Newfoundland and Labrador general election, 2011

Newfoundland and Labrador general election, 2011
Newfoundland and Labrador general election, 2011
Newfoundland and Labrador
2007 ←
members		 October 11, 2011
members		 → 49th
48 seats in the 47th General Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador
25 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
  First party Second party Third party
  Kathy Dunderdale 31May2011.jpg Nfldlabliberallogo.PNG NLNDP10.png
Leader Kathy Dunderdale Kevin Aylward Lorraine Michael
Party Progressive Conservative Liberal New Democrat
Leader since April 2, 2011 August 14, 2011 May 26, 2006
Leader's seat Virginia Waters ran in St. George's-Stephenville East
(lost)		 Signal Hill-Quidi Vidi
Last election 44, 69.59% 3, 21.69% 1, 8.49%
Seats before 43 4 1
Seats won 37 6 5
Seat change -6 +2 +4
Percentage 56.1% 19.1% 24.6%

Nl2011.PNG
Map of districts showing how they voted
Premier before election

Kathy Dunderdale
Progressive Conservative

 Elected Premier

Kathy Dunderdale
Progressive Conservative

The 48th Newfoundland and Labrador general election occurred on October 11, 2011, to elect members of the 47th General Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador, the 19th election for the province of Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada. The Progressive Conservative Party (PC Party) formed a majority government in the 2007 election, with the Liberal Party serving as the Official Opposition and the New Democratic Party (NDP) serving as a third party.

Under amendments passed by the Legislature in 2004, elections in Newfoundland and Labrador are now held on fixed dates: the second Tuesday in October every four years.[1]

The Progressive Conservatives, led by Kathy Dunderdale, won their third straight majority government. Dunderdale became only the third woman in Canadian history to lead a political party to power. The Liberal Party, led by Kevin Aylward, formed the Official Opposition, however the party placed third in the popular vote and Aylward was not elected to the legislature. Lorraine Michael's New Democratic Party won a record number of seats and placed second in the popular vote for the first time in the province's history.[2]

Contents

Background

Progressive Conservative Party

 

Leader: Kathy Dunderdale

Under Kathy Dunderdale’s leadership the PC Party won a third straight majority government, winning 37 seats in the House of Assembly and taking 56% of the popular vote.[2] The party platform included the phasing out of the payroll tax over six years, eliminating provincial student loans and replacing them with needs-based grants over four years, improving health care wait times, establishing a ceiling for new spending growth, investing a third of any surplus into unfunded public pension funds, the creation of a population growth strategy, reforming the adoption process to make it easier for people to adopt children and provide province-wide high-speed access within four years. While releasing the platform Dunderdale stated that promises outlined were contingent on fiscal conditions in the months and years to come.[3][4][5]

Liberal Party

 

Leader: Kevin Aylward

Under Kevin Aylward’s leadership the Liberal Party won a total of six seats. While they increased their number of seats, by two, the party placed third in the popular with 19.1%, the worst showing in their history.[2] The party platform advocated for the creation of a legacy fund for offshore oil revenues, a new deal to develop the Lower Churchill hydroelectric development, annual increase to retired public service pensions, improve high-speed internet a cellphone service in rural areas, merge the Department of Business with the Department of Innovation, Trade, and Rural Development, establish a fisheries investment and diversification fund, creation of a fisheries loan board, initiate a judicial inquiry dealing with management of the fishery and operating a marine rescue subcentre in the province.[6][7]

New Democratic Party

 

Leader: Lorraine Michael

Under Lorraine Michael’s leadership the NDP won a total of five seats and took 24.6% of the popular vote, the best result in the party’s history. While the party placed second in the popular vote they placed third in seats.[2] Their platform advocated for a 25% reduction in the small business tax, an all-day kindergarten pilot project starting in September 2012, an independent review of the health care system, elimination of the “tax on tax” on gasoline and diesel fuel, regular increases in the minimum wage, reductions in public post-secondary tuition fees with a move towards free tuition, and the introduction of a three per cent petroleum royalty surcharge on oil companies.[8][9][10]

Party leadership

Following Liberal leader Gerry Reid's defeat in the 2007 general election he resigned as the party's leader.[11] The party subsequently chose Cartwright-L'Anse au Clair MHA Yvonne Jones as interim leader of the party and therefore the Official Opposition Leader in the House of Assembly.[12] The party delayed calling a leadership election until 2010, and when nominations for the leadership closed on July 30, 2010 Jones was the only candidate to come forward and was acclaimed leader of the party.[13] Only weeks later on August 13, 2010, Jones announced she had been diagnosed with breast cancer and would be taking time off to undergo treatment. During her time off Liberal House Leader Kelvin Parsons took over for Jones on an interim basis.[14] The Liberal convention that would officially swear Jones in as leader was rescheduled from October 2010, to May 2011, due to her illness. She was officially sworn in as leader on May 28, 2011.[15] On August 8, 2011, it was announced that Jones would step down as leader the following day on the advice of her doctor. The Liberal Party executive chose former MHA and cabinet minister Kevin Aylward as her successor on August 14, 2011.[16][17]

On November 25, 2010, Premier Danny Williams made the surprise announcement that he would resign as leader and premier the next week.[18] On December 3, 2010, Kathy Dunderdale, Williams' Deputy Premier, was sworn in as Newfoundland and Labrador's tenth Premier.[19] Although she had originally stated she would not seek the permanent leadership she announced on December 30, 2010, she would run for the Progressive Conservative leadership. Her announcement came after several high profile cabinet ministers announced they would not run and endorsed her candidacy.[20][21] In January 2011, Dunderdale was acclaimed party leader when she was the only candidate to seek the leadership.[22] On April 2, 2011, she was officially sworn in as leader of the Progressive Conservatives.[23]

Timeline

2007

  • October 9, 2007: Elections held for the Newfoundland and Labrador Legislature in the 46th General Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador.[24]
  • November 6, 2007: Progressive Conservative Susan Sullivan wins a deferred election in Grand Falls-Windsor-Buchans.[25]
  • November 13, 2007: Liberal leader Gerry Reid resign after failing to be re-elected.[11]
  • November 15, 2007: The Liberal Party select Yvonne Jones as interim leader of the party.[12]

2008

  • May 21, 2008: Tom Rideout resigns as Deputy Premier, Government House Leader and Minister of Fisheries, in a dispute with the Premier's Office.[26]
  • June 4, 2008: Cape St. Francis MHA Jack Byrne dies.[27]
  • June 30, 2008: Baie Verte-Springdale MHA Tom Rideout resigns his seat.[28]
  • August 27, 2008: Two by-elections in Cape St. Francis and Baie Verte-Springdale are won by Progressive Conservative candidates Kevin Parsons and Kevin Pollard.[29]

2009

  • October 2, 2009: The Straits – White Bay North MHA Trevor Taylor resigns from Cabinet and his seat.[30]
  • October 7, 2009: Terra Nova MHA Paul Oram resign from Cabinet and his seat.[31]
  • October 27, 2009: A by-election in The Straits - White Bay North elects Liberal Marshall Dean.[32]
  • November 26, 2009: A by-election in Terra Nova elects PC Sandy Collins.[33]

2010

  • January 29, 2010: Topsail MHA Elizabeth Marshall resigns her seat to be appointed to the Canadian Senate.[34]
  • March 16, 2010: A by-election in Topsail elects PC Paul Davis.[35]
  • July 30, 2010: Cartwright-L'Anse au Clair MHA Yvonne Jones is acclaimed Liberal leader after being the only candidate for the party's leader.[13]
  • August 13, 2010: Yvonne Jones announces she has been diagnosed with breast cancer and that MHA Kelvin Parsons will serve as interim leader while she is receiving treatment.[14]
  • October 3, 2010: Conception Bay East - Bell Island MHA and Minister Dianne Whalen dies.[36]
  • November 25, 2010: Premier Danny Williams, Humber West MHA announces his retirement, effective December 3, 2010. Deputy Premier Kathy Dunderdale will be the Premier of the province in the interim.[18]
  • December 2, 2010: Progressive Conservative candidate David Brazil is elected MHA of Conception Bay East - Bell Island.[37]
  • December 3, 2010: Kathy Dunderdale is sworn in as the province's tenth Premier upon the resignation of Danny Williams, the first woman to do so.[19]

2011

  • February 15, 2011: Progressive Conservative candidate Vaughn Granter is elected MHA of Humber West.[38]
  • April 2, 2011: Kathy Dunderdale is sworn in as leader of the Progressive Conservative Party.[23]
  • May 28, 2011: Yvonne Jones is sworn in as leader of the Liberal Party.[15]
  • August 9, 2011: Jones steps down as leader of the Liberal Party due to health reasons.[16]
  • August 14, 2011: Kevin Aylward is chosen as leader of the Liberal Party.[17]
  • September 19, 2011: Official election call, Kathy Dunderdale asks Lieutenant Governor John Crosbie to dissolve the legislature.[39]

Campaign

A re-election sign for Kathy Dunderdale in her district of Virginia Waters

At 10:00am on September 19, 2011, Premier Dunderdale met with Lieutenant Governor John Crosbie who dissolved the 46th General Assembly, launching the official election campaign.[40]

Campaign slogans

The parties campaign slogans for the 2011 election are:

  • Liberal Party - "We Can Do Better"
  • New Democratic Party - "It's Time"
  • Progressive Conservative - "New Energy"

Issues

Muskrat Falls

The tentative deal to develop the $6.2 billion Muskrat Falls hydroelectric project in Labrador was negotiated by the Progressive Conservative government in November 2010. The Liberal Party opposes the deal, saying it is bad for the province because it will increase the province's debt and will see electricity rates increase for consumers. The NDP have had similar concerns and both party leaders have called for spending on the project to stop until more independent analysis' can be conducted to see if the current deal is the best one for the province.[41][42]

Public sector pension increases

The Liberal Party announced they would provide a one-time increase to public sector pensioners of 2.5%, as well as provide annual increases equivalent to the Consumer Price Index (CPI) up to 2%. While Aylward has said increasing payments would cost $13 million in the first year and about $10 million extra for each additional year, the Department of Finance stated that the plan would add $1.2 billion in additional liabilities to the pension plan.[43] Dunderdale slammed the Liberal Party's plan calling it 'foolhardy'.[44]

Controversies

Dumaresque comment

Controversy arose at the St. John's Board of Trade debate when Liberal candidate Danny Dumaresque was asked about an appeal by the mayor of St. John's for a new financial arrangement between the city and the provincial government. Dumaresque stated that "there are a hell of a lot more priorities outside the overpass that need to be addressed before we start forking more money over to the City of St. John's." The comment led to divisions within the party, with Liberal candidate Drew Brown stating it was an “idiotic comment by an idiotic man.”[45][46]

Election summary

Party Seats Second Third Fourth
     Progressive Conservative 37 10 1 0
     Liberal Party 6 15 27 0
     New Democratic Party 5 23 20 0
     Other 0 0 0 3


Summary of the House of Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador election results
Party Party leader Candidates Seats Popular vote
2007 Dissol. 2011 Change # % % Change
     Progressive Conservative Kathy Dunderdale 48 44 43 37 -6
     Liberal Kevin Aylward 48 3 4 6 +2
     New Democratic Lorraine Michael 48 1 1 5 +4
     Independents 3 0 0 0 0
Total 48 48 48 100%  

Opinion polls

Polling Firm Date of Polling Link Progressive Conservative Liberal New Democratic
Corporate Research Associates September 29-October 3, 2011 HTML 59 16 25
Environics September 29-October 4, 2011 HTML 54 13 33
MarketQuest Omnifacts Research September 28–30, 2011 HTML 54 13 33
MarketQuest Omnifacts Research September 16–19, 2011 HTML 53 18 29
Corporate Research Associates August 15–31, 2011 PDF 54 22 24
Corporate Research Associates May 11–28, 2011 PDF 57 22 20
Corporate Research Associates February 10–28, 2011 PDF 73 18 8
Corporate Research Associates November 9–30, 2010 PDF 75 16 8
Corporate Research Associates August 10–30, 2010 PDF 76 17 7
Corporate Research Associates May 11–31, 2010 PDF 75 16 8
Corporate Research Associates February 9–25, 2010 PDF 80 15 5
Corporate Research Associates November 5–22, 2009 PDF 77 16 7
Corporate Research Associates August 11–29, 2009 PDF 77 15 8
Corporate Research Associates May 12–30, 2009 PDF 72 19 8
Corporate Research Associates February 11–28, 2009 PDF 71 22 7
Corporate Research Associates November 5-December 2, 2008 PDF 72 19 9
Corporate Research Associates August 12–30, 2008 PDF 78 14 7
Corporate Research Associates May 8-June 1, 2008 PDF 77 13 8
Corporate Research Associates February 12-March 4, 2008 PDF 79 14 6
Corporate Research Associates November 9-December 3, 2007 PDF 82 12 7
Election 2007 October 9, 2007 HTML 69.6 21.7 8.5

MHAs not running again

Liberal

Progressive Conservative

Candidates

Bold incumbents indicates cabinet members and party leaders are italicized.

St. John's

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  PC   Liberal   NDP   Other
Kilbride John Dinn Brian Hanlon Paul Boundridge John Dinn
Signal Hill—Quidi Vidi John Noseworthy Drew Brown Lorraine Michael Lorraine Michael
St. John's Centre Shawn Skinner Carly Bigelow Gerry Rogers Shawn Skinner
St. John's East Ed Buckingham Mike Duffy George Murphy Ed Buckingham
St. John's North Bob Ridgley Elizabeth Scammel Reynolds Dale Kirby Bob Ridgley
St. John's South Tom Osborne Trevor Hickey Keith Dunne Tom Osborne
St. John's West Dan Crummell George Joyce Chris Pickard Sheila Osborne
Virginia Waters Kathy Dunderdale Sheila Miller Dave Sullivan Kathy Dunderdale

St. John's suburbs

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  PC   Liberal   NDP   Other
Cape St. Francis Kevin Parsons Joy Buckle Geoff Gallant Kevin Parsons
Conception Bay East - Bell Island David Brazil Kim Ploughman Bill Kavanagh David Brazil
Conception Bay South Terry French Cynthia Layden Barron Noah Davis-Power Terry French
Mount Pearl North Steve Kent Maurice Budgell Kurtis Coombs Steve Kent
Mount Pearl South Paul Lane Norm Snelgrove John Riche Dave Denine
Topsail Paul Davis Nic Reid Brian Nolan Paul Davis

Avalon and Burin Peninsulas

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  PC   Liberal   NDP   Other
Bellevue Calvin Peach Pam Pardy Ghent Gabe Ryan Calvin Peach
Burin—Placentia West Clyde Jackman Jacqueline Mullett Julie Mitchell Clyde Jackman
Carbonear—Harbour Grace Jerome Kennedy Phillip Earle Shawn Hyde Kyle Brookings Jerome Kennedy
Ferryland Keith Hutchings Dianne Randell Chris Molloy Keith Hutchings
Grand Bank Darin King Carol Anne Haley Wally Layman Darin King
Harbour Main Tom Hedderson Bern Hickey Mike Maher Tom Hedderson
Placentia—St. Mary's Felix Collins Todd Squires Trish Dodd Felix Collins
Port de Grave Glen Littlejohn Leanne Hussey Sarah Downey Roland Butler†
Trinity—Bay de Verde Charlene Johnson Barry Snow Sheina Lerman Charlene Johnson

Central Newfoundland

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  PC   Liberal   NDP   Other
Baie Verte—Springdale Kevin Pollard Neil Ward Tim Howse Kevin Pollard
Bonavista North Eli Cross Paul Kean John Coaker Harry Harding
Bonavista South Glen Little Johanna Ryan Guy Darryl Johnson Roger Fitzgerald
Exploits Clayton Forsey Jim Samson Grant Hemeon Clayton Forsey
Gander Kevin O'Brien Barry Warren Lukas Norman Kevin O'Brien
Grand Falls-Windsor—Buchans Susan Sullivan Wayne Morris John Whelan Susan Sullivan
Grand Falls-Windsor—Green Bay South Ray Hunter Merv Wiseman Clyde Bridger Ray Hunter
Lewisporte Wade Verge Todd Manuel Lloyd Snow Wade Verge
Terra Nova Sandy Collins Ryan Lane Robin Brentnall John Baird Sandy Collins
The Isles of Notre Dame Derrick Dalley Danny Dumaresque Tree Walsh Derrick Dalley
Trinity North Ross Wiseman Brad Cabana Vanessa Wiseman Ross Wiseman

Western and Southern Newfoundland

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  PC   Liberal   NDP   Other
Bay of Islands Terry Loder Eddie Joyce Tony Adey Terry Loder
Burgeo—La Poile Colin Short Andrew Parsons Matt Fuchs Kelvin Parsons
Fortune Bay—Cape La Hune Tracey Perry Eric Skinner Susan Skinner Tracey Perry
Humber East Tom Marshall Charles Murphy Marc Best Tom Marshall
Humber Valley Darryl Kelly Dwight Ball Sheldon Hynes Darryl Kelly
Humber West Vaughn Granter Donna Luther Jordan Stringer Vaughn Granter
Port au Port Tony Cornect Kate Mitchell Mansfield Jamie Brace Tony Cornect
St. Barbe Wallace Young Jim Bennett Diane Ryan Wallace Young
St. George's—Stephenville East Joan Burke Kevin Aylward Bernice Hancock Dean Simon Joan Burke
The Straits - White Bay North Selma Pike Marshall Dean Chris Mitchelmore Marshall Dean

Labrador

Electoral District Candidates   Incumbent
  PC   Liberal   NDP   Other
Cartwright—L'Anse au Clair Glen Acreman Yvonne Jones Bill Cooper Yvonne Jones
Labrador West Nick McGrath Karen Oldford Tom Harris Jim Baker
Lake Melville Keith Russell Chris Montague Arlene Michelin-Pittman John Hickey
Torngat Mountains Patty Pottle Randy Edmunds Alex Saunders Patty Pottle

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Political parties

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