iran, who was in the election monitoring committee of Mousavi's campaign claimed that according to official censuses, the number of counted votes in 70 municipalities were more than the number of eligible voters who lived in those regions. In all those cities Ahmadinejad won by 80% to 90%[110] However, "excess votes" have been common in all Iranian elections partly due to the way eligible voters are counted. For example, the Interior Ministry based their calculation of eligible voters on birth certificate registrations. Iranians do not register to vote and hundreds of thousands regularly vote outside their own regions. Shemiran, which had the highest excess voter turnout (13 times the number of eligible voters), overwhelmingly voted for Mousavi.[107]

On 17 June, Tabnak, the news agency close to defeated candidate Mohsen Rezaei who got only 678,240 votes in the election stated that "Mohsen Rezaei, until yesterday afternoon, found evidence that proves at least 900,000 Iranians, who had sent in their national ID card numbers, voted for [him]." However, there is no way of independently verifying whether those who disclosed their ID numbers had actually voted for Rezaei.[111]

BBC Iranian affairs analyst Sadeq Saba found abnormalities in the way results were announced. Instead of results by province, the "results came in blocks of millions of votes," with very little difference between the blocks in the percentages going to each candidate. This suggested that Mahmoud Ahmadinejad did equally well in rural and urban areas, while his three opponents did equally badly in their home regions and provinces as in the rest of the country. This contradicted "all precedent in Iranian politics", where Ahmadinejad had been very popular in rural areas and unpopular in the big cities, where ethnic minorities had favored anti-establishment candidates, and where candidates had tended to carry their home provinces.[112]

Another anomaly, according to British-based researcher Ali Alizadeh, is that a large turnout did not favor the opposition, since in elections, both in Iran and abroad, "those who usually don’t vote, i.e. the silent majority, only come out when they want to change the status quo."[113]

According to modern Middle Eastern and South Asian historian Juan Cole, there were several anomalies in the election results. Official reports gave Ahmadinejad 50% of the vote in the city of Tabriz despite the fact that this was the capital of Mousavi's home province, Eastern Azerbaijan, where Mousavi's rallies were well attended and which has traditionally given good turnouts for even "minor presidential candidates" who came from the province. Ahmadinejad also won Tehran province by over 50%, but crucially lost to Mousavi in the actual city of Tehran and was also soundly beaten in the affluent suburb of Shemiran to the north of the capital.[citation needed]

Aftermath

Protests

Main article: 2009 Iranian election protests

Clashes broke out between police and groups protesting the election results from early morning on Saturday onward. Initially, the protests were largely peaceful. However, as time passed, they became increasingly violent. Some protesters began to get violent after the results of the election were announced. Angry crowds in Tehran broke into shops, tore down signs, and smashed windows.[114] Civil unrest took place as protesters set fire to tyres outside the Interior Ministry building and others formed a human chain of around 300 people to close off a major Tehran street.[22]

The demonstrations grew bigger and more heated than the 1999 student protests.[12] Al Jazeera English described the 13 June situation as the "biggest unrest since the 1979 revolution." It also reported that protests seemed spontaneous without any formal organization.[115] Two hundred people protested outside Iran's embassy in London on 13 June.[116] Ynet stated that "tens of thousands" protested on 13 June.[117] Demonstrators chanted phrases such as "Down with the dictator", "Death to the dictator", and "Give us our votes back".[9][117] Mousavi urged for calm and asked that his supporters refrain from acts of violence.[9]

Protesters in Tehran, 16 June

Ynet reported on 14 June that two people had died in the rioting so far.[117] That day, protests had been organized in front of the Iranian embassies in Turkey,[19] Dubai,[19] Paris,[118] Berlin,[118] London,[119] Rome,[120] Sydney,[121] Vienna[118] and The Hague.[122] In response to the reformist protests, tens of thousands of people rallied in Tehran on 14 June to support the victory of Ahmadinejad.[13]

On 15 June, Mousavi[123] rallied, with anywhere from hundreds of thousands[45] to three million,[124] of his supporters in Tehran, despite being warned by state officials that any such rally would be illegal. The demonstration, the largest in the Islamic Republic of Iran's 30-year history, was Mousavi's first public appearance after the election. Protests focused around Azadi Tower, around which lines of people stretched for more than nine kilometers met. Gunshots were reported to have been fired at the rally, where Mousavi had spoken to his supporters saying, "The vote of the people is more important than Mousavi or any other person."[19][45] All three opposition candidates appeared.[124]

Competing rallies for Mousavi and for Ahmadinejad took place on 16 June. The pro-Ahmadinejad protesters, chanting the phrases "Death to America!" and "Death to Israel!", outnumbered their opponents, but they did not match the numbers of opponents who had protested the day before. Reports from the state media and elsewhere stated on 16 June that seven people have died in all of the protests so far.[15][125] However, The Times quoted a Rasoul Akram Hospital nurse that day who asserted that 28 people have suffered from "bullet wounds" and eight have died so far.[126] Over half a million reformist Iranians marched silently from Haft-e-Tir Square to Vali Asr Square on 17 June. The National Iranian American Council stated that day that 32 people had died protesting so far.[45]

Government actions

Where is my vote? The motto used by demonstrators.

Arrests

See also: Law enforcement in Iran and Human rights in the Islamic Republic of Iran

On the weekend of 13 and 14 June, in a series of raids across Tehran, the government arrested over 170 people, according to police officials.[127] Among them were prominent reformist politicians, including MIRO founder Behzad Nabavi, IIPF leader Mohsen Mirdamadi, and former president Mohammad Khatami's brother Mohammad-Reza Khatami, who was later released.[6][128][129] Also arrested were Mostafa Tajzadeh and Mohsen Aminzadeh, whom the IRNA said were involved in orchestrating protests on 13 June.[129] Anonymous sources said that the police stormed the headquarters of the IIPF and arrested a number of people.[12][130] Iranian journalist Mashallah Shamsolvaezin claimed that Mousavi was put under house arrest, although officials denied this.[131] An estimated 200 people were detained after clashes with students at Tehran university, although many were later released.[132]

Acting Police Chief Ahmad-Reza Radan stated via the state press service on the 14th that “in the interrogation of related rebels, we intend to find the link between the plotters and foreign media".[133] A judiciary spokesman said they had not been arrested but that they were summoned, "warned not to increase tension," and later released.[134] Intelligence minister Gholam Hossein Mohseni-Ejehei linked some arrests to terrorism supported from outside Iran, stating that "more than 20 explosive consignments were discovered".[135] Others, he said, were "counter-revolutionary groups" who had "penetrated election headquarters" of the election candidates.[135]

On 16 June, Reuters reported that former vice-president Mohammad-Ali Abtahi and former presidential advisor Saeed Hajjarian had been arrested.[136] Human rights lawyer Abdolfattah Soltani, who had been demanding a recount of all votes, was also arrested on the Tuesday according to Shirin Ebadi, who said that security officials had posed as clients.[137] Over 100 students were arrested after security forces fired tear gas at protesters at Shiraz university on the same day.[132] Reporters Without Borders reported that 5 of 11 arrested journalists were still detention as of 16 June, and that a further 10 journalists were unaccounted for and may have been arrested.[132]

On 17 June, former foreign minister and secretary-general of the Freedom Movement of Iran, Ebrahim Yazdi, was arrested while undergoing tests at Pars hospital in Tehran.[132][138] He was held overnight in Evin Prison before being released and returning to hospital, where according to Human Rights Watch he remained under guard.[139][140] In Tabriz, other Freedom Movement activists and eight members of the IIPF were arrested, with reports of at least 100 civic figures' arrests.[132] The total number of arrests across Iran since the election was reported as 500.[132]

Aaron Rhodes, a spokesman for the international campaign for human rights in Iran, stated that "Iranian intelligence and security forces are using the public protests to engage in what appears to be a major purge of reform-oriented individuals whose situations in detention could be life-threatening".[132] In Isfahan Province, prosecutor-general Mohammadreza Habibi warned that dissidents could face execution under Islamic law.[141]

Censorship allegations

See also: Censorship in Iran and Communications in Iran
6th Day - Not My President.jpg

According to the Telegraph, on 14 June "Iran's regime was doing its utmost to choke off the flow of news from its capital."[142] Reporters from the Italian public television broadcaster RAI stated that one of its interpreters was beaten with clubs by riot police and the officers then confiscated the cameraman's tapes.[12] The Al Arabiya's offices in Tehran were closed on 14 June for a week by Iranian authorities, who gave no explanation for the decision.[143] Meanwhile, the director of BBC World Service accused the Iranian Government of jamming its broadcasts to the country. Peter Horrocks said audiences in Iran, the Middle East and Europe had been affected by an electronic block on satellites used to broadcast the BBC Persian Television signal to Iran, adding: "It seems to be part of a pattern of behaviour by the Iranian authorities to limit the reporting of the aftermath of the disputed election".[6][144]

Al Jazeera English leveled allegations of direct media censorship by the Iranian government, stating that "some of the newspapers have been given notices to change their editorials or their main headlines".[3] BBC correspondent John Simpson was arrested, his material confiscated, and then released.[145] NBC News offices in Tehran were raided, with cameras and other equipment confiscated. ABC News reporter Jim Sciutto also has had material taken. People from the German public broadcasters ZDF and ARD have been harassed as well, with men carrying batons and knives reportedly storming the ARD's Tehran office. A BBC corporate official has referred to the network's conflict with the regime as 'electronic warfare'.[45]

On 13 June 2009, when thousands of opposition supporters clashed with the police, Facebook was filtered again. Some news websites were also blocked by the Iranian authorities. Mobile phone services including text messaging also stopped or became very difficult to use.[115] Specifically, all websites affiliated with the BBC were shut off,[9] as were ones with The Guardian.[22] Associated Press labeled the actions "ominous measures apparently seeking to undercut liberal voices".[12] The restrictions were likely intended to prevent Mousavi's supporters from organizing large-scale protests.[134] The protesters used phone calls, e-mails and word of mouth to get around the measures.[19]

Ahmadinejad has responded to concerns by saying, "[d]on't worry about freedom in Iran... Newspapers come and go and reappear. Don't worry about it."[146] In response to the crackdown, anti-regime activists have repeatedly taken down Ahmadinejad's and Khamenei's websites. According to CNN, the United States State Department has worked with Twitter to expand the website's access in Iran.[45]

Recount

Due to protests, from the opposition, the Supreme Leader approved a partial recount of the results. The recount was random counting of 10% of the ballots. In order to create transparency, a 12 member council, showed the recount on television, and concluded that President Ahmadinejad still led Mousavi after the recount. After the recount, the Guardian council certified the election, and concluded no evidence of irregularities, and closed the dossier on the election.[147]

Scapegoats

The Iranian government has blamed the unrest on a variety of targets, including the Bahá'í Faith who have served as "canaries in the coal mine of Iran’s theocracy" as Iran's largest religious minority by their persecution and as "scapegoats".[148] The Speaker of the Iranian Parliament even claimed that BBC stands for Bahá'í Broadcasting Company and other allegations of Bahá'í involvement with other powers like the Israeli, British and American governments[149] though these accusations have little to do with the religion and rather seem to be an part of an Islamic repertoire of what a heresy is supposed to look like[150] and are "categorically rejected" by the Bahá'ís.[151]

Iranian political reactions

Mahmoud Ahmadinejad on 16 June 2009, in Yekaterinburg, Russia
  • Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei initially urged the country to unite behind Ahmadinejad, labeling a victory by him as a "divine assessment."[12] On 15 June, however, he ordered an investigation into the claims of vote fraud.[152] Referring to Mousavi's appeal letter about the irregularities, Khamenei said that "the Guardian Council has been emphasized to carry out investigation into this letter carefully," and probe allegations of Ahmadinejad cheating.[153]
  • Interior Minister Sadeq Mahsouli said that he had not received any "written complaint" about election fraud or irregularities. He also remarked that the vote proceeded in a way that "ruled out the possibility of cheating."[2]
  • Chairman of the Assembly of Experts Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani was reported to have called a meeting of the Assembly, as they have the constitutional power to elect and dismiss the Supreme Leader.[154]
  • Incumbent President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, in a live address on state run television on 13 June, called the election "completely free" and the outcome "a great victory" for Iran. He also said, "[t]oday, the people of Iran have inspired other nations and disappointed their ill-wishers... propaganda facilities outside Iran and sometimes inside Iran were totally mobilized against our people." Ahmadinejad praised the country’s youth as well, but made no direct mention of the protests.[115] He later dismissed the protests, comparing them to "the passions after a football match."[6] In his 25 September 2009 speech at the UN he stated “Our nation has successfully gone through a glorious and successfully democratic election, ... They entrusted me once more with a large majority ..."[155]
  • Mir-Hossein Mousavi, the main opposition candidate, issued a statement saying, "I'm warning that I won't surrender to this manipulation." Mousavi lodged an official appeal against the result to the Guardian Council on 14 June.[13] He is not optimistic about his appeal, saying that many of the group's members "during the election were not impartial".[156]
  • Reformist cleric Mehdi Karroubi, another opposition candidate, echoed Mr. Mousavi’s demand for the election to be canceled. He said, "I am announcing again that the elections should not be allowed and the results have no legitimacy or social standing... Therefore, I do not consider Mahmoud Ahmadinejad as president of the republic."[128] He later declared in a speech to his supporters in Khoramabad that "this phase [Election dispute] will not subside until we [Reformist leaders] suggest so".[157]
  • Mohsen Rezai, On 17 June, he gave an ultimatum to Interior Ministry to release details of the results by that day, otherwise he would call for a new election. He said "The unprecedented delay has raised doubts about the possibility of manipulation in the results."[158] However, on 24 July he withdrew formal complaints filed with the Guardian Council, saying that "The [current] political, social and security situation has entered a sensitive and decisive phase, which is more important than the election".[159]
  • Gholam Ali Haddad Adel, a former Iranian parliamentary speaker, called on Mousavi to concede defeat, saying that then "everyone will benefit".[15]
  • The Association of Combatant Clerics, a moderate reformist clerical body which former President Khatami is a member of, issued a statement posted on reformist web sites saying the election was rigged and calling for it to be canceled, warning that "if this process becomes the norm, the republican aspect of the regime will be damaged and people will lose confidence in the system."[128]
  • Former Foreign Minister Ibrahim Yazdi has said, "[w]e don't have any doubt. And as far as we are concerned, it is not legitimate. There were many, many irregularities." He also described the process as a "coup".[160] On 17 June, he was arrested and transferred to prison.[45]
  • Reformist politician Ata'ollah Mohajerani blasted the election as "The End of the Islamic Republic".[45]
  • Hadi Ghaemi, spokesman for the International Campaign for Human Rights in Iran, denounced the outcome. He also compared the government's post-election activities to those of the Chinese government during the Tiananmen Square protests of 1989.[12]
  • In a letter published on his website, reformist cleric Grand Ayatollah Hossein-Ali Montazeri stated that government used elections "in the worst way possible. Declaring results that no one in their right mind can believe, and despite all the evidence of crafted results, and to counter people protestations, in front of the eyes of the same nation who carried the weight of a revolution and 8 years of war, in front of the eyes of local and foreign reporters, attacked the children of the people with astonishing violence. And now they are attempting a purge, arresting intellectuals, political opponents and Scientists."[161]
  • The Iranian national soccer team playing in their World Cup Qualifier wore green wristbands in support for Mousavi.[45]
  • Popular classical musician Mohammad Reza Shajarian demanded that Iranian government television and radio never play his music again after Ahmadinejad called Mousavi supporters "brushwood and thorns". Shajarian remarked, "my voice is like brushwood and thorns".[45]
  • British politician George Galloway has stated that Ahmadinejad "is the president of an important country and we'll just have to accept it."[162]
  • According to three Iranian newspapers 105 of 290 members of the Iranian Parliament invited to attend a 24 June victory party for Mahmoud Ahmadinejad attended the event, suggesting, according to the American New York Times newspaper, "a deep divide within the political elite over the election and its aftermath."[163]
  • In his 19 June address to the nation after Friday prayers, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei defended the reputations of Hashemi Rafsanjani and Ali Akbar Nateq-Nouri despite the fact that "Never before have I mentioned people by name in the Friday prayer sermons" adding that "The live televised debates were a positive step, but these (accusations against fellow candidates) should be removed. After the debates, I had a talk with the president because I knew he would listen to me."[164] This amounted to a criticism of Ahmadinejad, who had made accusations against Nateq-Nouri's family during the debate[165] and had accused Rafsanjani of being "corrupt" and whom had had called "the main puppet master."[166]

International reactions

Map of countries by reaction to the 2009 presidential election
  Iran
  Countries that have welcomed the results
  Arab League members that have not reacted publicly to the results (the Arab League has welcomed the results)
  European Union members that have not reacted publicly to the results (the EU has expressed doubts over the results)
  Countries that have expressed doubts over the results
Main article: International reaction to the 2009 Iranian presidential election

Many western countries expressed doubt about the result and/or reacted in favour of protestors. Other countries, namely Brazil and some other Asian countries, amongst others, welcomed the result.

See also

  • 2009 Iran poll protests trial


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Further reading

  • Kamalipour, Yahya R., ed (2010). Media, Power, and Politics in the Digital Age: The 2009 Presidential Election Uprising in Iran. Lanham: Rowman & Littlefield. ISBN 9781442204157. 
  • Kamrava, Mehran (2010). "The 2009 Elections and Iran's Changing Political Landscape". Orbis 54 (3): 400–412. doi:10.1016/j.orbis.2010.04.006. 
  • Morady, Farhang (2011). "Who rules Iran? The June 2009 election and political turmoil". Capital & Class 35 (1): 39–61. doi:10.1177/0309816810393940. 

External links

Official links

Images

Video testimonies

  • Iranian Stories (Persian) (English) (French) - webdocumentary disseminating and collecting eye witness testimonies of 2009 Iran election

Election aftermath

v · d · eIranian presidential election, 2009 and subsequent events
Approved candidates
Proceedings
Results · Stance of Marjas  · International reaction
Protests
Timeline of the protests · 2009-2010 protests · 2011 protests · Death of Neda Agha-Soltan · Death of Seyed Ali Mousavi · Death of Dr. Ramin Pourandarjani · University raids · Sohrab Aarabi · Post-election trial · Ashura protest  · Execution of Mohammad-Reza Ali-Zamani · Execution of Arash Rahmanipour
See also
Iranian Green Movement · The Green Path of Hope · The Green Scroll Campaign · Iranian reform movement · Kahrizak detention center
v · d · eIran Elections and referendums in Iran
Presidential elections
1980 · 1981 (Jul) · 1981 (Oct) · 1985 · 1989 · 1993 · 1997 · 2001 · 2005 · 2009 · 2013
Parliamentary elections
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Upper House elections
1950 · 1954 · 1960 · 1963 · 1967 · 1971 · 1975 · 1982 · 1990 · 1998 · 2006
Local elections
1999 · 2003 · 2006 · 2013
Referendums
1953 · 1963 · 1979 (Mar) · 1979 (Dec) · 1989

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