28th Alberta general election

28th Alberta general election

2008 ← members 28th → 29th

87 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Alberta 44 seats are needed for a majority Opinion polls   Leader Alison Redford Raj Sherman Danielle Smith Party Progressive Conservative Liberal Wildrose Leader since October 2, 2011 September 10, 2011 October 17, 2009 Leader's seat Calgary-Elbow Edmonton-Meadowlark running in Highwood Last election 72 seats, 52.7% 9 seats, 26.4% 0 seats, 6.8% Current seats 67 9 4   Leader Brian Mason Glenn Taylor Party NDP Alberta Party Leader since September 2004 May 28, 2011 Leader's seat Edmonton-Highlands-Norwood running in West Yellowhead Last election 2 seats, 8.5% 0 seats, 0.0% Current seats 2 1

Incumbent Premier Alison Redford Progressive Conservative

The 28th general election in Alberta, Canada, will take place when the Premier formally advises the Lieutenant Governor to dissolve the Legislative Assembly.

In accordance with Section Four of the Canadian Charter of Rights and Freedoms, no assembly may continue for longer than five years from the return of the writs, which was March 13, 2008,^[1] making an election probable for 2012.^[2][3] Upon the expiration of the Legislature, on March 13, 2013, the Lieutenant Governor is not required to call an election; however, Section Five of the 1982 charter requires an assembly to sit once every twelve months. Newly selected Premier, Alison Redford, has stated she intends to pass legislation fixing elections in the spring of the fourth calendar year. However, unlike the other fixed election date legislation in Canada, the proposed legislation would fix the election to a three month period, between March 1 and May 31.^[4][5][6] This would place the election in 2012.

Background

27th Legislature

Main article: 27th Alberta Legislative Assembly

The 27th Alberta Legislature saw a series of unpopular and controversial pieces of legislation that led to a significant decline in the polls for the governing Progressive Conservative Association (PC) and the popularity of numbers of Premier Ed Stelmach.

The Wildrose Party has been the primary beneficiary of voter migration in opinion polls from the governing party, after former leader Paul Hinman won a by-election and the party elected Danielle Smith in a leadership convention followed by the floor crossing of two government members to the party.

On January 4, 2010, the Wildrose caucus became the third place party displacing the Alberta New Democrat caucus who held third party status in the Legislature since 1997.

Green Party dispute

Main article: Green Party of Alberta

A year after the previous general election The Green Party became mired in an internal dispute that resulted in the collapse and de-registration of the party despite the party achieving historical record poll numbers. Some of the former Green party executive, including former deputy leader Edwin Erickson, ended up with the new Alberta Party.

Election summary

Party		Party leader	# of candidates	Seats				Popular vote
				2008	Current	Elected	% Change	#	%	% Change
	Progressive Conservative	Alison Redford		72	67
	Liberal	Raj Sherman		9	9
	Wildrose	Danielle Smith		-	4
	New Democrats	Brian Mason		2	2
	Alberta Party	Glenn Taylor		-	1
	Social Credit	Len Skowronski		-	-
	Separation	Bruce Hutton		-	-
	Communist	Naomi Rankin		-	-
	Independent			-	-
	Vacant				-
Total				83	83	87	+4.8		100.00%

Timeline

• December 12, 2008: Calgary-Mountain View MLA David Swann wins the Leadership of the Alberta Liberals replacing Kevin Taft.
• May 15, 2009: Calgary-Glenmore MLA Ron Stevens resigns to accept a judgeship.
• July 16, 2009: The Green Party of Alberta is deregistered by Elections Alberta.
• July 18, 2009: Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo MLA Guy Boutilier is removed from the Progressive Conservative caucus.
• August 29, 2009: Robert Leddy is chosen as the interim leader of the Alberta Party replacing Bruce Stubbs.^[7]
• September 14, 2009: A by-election in Calgary-Glenmore elects Wildrose Alliance interim leader Paul Hinman.
• October 17, 2009: The Wildrose Alliance selects Danielle Smith to replace Paul Hinman as leader in a convention in Edmonton.
• November 7, 2009: A leadership review of Premier Ed Stelmach is held at a PC convention in Edmonton. He garners 77.4% support.
• January 4, 2010: MLAs Rob Anderson and Heather Forsyth defect from the PC to the Wildrose Alliance.^[8]
• January 28, 2010: Edwin Erickson is acclaimed as leader of the Alberta Party replacing Robert Leddy.
• February 24, 2010: Alberta Boundaries Commission releases its interim report on new provincial boundaries.
• April 12, 2010: Calgary-Currie MLA Dave Taylor leaves the Liberal caucus to sit as an independent.
• June 25, 2010: PC, turned Independent, MLA Guy Boutilier joins the Wildrose Alliance.^[9]
• November 22, 2010: Edmonton-Meadowlark MLA Raj Sherman is removed from the Progressive Conservative caucus.
• November 24, 2010: Sue Huff becomes interim Alberta Party leader after Edwin Erickson resigns.
• December 1, 2010: The Legislative Assembly passes a bill outlining 87 electoral districts,^[10] up from the current 83. The last re-distribution was in 2004.
• January 24, 2011: Calgary-Currie MLA Dave Taylor sits as Alberta Party's first MLA.
• January 25, 2011: Premier Ed Stelmach announces his intention not to run for re-election, and announces he will resign his post as Premier when a successor has been chosen at a leadership convention.^[11][12]
• February 1, 2011: David Swann, Leader of the Alberta Liberal Party, announces his intention to step down as leader after the spring 2011 legislative session, though still acting as an MLA from Calgary-Mountain View.^[13]
• May 28, 2011: Glenn Taylor is named leader of the Alberta Party.^[14]
• June 26, 2011: The Wildrose Alliance Party votes to change its name to Wildrose Party.^[15]
• September 10, 2011: Raj Sherman is elected leader of the Liberal Party.
• September 12, 2011: Independent MLA Raj Sherman joins the Liberal caucus.^[16]
• October 1, 2011: Alison Redford is elected leader of the PC Association.
• October 7, 2011: Redford is sworn in as premier.^[17]

MLAs not running again

Alberta Party Dave Taylor, Calgary Currie[18] Liberal Harry Chase, Calgary-Varsity[19] Hugh MacDonald, Edmonton-Gold Bar[20] Kevin Taft, Edmonton-Riverview

Progressive Conservative Ed Stelmach, Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville

Opinion polls

Graphic representation of the opinion polls.

Polling Firm	Date of Polling	Link	PC	Liberal	Wildrose	NDP	Alberta	Other
Angus Reid Strategies	11-10-19 !October 17-19, 2011	PDF	44	16	22	13	2	03 !3
Lethbridge College	11-10-02 !October 1-2, 2011	PDF	47.7	13.4	16.1	16.3	3.1	03.4 !3.4
Think HQ Public Affairs	11-09-24 !September 19-24 2011	HTML	40	14	24	16	3	03 !3
Environics	11-07-24 !July 15-24, 2011	HTML	54	13.5	16	13.5	2	01 !1
Think HQ Public Affairs	11-07-01 !July 2011	HTML	39	11	30	14	4	02 !2
Abingdon[21]	11-05-24 !May 20-24, 2011	HTML	33.5	15.1	28.6	14.7	5.2	02.9 !2.9
Environics	11-01-31 !January 20-31, 2011	HTML	38	22	26	10		04 !4
Environics	10-12-02 !Nov 22-Dec 2, 2010	HTML	34	19	32	13		02 !2
Lethbridge College	10-10-03 !October 2-3, 2010	PDF	36.1	20.7	24	10.8		08.4 !8.4
Environics	10-05-02 !May 2, 2010	HTML	34	23	28	12		03 !3
Environics	10-03-09 !March 9, 2010	HTML	34	23	30	10		02 !2*
Angus Reid Strategies	10-02-23 !February 23, 2010	PDF	27	19	42	9		03 !3
Angus Reid Strategies	09-12-11 !December 11, 2009	HTML	25	25	39	9		02 !2
Environics	09-10-31 !October 19-31, 2009	PDF	34	20	28	9		08 !8*
Return on Insight (ROI)	09-10-02 !October 2009	HTML	34	20	25	10		11*
Lethbridge College / Athabasca University	09-10-01 !October 2009	PDF	38.4	20.8	21.5	10.7		08.5 !8.5
Angus Reid Strategies	09-04-01 !April 2009	HTML	56	19	7	11		07 !7*
Environics	08-12-01 !December 2008	HTML	62	16	3	6		14*
Environics	08-10-01 !October 2008	HTML	59	17	6	11		07 !7*
Environics	08-05-01 !June 2008	HTML	48	25	7	10		10*
Environics	08-03-04 !March 2008	HTML	54	22	10	10		05 !5*
Election 2008	08-03-03 !March 3, 2008		52.66	26.37	6.77	8.52	0.00	05.7 !5.70*

*These figures include support for the now defunct Alberta Green Party, which was included as an option in these surveys.

Candidates running for nomination

Bold incumbents indicates cabinet members and party leaders are italicized. Only candidates who have been quoted as running are listed.

Northern Alberta

Electoral District		Candidates						Incumbent
		Progressive Conservative	Liberal	Wildrose	NDP	Alberta Party	Other
Athabasca-Sturgeon-Redwater				Travis Olson[22]	Mandy Melnyk[23][24][25]				Jeff Johnson Athabasca-Redwater
Barrhead-Morinville-Westlock				Link Byfield[22]					Ken Kowalski
Bonnyville-Cold Lake				Chuck Farrer[26]					Genia Leskiw
Dunvegan-Central-Peace-Notley					Nathan Macklin [27]				Hector Goudreau
Fort McMurray-Conklin								New District
Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo									Guy Boutilier
Grande Prairie-Smoky					Mary Dahr [28]				Mel Knight
Grande Prairie-Wapiti				Ethane Jarvis[22]	Paula Anderson[29]				Wayne Drysdale
Lac La Biche-St. Paul-Two Hills				Shayne Saskiw[30]					Ray Danyluk Lac La Biche-St. Paul
Lesser Slave Lake									Pearl Calahasen
Peace River					Wanda Laurin[31]				Frank Oberle

Western and Central Alberta

Electoral District		Candidates						Incumbent
		Progressive Conservative	Liberal	Wildrose	NDP	Alberta Party	Other
Banff-Cochrane				Trudy Hauser[22]	Jamie Kleinsteuber[32]		Timothy Johnson (Ind.)[33]		Janis Tarchuk
Drayton Valley-Devon				Dean Shular[22]					Diana McQueen Drayton Valley-Calmar
Chestermere-Rocky View				Bruce McAllister[22]					Ted Morton Foothills-Rocky View
								Merged District
									Rob Anderson Airdrie-Chestermere
Innisfail-Sylvan Lake				Kerry Towle[22]		Danielle Klooster[34]			Luke Ouellette
Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills				Bruce Rowe[22]					Richard Marz
Red Deer-North					Derek Seelinger [35]				Mary Anne Jablonski
Red Deer-South					Lorna Watkinson-Zimmer [36]	Serge Gingras [37]			Cal Dallas
Rimbey-Rocky Mountain House-Sundre				Joe Anglin[38]					Ty Lund Rocky Mountain House
Stony Plain									Fred Lindsay
West Yellowhead						Glenn Taylor[39]			Robin Campbell
Whitecourt-Ste. Anne				Maryann Chichak[22]					George VanderBurg

East Central Alberta

Electoral District		Candidates						Incumbent
		Progressive Conservative	Liberal	Wildrose	NDP	Alberta Party	Other
Battle River-Wainwright									Doug Griffiths
Drumheller-Stettler				Rick Strankman[22]					Jack Hayden
Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville				Shannon Stubbs[40]	Linda Robinson [41]				Ed Stelmach
Lacombe-Ponoka				Rod Fox[42]					Ray Prins
Leduc Beaumont									George Rogers Leduc-Beaumont-Devon
Vermilion-Lloydminster		Lloyd Snelgrove[3]		Danny Hozack[22]					Lloyd Snelgrove
Wetaskiwin-Camrose				Trevor Miller[22]					Verlyn Olson

Central Edmonton

Electoral District		Candidates						Incumbent
		Progressive Conservative	Liberal	Wildrose	NDP	Alberta Party	Other
Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview					Deron Bilous[43]				Tony Vandermeer
Edmonton-Centre				Barb de Groot[22]					Laurie Blakeman
Edmonton-Glenora			Bruce Miller[44]		Ray Martin[45]	Sue Huff[46]			Heather Klimchuk
Edmonton-Gold Bar					Marlin Schmidt[47]				Hugh MacDonald
Edmonton-Highlands-Norwood				Wayde Lever[22]					Brian Mason
Edmonton-Mill Creek									Gene Zwozdesky
Edmonton-Mill Woods				Joanne Autio[22]	Sandra Azocar[48]				Carl Benito
Edmonton-Riverview				John Corie[22]	Lori Sigurdson[49]				Kevin Taft
Edmonton-Rutherford				Kyle McLeod[50]	Melanie Samaroden[51]	Michael Walters[52]			Fred Horne
Edmonton-Strathcona					Rachel Notley				Rachel Notley

Suburban Edmonton and environs

Electoral District		Candidates						Incumbent
		Progressive Conservative	Liberal	Wildrose	NDP	Alberta Party	Other
Edmonton-Calder					David Eggen[53]				Doug Elniski
Edmonton-Castle Downs				John Oplanich[22]					Thomas Lukaszuk
Edmonton-Decore			Ed Ammar[54]	Chris Bataluk[22]	Ali Haymour[55]				Janice Sarich
Edmonton-Ellerslie									Naresh Bhardwaj
Edmonton-Manning				Daryl Bonar[56]	Cindy Olsen[57]				Peter Sandhu
Edmonton-McClung						John Hudson[58]			David Xiao
Edmonton-Meadowlark			Raj Sherman[59]	Rick Newcombe[22]					Raj Sherman
Edmonton-South West					Sylvie Porbaix[60]			New District
Edmonton-Whitemud				Ian Crawford[22]		Julia Necheff[61]			David Hancock
Sherwood Park				Garnett Genuis[22]	Sarah Michelin [62]				Iris Evans
Spruce Grove-St. Albert					Bev Trudeau[63]				Doug Horner Spruce Grove-Sturgeon-St. Albert
St. Albert				James Burrows[22]	Nicole Bownes [64]	Tim Osborne[65]			Ken Allred
Strathcona-Sherwood Park				Paul Nemetchek[22]	Mike Scott [66]				Dave Quest

Southern Alberta

Electoral District		Candidates						Incumbent
		Progressive Conservative	Liberal	Wildrose	NDP	Alberta Party	Other
Airdrie									Rob Anderson Airdrie-Chestermere
Cardston-Taber-Warner				Gary Bikman[22]					Broyce Jacobs
Cypress-Medicine Hat				Drew Barnes[22]	Scott Raible[67]				Leonard Mitzel
Lethbridge-East			Bridget Pastoor[68]	Kent Prestage[22]	Tom Moffatt [69]				Bridget Pastoor
Lethbridge-West					Shannon Phillips[70]				Greg Weadick
Little Bow				Ian Donovan[22]	Bev Muendel-Atherstone[71]				Barry McFarland
Livingstone-Macleod					Matthew Halton [72]				Evan Berger
Medicine Hat					Dennis Perrier[67]				Rob Renner
Highwood				Danielle Smith[73]					George Groeneveld
Strathmore-Brooks				Jason Hale[22]					Arno Doerksen

Suburban Calgary

Electoral District		Candidates						Incumbent
		Progressive Conservative	Liberal	Wildrose	NDP	Alberta Party	Other
Calgary-Bow									Alana DeLong
Calgary-Cross				Happy Mann[22]					Yvonne Fritz
Calgary-Foothills				Dustin Nau[22]					Len Webber
Calgary-Fort									Wayne Cao
Calgary-Hawkwood				David Yager[22]				New District
Calgary-Hays									Arthur Johnston
Calgary-Greenway				Ron Leech[22]					Manmeet Bhullar Calgary-Montrose
Calgary-Lougheed				John Carpay[22]					David Rodney
Calgary-Mackay-Nose Hill				Roy Alexander[22]	Collin Anderson[74]				Teresa Woo-Paw Calgary-Mackay
								Merged district
									Neil Brown Calgary-Nose Hill
Calgary-McCall									Darshan Kang
Calgary-North West									Lindsay Blackett
Calgary-Shaw									Cindy Ady
Calgary-South East				Bill Jarvis[22]				New District
Calgary-West				Andrew Constantinidis[22]					Ron Liepert

Central Calgary

Electoral District		Candidates						Incumbent
		Progressive Conservative	Liberal	Wildrose	NDP	Alberta Party	Other
Calgary-Acadia				Richard Jones[22]					Jonathan Denis Calgary-Egmont
Calgary-Buffalo				Mike Blanchard[22]					Kent Hehr
Calgary-Currie				Corrie Adolph[22]					Dave Taylor
Calgary-East									Moe Amery
Calgary-Elbow									Alison Redford
Calgary-Fish Creek									Heather Forsyth
Calgary-Glenmore									Paul Hinman
Calgary-Klein				Jeremy Nixon[22]	Marc Power[75]				Kyle Fawcett Calgary-North Hill
Calgary-Mountain View				Shane McAllister[22]					David Swann
Calgary-Northern Hills				Prasad Panda[22]					New District
Calgary-Varsity				Justin Anderson[22]					Harry Chase

References

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External links

• Election Almanac - Alberta Provincial Election 2012