Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008

Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008: This article provides a collection of state-wide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the United States presidential election, 2008.

Contents

1 Opinion polling

1.1 Alabama

1.2 Alaska

1.3 Arizona

1.4 Arkansas

1.5 California

1.6 Colorado

1.7 Connecticut

1.8 Delaware

1.9 District of Columbia

1.10 Florida

1.11 Georgia

1.12 Hawaii

1.13 Idaho

1.14 Illinois

1.15 Indiana

1.16 Iowa

1.17 Kansas

1.18 Kentucky

1.19 Louisiana

1.20 Maine

1.21 Maryland

1.22 Massachusetts

1.23 Michigan

1.24 Minnesota

1.25 Mississippi

1.26 Missouri

1.27 Montana

1.28 Nebraska

1.29 Nevada

1.30 New Hampshire

1.31 New Jersey

1.32 New Mexico

1.33 New York

1.34 North Carolina

1.35 North Dakota

1.36 Ohio

1.37 Oklahoma

1.38 Oregon

1.39 Pennsylvania

1.40 Rhode Island

1.41 South Carolina

1.42 South Dakota

1.43 Tennessee

1.44 Texas

1.45 Utah

1.46 Vermont

1.47 Virginia

1.48 Washington

1.49 West Virginia

1.50 Wisconsin

1.51 Wyoming

2 See also

3 Notes

4 Latest results (using latest polling when available)

5 Maps of recent polling data

6 Election Day projection

7 References

8 External links

Democratic nominee
Barack Obama

Republican nominee
John McCain

Democratic Vice Presidential nominee
Joe Biden

Republican Vice Presidential nominee
Sarah Palin

Opinion polling

Alabama

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Alabama opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin

Survey USA Oct 27-28 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 61% 25

Capital Survey Research Center Oct 15-21 Barack Obama 34% John McCain 54% 20

Survey USA Oct 8-9 Barack Obama 35% John McCain 62% 27

Capital Research Center Oct 6-7 Barack Obama 35% John McCain 54.5% 19.5

Rasmussen Reports Sept 22 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 60% 21

Survey USA Sept 16-17 Barack Obama 34% John McCain 64% 30

American Research Group Sept 13-16 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 58% 22

University of South Alabama/
Press-Register Sept 8-15 Barack Obama 25% John McCain 52% 27

Capital Survey Research Center/
Alabama Education Association Sept 3-9 Barack Obama 35% John McCain 55% 20

Capital Survey Research Center/
Alabama Education Association July 29-Aug 4 Barack Obama 34% John McCain 47% 13

Rasmussen Reports July 31 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 58% 20

Alaska

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Alaska opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin

Hays Research ** Nov 2 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 48% 3

Research 2000/Daily Kos Oct 28-30 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 58% 19

Rasmussen Reports Oct 28 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 57% 16

Ivan Moore Research Oct 17-19 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 53% 11

Research 2000/
Daily Kos Oct 14-16 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 57% 19

Rasmussen Reports Oct 6 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 55% 15

Fairleigh Dickinson University Sept 17-21 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 55% 18

Research 2000/
Daily Kos Sept 15-17 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 55% 17

American Research Group Sept 9-11 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 55% 16

Rasmussen Reports Sept 9 Barack Obama 33% John McCain 64% 31

American Viewpoint ** Sept 2 Barack Obama 33% John McCain 57% 24

Ivan Moore Research Aug 30-
Sept 2 Barack Obama 34.9% John McCain 53.5% 18.6

Hays Research Group ** Aug 6-7 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 40% 5

Rasmussen Reports July 30 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 48% 6

Ivan Moore Research July 18–22 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 47% 3

Rasmussen Reports July 17 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 49% 5

Research 2000/
Daily Kos July 14–16 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 51% 10

Arizona

10 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Arizona opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin

American Research Group Oct 28-30 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 50% 4

Research 2000/Daily Kos Oct 28-30 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 48% 1

NBC News/Mason Dixon Oct 27-28 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 48% 4

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Oct 23-28 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 53% 7

Northern Arizona University/
University of Washington Oct 18-27 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 49% 8

Rasmussen Reports Oct 26 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 51% 5

Arizona State University/
Cronkite/Eight Oct 23-26 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 46% 2

Myers Research/Grove Insight/
Project New West ** Oct 23-25 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 44% 4

Zimmerman & Associates/
Marketing Intelligence ** Oct 16-18 Barack Obama 41.5% John McCain 43.5% 2

Rasmussen Reports Sept 29 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 59% 21

Arizona State University/
Cronkite/Eight Sept 25-28 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 45% 7

American Research Group Sept 11-14 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 56% 17

Walter Cronkite School/
Channel 8 (KAET) Aug 20 Barack Obama 30% John McCain 40% 10

Mason-Dixon Aug 13-15 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 47% 6

Public Policy Polling(PPP) July 30–31 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 52% 12

Rasmussen Reports July 30 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 57% 19

Arkansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Arkansas opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin

American Research Group Oct 28-31 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 51% 7

Rasmussen Reports Oct 27 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 54% 10

Research 2000/Daily Kos Oct 21-22 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 52% 11

University of Arkansas Oct 1-21 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 51% 15

Rasmussen Reports Sept 22 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 51% 9

American Research Group Sept 20-22 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 53% 12

Rasmussen Reports July 17 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 52% 13

California

55 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

California opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin

Survey USA Oct 29-31 Barack Obama 60% John McCain 36% 24

Field Poll Oct 18-28 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 33% 22

Rasmussen Reports Oct 25 Barack Obama 61% John McCain 34% 27

Public Policy Institute of California Oct 12-19 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 33% 23

Survey USA Oct 15-16 Barack Obama 59% John McCain 35% 24

Rasmussen Reports Oct 9 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 40% 16

Survey USA Oct 4-5 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 39% 16

Survey USA Sept 23-24 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 43% 10

Rasmussen Reports Sept 22 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 39% 17

American Research Group Sept 18-20 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 39% 14

Public Policy Institute of California Sept 9-16 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 40% 10

Field Research Corporation Sept 5-14 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 36% 16

Rasmussen Reports Aug 21 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 41% 13

Public Policy Institute of California Aug 12-19 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 39% 9

Rasmussen Reports July 24 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 42% 10

Public Policy Institute of California July 8–22 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 35% 15

Field Research Corporation July 8–14 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 30% 24

Zogby International * June 11–30 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 32% 20

Rasmussen Reports June 23 Barack Obama 58% John McCain 30% 28

Colorado

9 electoral votes chart
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Colorado opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin Others %

Rasmussen/Fox News Nov 2 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 47% 4

American Research Group Oct 28-30 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 45% 7

Public Policy Polling Oct 28-30 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 44% 10

Denver Post/Mason-Dixon Oct 28-29 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 44% 5

Marist College Oct 27-28 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 45% 6

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Oct 23-28 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 45% 8

Allstate/National Journal/FD Oct 23-27 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 44% 4

Politico/InsiderAdvantage Oct 26 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 45% 8

Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News Oct 26 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 46% 4

Associated Press/GfK Oct 22-26 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 41% 9

Rocky Mountain News/
CBS4 News/
Public Opinion Strategies Oct 21-23 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 40% 12

InsiderAdvantage/
Poll Position Oct 20 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 46% 5

Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News Oct 19 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 46% 5

Rasmussen Reports Oct 16 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 45% 7

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Oct 11-14 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 47% 4

Suffolk University Oct 10-13 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 43% 4

Quinnipiac University/
Wall Street Journal/
Washington Post Oct 8-12 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 43% 9

Public Policy Polling Oct 8-10 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 42% 10

InsiderAdvantage/
Poll Position Oct 6 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 45% 6

Rasmussen Reports
Fox News Oct 5 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 45% 6

Mason Dixon/Denver Post Sept 29-Oct 1 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 44% 0

Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News Sept 28 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 48% 1

American Research Group Sept 23-25 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 48% 3

Insider Advantage/
Poll Position Sept 23 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 41% 9

Rasmussen Reports Sept 23 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 47% 3

CNN/Time Magazine Sept 21-23 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 45% 4

Ciruli Associates/
Economic Development
Council of Colorado Sept 19-23 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 43% 1

Public Policy Polling Sept 20-21 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 44% 7

Quinnipiac University/
Wall Street Journal/
Washington Post Sept 14-21 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 45% 4

Insider Advantage/
Poll Position Sept 17 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 41% 10

Allstate/National Journal/FD Sept 11-15 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 44% 1

Fox News/
Rasmussen Reports Sept 14 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 48% 2

American Research Group Sept 10-13 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 46% 2

InsiderAdvantage/
Poll Position Sept 10 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 46% 3

Public Policy Polling Sept 9 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 46% 1

Fox News/
Rasmussen Reports Sept 7 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 46% 3

Tarrance Group ** Sept 2-3 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 47% 2

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Aug 24-26 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 47% 1

Hill Research Consultants ** Aug 23-24 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 40% 3

Suffolk University Aug 21-24 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 39% 5

Quinnipiac University Aug 15-21 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 47% 1

6 Ralph Nader 2%

Other 8%

Mason Dixon Aug 13-15 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 43% 3

Rasmussen Reports Aug 13 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 49% 1

Rocky Mtn News/CBS4 Aug 11-13 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 44% Bob Barr 3%

3 Ralph Nader 2%

Other 2%

Public Policy Polling Aug 5-7 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 44% 4

FrederickPolls July 16–22 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 41% 4

Quinnipiac University/
Wall Street Journal/
Washington Post July 14–22 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 46% 2 Other 3%

Rasmussen Reports July 21 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 47% 3

Public Policy Polling July 9–10 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 43% 4

Zogby International * June 11–30 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 38% Bob Barr 8%

2 Ralph Nader 2%

Other 4%

Connecticut

7 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Connecticut opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin

Hartford Courant/
University of Connecticut Oct 18-22 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 31% 25

Rasmussen Reports Oct 14 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 39% 17

Survey USA Sept 24-25 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 38% 16

American Research Group Sept 17-19 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 39% 15

Rasmussen Reports Sept 16 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 41% 12

Rasmussen Reports July 31 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 36% 15

Research 2000/
Daily Kos June 30-July 2 Barack Obama 57% John McCain 35% 22

Rasmussen Reports July 1 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 35% 17

Delaware

3 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Delaware opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin

Survey USA Oct 27-28 Barack Obama 63% John McCain 33% 30

Rasmussen Reports Oct 10 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 41% 15

West Chester University Oct 6-8 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 38% 17

Survey USA Sept 22-23 Barack Obama 57% John McCain 37% 20

Fairleigh Dickinson University Sept 17-21 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 36% 20

American Research Group Sept 13-15 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 40% 11

Rasmussen Reports Sept 13 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 43% 12

District of Columbia

3 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

District of Columbia opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin

American Research Group Sept 11-13 Barack Obama 82% John McCain 13% 69

Florida

27 electoral votes chart
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Florida opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin

SurveyUSA Oct 31-Nov 3 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 47% 3

Reuters/Zogby Oct 31-Nov 3 Barack Obama 49.25% John McCain 48% 1.2

Datamar Inc. Nov 1-2 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 48.2% 1.2

Rasmussen Reports Nov 2 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 50% 1

Strategic Vision Oct 31-Nov 2 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 47% 2

Public Policy Polling Oct 31-Nov 2 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 48% 2

Reuters/Zogby Oct 30-Nov 2 Barack Obama 47.5% John McCain 46.2% 1.3

Quinnipiac University Oct 27-Nov 2 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45% 2

American Research Group Oct 29-31 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 46% 4

Datamar Inc. Oct 29-30 Barack Obama 46.7% John McCain 46.7% 0

Mason-Dixon Oct 29-30 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 47% 2

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Oct 23-28 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 47% 4

Los Angeles Times/
Bloomberg Oct 25-27 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 43% 7

Allstate/National Journal/FD Oct 23-27 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 44% 1

Suffolk University Oct 26 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 44% 5

Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News Oct 26 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 47% 4

Datamar Inc. Oct 25-26 Barack Obama 49.2% John McCain 44.4% 4.8

Reuters/Zogby Oct 23-26 Barack Obama 47.2% John McCain 46.9% 0.3

Quinnipiac University Oct 22-26 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45% 2

Associated Press/GfK Oct 22-26 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 43% 2

Politico/
InsiderAdvantage Oct 22 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 47% 1

Strategic Vision Oct 20-22 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 48% 2

St. Petersburg Times/
Bay News 9/
Miami Herald Oct 20-22 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 42% 7

NBC/Mason-Dixon Oct 20-21 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 46% 1

Quinnipiac University Oct 16-21 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 44% 5

Rasmussen Reports/
Oct 19 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 49% 1

Public Policy Polling Oct 16-19 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 47% 1

SurveyUSA Oct 16 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 49% 2

Research 2000
Times-Union
South Florida Sun Sentinel Oct 13-15 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 45% 4

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Oct 11-14 Barack obama 51% John McCain 46% 5

InsiderAdvantage/
Poll Position Oct 13 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 44% 4

Rasmussen Reports
Fox News Oct 12 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 46% 5

Rasmussen Reports Oct 8 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 47% 3

Strategic Vision Oct 6-8 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 44% 8

Research 2000 Oct 6-8 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 44% 5

NBC/Mason-Dixon Oct 4-6 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 46% 2

Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News Oct 5 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 45% 7

InsiderAdvantage/
Poll Position Sept 30 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 46% 3

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Sept 28-30 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 47% 4

Suffolk University/WSVN Sept 27-30 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 42% 4

Quinnipiac University Sept 27-29 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 43% 8

Rasmussen Reports/
Sept 28 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 48% 0

Public Policy Polling Sept 27-28 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 46% 3

SurveyUSA Sept 27-28 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 48% 1

American Research Group Sept 23-25 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 46% 1

Rasmussen Reports Sept 24 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 48% 1

Strategic Vision Sept 20-22 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 48% 3

Fox News/
Rasmussen Reports Sept 21 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 51% 5

NBC/Mason Dixon Sept 16-18 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45% 2

Florida Times-Union/
South Florida Sun-Sentinel/
Research 2000 Sept 15-18 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 46% 1

SurveyUSA Sept 16-17 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 51% 6

American Research Group Sept 14-17 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 46% 0

Miami Herald/
St. Petersberg Times/
Schroth, Eldon & Associates/
The Polling Company Sept 14-17 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 47% 2

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Sept 14-16 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 48% 0

Allstate/National Journal/FD Sept 11-15 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 44% 0

Fox News/
Rasmussen Reports Sept 14 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 49% 5

Insider Advantage/
Poll Position Sept 10 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 50% 8

Quinnipiac University Sept 5-9 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 50% 7

Georgia

15 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Georgia opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin

InsiderAdvantage/
Poll Position Nov 2 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 48% 1

Strategic Vision Oct 31-Nov 2 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 50% 4

Public Policy Polling Oct 31-Nov 2 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 50% 2

SurveyUSA/
13WAMZ Oct 30-Nov 2 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 52% 7

Rasmussen Reports Oct 30 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 52% 5

Research 2000/Daily Kos Oct 28-30 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 47% 3

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Oct 23-28 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 52% 5

InsiderAdvantage/
Poll Position Oct 27 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 48% 1

InsiderAdvantage/
Poll Position Oct 23 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 47% 1

Mason-Dixon/NBC Oct 22-23 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 49% 6

Rasmussen Reports Oct 22 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 51% 5

Strategic Vision Oct 20-22 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 51% 6

Democracy Corps/
Greenberg, Quinlan, Rosner ** Oct 16-19 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 46% 2

Research 2000/Daily Kos Oct 14-15 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 49% 6

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Oct 11-14 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 51% 6

SurveyUSA Oct 12 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 51% 8

InsiderAdvantage/
Poll Position Oct 9 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 49% 3

Rasmussen Reports Oct 7 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 54% 9

Strategic Vision Oct 5-7 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 50% 7

Research 2000/Daily Kos Sept 29-Oct 1 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 50% 7

InsiderAdvantage/
Poll Position Sept 30 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 50% 6

SurveyUSA Sept 28-29 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 52% 8

American Research Group Sept 18-21 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 57% 18

Rasmussen Reports Sept 18 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 54% 11

InsiderAdvantage/
Poll Position Sept 17 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 51% 8

SurveyUSA Sept 14-16 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 57% 16

Public Opinion Strategies Sept 9-11 Barack Obama 35% John McCain 56% 21

InsiderAdvantage/
Poll Position Sept 10 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 56% 18

Strategic Vision Sept 7-9 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 52% 13

Rasmussen Reports Aug 14 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 53% 9

Rasmussen Reports July 17 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 53% 11

InsiderAdvantage/
Poll Position/
Majority Opinion Research July 2 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 46% 2

Hawaii

4 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000)
(Democrat in 2004)

Hawaii opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin

Rasmussen Reports Sept 23 Barack Obama 68% John McCain 27% 41

American Research Group Sept 7-12 Barack Obama 63% John McCain 32% 31

Survey USA Feb 26-29 Barack Obama 61% John McCain 31% 30

Idaho

4 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Idaho opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin

Harstead Strategic Research Oct 19-22 Barack Obama 32% John McCain 55% 23

Research 2000/Daily Kos Sept 16-17 Barack Obama 33% John McCain 62% 29

American Research Group Sept 8-10 Barack Obama 25% John McCain 68% 43

Rasmussen Reports Sept 9 Barack Obama 29% John McCain 68% 39

Greg Smith & Associates Aug 18-22 Barack Obama 29% John McCain 52% 23

Research 2000/Daily Kos July 28–30 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 53% 16

Illinois

21 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000)
(Democrat in 2004)

Illinois opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin

Rasmussen Reports Nov 1 Barack Obama 60% John McCain 38% 22

Research 2000 Oct 20-23 Barack Obama 59% John McCain 35% 24

Big Ten Poll Oct 19-22 Barack Obama 61% John McCain 32% 29

Chicago Tribune Oct 16-18 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 32% 24

Rasmussen Reports Oct 13 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 39% 17

St Louis Post-Dispatch/
Research 2000 Sept 15-18 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 36% 20

Rasmussen Reports Sept 17 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 40% 16

Big Ten Poll Sept 14-17 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 37% 16

American Research Group Sept 13-16 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 45% 6

Rasmussen Reports Aug 12 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 40% 15

Rasmussen Reports July 8 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 41% 11

Indiana

11 electoral votes chart
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Indiana opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin

Reuters/Zogby Oct 31-Nov 3 Barack Obama 45.1% John McCain 50.4% 5.3

Public Policy Polling Oct 31-Nov 2 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 48% 1

Reuters/Zogby Oct 30-Nov 2 Barack Obama 43.9% John McCain 49.1% 5.2

American Research Group Oct 28-31 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 48% 0

SurveyUSA/
Mike Downs Center Oct 27-30 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 47% 0

Rasmussen Reports Oct 28-29 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 49% 3

Indianapolis Star/WTHR/
Selzer & Co. Oct 26-28 Barack Obama 45.9% John McCain 45.3% 0.6

Research 2000/WISH-TV Oct 24-28 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 47% 0

Reuters/Zogby Oct 23-26 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 50.2% 6.2

Research 2000/
South Bend Tribune/
WSBT-TV Oct 23-25 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 47% 1

Howey/Gauge Oct 23-25 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 47% 2

Survey USA Oct 21-22 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 45% 4

Big Ten Poll Oct 19-22 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 41% 10

Public Policy Polling Oct 18-19 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 46% 2

Rasmussen Reports Oct 7 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 50% 7

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Oct 3-6 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 51% 5

Research 2000/WISH-TV Sept 29-Oct 3 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 46% 0

Research 2000 Sept 28-29 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 46% 1

Survey USA Sept 28-29 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 48% 3

Rasmussen Reports Sept 17-18 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 49% 2

American Research Group Sept 14-18 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 47% 3

Big Ten Poll Sept 14-17 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 47% 4

Indianapolis Star/WTHR/
Selzer & Co. Sept 14-16 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 44% 3

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Sept 14-16 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 51% 6

Howey/Gauge Aug 29-30 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 45% 2

Rasmussen Reports Aug 19-21 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 49% 6

Survey USA Aug 16-18 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 50% 6

Iowa

7 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000)
(Republican in 2004)

Iowa opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin

Des Moines Register/
Selzer & Co. Oct 28-31 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 37% 17

SurveyUSA Oct 28-29 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 40% 15

Research 2000/
KCCI-TV Oct 27-29 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 39% 14

Marist College Oct 23-24 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 42% 10

Rasmussen Reports Oct 23 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 44% 8

Mason-Dixon/NBC Oct 22-23 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 40% 11

Quad City Times/
Research 2000 Oct 19-22 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 39% 15

Big Ten Poll Oct 19-22 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 39% 13

SurveyUSA Oct 8-9 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 41% 13

Research 2000/
KCCI-TV Sept 29-30 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 39% 16

Rasmussen Reports Sept 25 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 43% 8

Marist College Sept 18-21 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 41% 10

American Research Group Sept 17-20 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 44% 7

SurveyUSA Sept 17-18 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 43% 11

Quad-City Times/
Lee Enterprises Sept 15-17 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 39% 14

Big Ten Poll Sept 14-17 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 45% 0

Des Moines Register/
Selzer & Co. Sept 8-10 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 40% 12

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Aug 31-Sept 2 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 40% 15

Hawkeye Poll Aug 13 Barack Obama 49.5% John McCain 43.1% 6.4

Rasmussen Reports Aug 7 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 44% 5

Rasmussen Reports July 10 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 41% 10

Kansas

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Kansas opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin

SurveyUSA Oct 27-28 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 58% 21

SurveyUSA Oct 21-22 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 53% 12

Rasmussen Reports Oct 13 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 54% 13

SurveyUSA Sept 21-22 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 53% 12

Rasmussen Reports Sept 18 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 58% 20

American Research Group Sept 7-10 Barack Obama 31% John McCain 63% 32

SurveyUSA Aug 18-20 Barack Obama 35% John McCain 58% 23

Rasmussen Reports Aug 11 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 55% 14

Rasmussen Reports July 14 Barack Obama 35% John McCain 58% 23

Kentucky

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Kentucky opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin

Survey USA Nov 1 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 56% 16

Rasmussen Reports Oct 29 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 51% 9

Louisville Courier-Journal/
Mason-Dixon Oct 27-29 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 55% 12

Research 2000/Daily Kos Oct 27-29 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 56% 17

Rasmussen Reports Oct 21 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 52% 8

Research 2000/
Lexington Herald-Leader/
WKYT-TV Oct 19-21 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 55% 16

Survey USA Oct 18-20 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 54% 13

Research 2000/Daily Kos Oct 15-16 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 53% 14

Rasmussen Reports Sept 30 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 52% 10

Louisville Courier-Journal/
Mason-Dixon Sept 22-25 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 53% 8

Survey USA Sept 21-22 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 57% 19

Research 2000/Daily Kos Sept 15-17 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 55% 18

American Research Group Sept 8-12 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 57% 20

Survey USA Aug 9-11 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 55% 18

Research 2000/Daily Kos July 28–30 Barack Obama 35% John McCain 56% 21

Rasmussen Reports July 29 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 52% 9

Louisiana

9 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Louisiana opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin

Loyola University/
WAFB 9News Oct 24-26 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 43% 3

SE Louisiana University Oct 20-23 Barack Obama 38.3% John McCain 50.6% 12.3

Rasmussen Reports Oct 21 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 57% 16

Rasmussen Reports Sept 25 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 55% 15

American Research Group Sept 9-12 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 50% 7

Rasmussen Reports Aug 17 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 57% 18

Rasmussen Reports July 9 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 56% 19

Maine

4 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000)
(Democrat in 2004)

Maine opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin

Rasmussen Reports Nov 1 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 43% 13

SurveyUSA Oct 19-20 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 39% 15

Critical Insights Oct 16-19 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 35% 21

Pan Atlantic SMS Oct 13-16 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 39% 12

Research 2000/Daily Kos Oct 14-15 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 38% 17

Rasmussen Reports Oct 2 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 46% 5

SurveyUSA Sept 22-23 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 44% 5

Rasmussen Reports Sept 17 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 46% 4

American Research Group Sept 8-10 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 41% 10

Research 2000/
Daily Kos Sept 8-10 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 38% 14

Rasmussen Reports Aug 12 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 39% 14

Rasmussen Reports July 17 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 41% 8

Maryland

10 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Maryland opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin

Rasmussen Reports Sept 20 Barack Obama 60% John McCain 37% 23

American Research Group Sept 17-19 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 39% 15

Gonzales Research &
Marketing Strategies Aug 29-Sept 5 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 38% 14

Rasmussen Reports Aug 18 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 43% 10

Massachusetts

12 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Massachusetts opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin

Survey USA Oct 28 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 39% 17

Survey USA Oct 14 Barack Obama 59% John McCain 35% 24

Rasmussen Reports Oct 13 Barack Obama 62% John McCain 34% 28

Rasmussen Reports Sept 23 Barack Obama 58% John McCain 38% 20

Survey USA Sept 22-23 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 39% 16

American Research Group Sept 20-22 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 39% 16

Rasmussen Reports Aug 5 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 38% 16

Suffolk University July 31-Aug 3 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 38% 9

Michigan

17 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Michigan opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin Others %

Selzer/Detroit Free Press/WDIV Oct 28-31 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 37% 16

Public Policy Polling Oct 28-30 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 42% 13

Strategic Vision Oct 27-29 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 41% 13

Rasmussen Reports Oct 28 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 43% 10

Detroit News/
EPIC-MRA Oct 26-28 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 38% 12

Big Ten Poll Oct 19-22 Barack Obama 58% John McCain 36% 22

Detroit News/
EPIC-MRA Oct 19-22 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 37% 14

Quinnipiac University/
Wall Street Journal/
Washington Post October 8–12 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 38% 16

Rasmussen Reports October 8 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 40% 16

Rossman/Denno-Noor/
MIRS October 1–4 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 39% 5 Other ~4%

Public Policy Polling September 29-
October 1 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 41% 10

Selzer/Detroit Free Press/
WDIV September 22–24 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 38% 13

Strategic Vision September 22–24 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 45% 3

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research September 21–23 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 43% 6

NBC/Mason-Dixon Sept 18-23 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 46% 0

EPIC-MRA/
Detroit News Sept 20-22 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 38% 10

Allstate/National Journal/
FD Sept 18-22 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 39% 8

Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News Sept 21 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 44% 7

Quinnipiac University/
Wall Street Journal/
Washington Post Sept 14-21 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 44% 4

American Research Group Sept 16-19 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 46% 2

Marketing Resource Group
of Lansing Sept 15-19 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 46% 3

Marist College Sept 16-17 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 43% 9

EPIC-MRA/
Detroit News September 14–17 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 42% 3

Big Ten Poll Sept 14-17 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 44% 4

Rasmussen Reports September 10 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 46% 5

InsiderAdantagev/
Poll Position September 10 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 45% 1

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Rsearch September 7–9 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 42% 3

Public Policy Polling September 6–7 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 46% 1

Strategic Vision September 5–7 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 44% 1

EPIC-MRA/
Detroit News Aug 18-21 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 41% 2

Selzer/
Detroit Free Press/
WDIV Aug 17-20^[1] Barack Obama 46% John McCain 39% 7

Rasmussen Reports Aug 7 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 45% 4

Public Policy Polling July 23–27 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 43% 3

Quinnipiac University/
Wall Street Journal/
Washington Post July 14–22 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 42% 4

Detroit News/
EPIC-MRA July 13–16 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 41% 2

Rasmussen Reports July 10 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 42% 8

Minnesota

10 electoral votes chart
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Minnesota opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin

SurveyUSA October 30-Nov 1 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 46% 3

Star Tribune/Princeton
Survey Research
Associates International October 29–31 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 42% 11

Public Policy Polling Oct 28-30 Barack Obama 57% John McCain 41% 16

Research 2000/Daily Kos Oct 27-29 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 38% 15

Rasmussen Reports Oct 28 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 43% 12

NBC News/Mason Dixon Oct 27-28 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 40% 8

University of Minnesota/
Minnesota Public Radio News Oct 24-28 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 37% 19

Rasmussen Reports Oct 22 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 41% 15

Big Ten Poll Oct 19-22 Barack Obama 57% John McCain 38% 19

St. Cloud State University Oct 14-22 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 37% 5

National Journal/FD Oct 16-20 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 40% 10

SurveyUSA October 16–18 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 44% 6

Star Tribune/Princeton
Survey Research
Associates International October 16–17 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 41% 11

Research 2000/Daily Kos October 15–16 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 39% 13

Quinnipiac University/
Wall Street Journal/
Washington Post October 8–12 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 40% 11

Rasmussen Reports Oct 7 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 45% 7

American Research Group Oct 4-7 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 46% 1

Minnesota Public Radio
News/Humphrey Institute Oct 3-5 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 40% 14

Star Tribune/
Princeton Survey Research
Associates International Sept 30-
October 2 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 37% 18

SurveyUSA Sept 30-
October 1 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 47% 1

Minnesota Public Radio
News/Humphrey Institute Sept 29-
October 1 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 43% 4

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Sept 28-30 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 43% 11

Quinnipiac University/
Wall Street Journal/
Washington Post Sept 14-21 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45% 2

American Research Group Sept 18-20 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 47% 1

Rasmussen Reports Sept 18 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 44% 8

Big Ten Poll Sept 14-17 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45% 2

Star Tribune Minnesota/
Princeton Survey Research
Associates International Sept 10-12 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 45% 0

Survey USA Sept 10-11 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 47% 2

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Aug 31-
September 2 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 41% 12

Minnesota Public Radio/
University of Minnesota Aug 7-17 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 38% 10

Survey USA Aug 13-14 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45% 2

Rasmussen Reports Aug 13 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 45% 4

Rasmussen Reports July 22 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 39% 13

Quinnipiac University/
Wall Street Journal/
Washington Post July 14–22 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 44% 2

Rasmussen Reports July 10 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 37% 17

Mississippi

6 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Mississippi opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin

Research 2000/
Daily Kos Oct 27-29 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 53% 13

Rasmussen Reports Oct 27 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 53% 8

Press-Register/
University of South Alabama Oct 13-23 Barack Obama 33% John McCain 46% 13

Research 2000/
Daily Kos Oct 14-15 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 50% 10

Rasmussen Reports Sept 30 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 52% 8

American Research Group Sept 13-16 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 55% 16

Research 2000/
Daily Kos Sept 8-10 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 55% 18

Rasmussen Reports Aug 21 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 56% 13

Rasmussen Reports July 28 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 54% 12

Research 2000/
Daily Kos July 21–23 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 51% 9

Missouri

See also: Opinion polling by state for the United States presidential election, 2008 (Missouri)

for earlier results

11 electoral votes chart
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Missouri opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin

Reuters/Zogby Oct 31-Nov 3 Barack Obama 48.8% John McCain 48.8% 0

Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News Nov 2 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 49% 0

Public Policy Polling Oct 31-Nov 2 Barack Obama 49.4% John McCain 48.6% 0.8

Reuters/Zogby Oct 30-Nov 2 Barack Obama 47.4% John McCain 45.7% 1.7

Survey USA Oct 30-Nov 2 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 48% 0

American Research Group Oct 28-30 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 48% 0

Politico/
Insider Advantage Oct 29 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 50% 3

Mason-Dixon/NBC Oct 28-29 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 47% 1

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Oct 23-28 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 50% 2

Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News Oct 26 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 47% 1

Survey USA Oct 25-26 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 48% 0

Reuters/Zogby Oct 23-26 Barack Obama 48.2% John McCain 45.7% 2.5

Mason-Dixon/NBC Oct 22-23 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 46% 1

Research 2000/
Post-Dispatch Oct 20-23 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 47% 1

Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News Oct 19 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 44% 5

Suffolk University Oct 17-19 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 45% 1

Rasmussen Reports Oct 15 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 46% 6

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Oct 11-14 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 49% 1

Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News Oct 12 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 47% 3

Public Policy Polling Oct 11-12 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 46% 2

SurveyUSA Oct 10-12 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 43% 8

American Research Group Oct 4-6 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 49% 3

Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News Oct 5 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 47% 3

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Sept 28-30 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 48% 1

Survey USA Sept 23-24 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 48% 2

St Louis Post-Dispatch/
Research 2000 Sept 22-24 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 48% 1

St Louis Post-Dispatch/
Research 2000 Sept 15-18 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 49% 4

American Research Group Sept 11-15 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 50% 5

Rasmussen Reports Sept 11 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 51% 5

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Sept 7-9 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 48% 4

Public Policy Polling Aug 13-17 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 50% 10

Rasmussen Reports Aug 7 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 50% 6

Survey USA July 29–31 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 49% 5

Research 2000/
St. Louis Post Dispatch July 7–10 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 43% 5

Rasmussen Reports July 7 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 47% 5

Public Policy Polling July 2–5 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 47% 3

Montana

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Montana opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin Other %

Public Policy Polling Oct 31-Nov 2 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 47% 1 Ron Paul 4%

American Research Group Oct 28-30 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 49% 3

Rsearch 2000/Daily Kos Oct 28-30 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 48% 4

Rasmussen Reports Oct 29 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 50% 4

NBC/Mason-Dixon Oct 23-25 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 48% 4

Montana State University Oct 16-20 Barack Obama 44.4% John McCain 40.2% 4.2 Ron Paul^‡ 4.2%

Research 2000/Daily Kos Oct 15-16 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 49% 4

American Research Group Oct 6-8 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 50% 5

Rasmussen Reports Oct 1 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 52% 8

Research 2000/Daily Kos Sept 22-24 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 52% 13

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Sept 21-23 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 49% 9 Bob Barr 1%

Ralph Nader 1%

American Research Group Sept 7-9 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 49% 2

Rasmussen Reports Sept 8 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 53% 11

Rasmussen Reports July 31 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 47% 0

‡ Ron Paul replaced Chuck Baldwin on the ballot in Montana.

Nebraska

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Nebraska opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin

Rasmussen Reports Sept 30 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 56% 19

American Research Group Sept 12-17 Barack Obama 34% John McCain 60% 26

Rasmussen Reports July 28 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 55% 19

Rasmussen Reports June 23 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 52% 16

Nevada

5 electoral votes chart
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Nevada opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin Others %

Reuters/Zogby Oct 31-Nov 3 Barack Obama 53.2% John McCain 42.4% 10.8

Public Policy Polling Oct 31-Nov 2 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 47% 4

Reuters/Zogby Oct 30-Nov 2 Barack Obama 50.7% John McCain 42.9% 7.8

Las Vegas Review-Journal/
Mason-Dixon Oct 28-29 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 43% 4

Reno Gazette-Journal/
Channel 2 Oct 23-28 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 45% 5

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Oct 23-28 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 45% 7

Rasmussen Reports Oct 27 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 46% 4

Suffolk University Oct 23-26 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 40% 10

Reuters/Zogby Oct 23-26 Barack Obama 48.2% John McCain 44% 4.2

Associated Press/GfK Oct 22-26 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 40% 12

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Oct 19-21 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 46% 5

Politico/
InsiderAdvantage Oct 20 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 47% 0

Rasmussen Reports Oct 16 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 45% 5

InsiderAdvantage/
Poll Position Oct 13 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 46% 3

Las Vegas Review-Journal/
Mason-Dixon Oct 8-9 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45% 2

InsiderAdvantage/
Poll Position Oct 6 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 47% 2

Reno Gazette-Journal/
Channel 2 News/
Research 2000 Oct 3-6 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 43% 7

Rasmussen Reports Oct 2 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 47% 4

InsiderAdvantage/
Poll Position Sept 30 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 47% 1

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Sept 28-30 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 47% 4

American Research Group Sept 27-29 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 49% 2

Suffolk University Sept 17-21 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 46% 1

Project New West/
Myers Research/
Grove Insight ** Sept 14-19 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45% 2

American Research Group Sept 12-14 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 49% 3

Rasmussen Reports Sept 11 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 49% 3

InsiderAdvantage/
Poll Position Sept 10 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 46% 1

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Aug 24-26 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 44% 5

Research 2000/
Reno Gazette-Journal/KTVN Aug 18-20 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 43% 1

Mason-Dixon/
Las Vegas Review Journal Aug 13-15 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 46% 7

Rasmussen Reports Aug 11 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 48% 3

Rasmussen Reports July 16 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45% 2

New Hampshire

4 electoral votes chart
(Republican in 2000)
(Democrat in 2004)

New Hampshire opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin Others %

Rasmussen Reports Oct 30 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 44% 7

SurveyUSA Oct 29-30 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 42% 11

Univ. of New Hampshire/
WMUR Oct 28-30 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 39% 14

American Research Group Oct 28-30 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 41% 15

Concord Monitor/
Research 2000 Oct 28-30 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 44% 7

Suffolk University Oct 27-29 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 40% 13

Strategic Vision Oct 27-29 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 41% 9

Univ. of New Hampshire/
WMUR Oct 25-27 Barack Obama 58% John McCain 33% 25

Univ. of New Hampshire/
WMUR Oct 24-26 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 39% 16

Associated Press/GfK Oct 22-26 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 37% 18

NBC/Mason-Dixon Oct 23-25 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 39% 11

Rasmussen Reports Oct 23 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 46% 4

Marist College Oct 22-23 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 45% 5

University of New Hampshire/
Boston Globe Oct 18-22 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 39% 15

Concord Mintor/
Research 2000 Oct 17-19 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 43% 7

American Research Group Oct 6-8 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 43% 9

CNN/Time Magazin/
Opinion Research Oct 3-6 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 45% 8

Survey USA Oct 4-5 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 40% 13

Rasmussen Reports Oct 1 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 43% 10

St. Anselm/SRBI Sept 25-30 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 37% 12

Concord Monitor/
Research 2000 Sept 22-24 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 44% 4

Strategic Vision Sept 22-24 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 45% 1

Suffolk University Sept 20-24 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 45% 1

Rasmussen Reports Sept 23 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 49% 2

Allstate/National Journal/FD Sept 18-22 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 43% 1

Marist College Sept 17-21 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 45% 6

University of New Hampshire Sept 14-21 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 47% 2

American Research Group Sept 13-15 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 48% 3 Others 1%

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Sept 9 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 43% 5

Rasmussen Reports Aug 20 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 46% 1

American Research Group Aug 18-20 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 45% 1

Rasmussen Reports July 23 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 45% 4

American Research Group July 19–21 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45% 2

University of New Hampshire July 11–20 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 43% 3

New Jersey

15 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

New Jersey opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin

Rasmussen Reports Nov 2 Barack Obama 57% John McCain 42% 15

Monmouth University/
Gannett New Jersey Oct 29-31 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 34% 21

SurveyUSA Oct 29-30 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 42% 10

Fairleigh Dickinson University Oct 23-29 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 35% 18

The Record/Research 2000 Oct 26-28 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 38% 16

Strategic Vision Oct 24-26 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 38% 15

Marist College Oct 20-21 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 39% 17

Quinnipiac University Oct 16-19 Barack Obama 59% John McCain 36% 23

Monmouth University/
Gannett New Jersey Oct 15-18 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 38% 17

SurveyUSA Oct 12 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 40% 15

Rasmussen Reports Oct 7 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 42% 8

Fairleigh Dickinson University Sept 29-
October 5 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 37% 13

SurveyUSA Sept 27-28 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 42% 10

Strategic Vision Sept 26-28 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 39% 9

American Research Group Sept 19-21 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 42% 9

Rasmussen Reports Sept 16 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 42% 13

Strategic Vision Sept 14-16 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 43% 4

Monmouth University/
Gannett New Jersey Sept 11-14 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 41% 8

Quinnipiac University Sept 10-14 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 45% 3

The Record/
Research 2000 Sept 9-11 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 41% 9

Marist College Sept 5-8 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 45% 3

Fairleigh Dickinson University Sept 4-7 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 41% 6

Quinnipiac University Aug 4-10 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 41% 10

Rasmussen Reports Aug 4 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 42% 10

Monmouth University/
Gannett New Jersey July 17–21 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 36% 14

Strategic Vision July 11–13 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 38% 9

Rasmussen Reports July 7 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 44% 3

New Mexico

5 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000)
(Republican in 2004)

New Mexico opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin Others %

SurveyUSA Oct 29-31 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 45% 7

Albuquerque Journal/
Research & Polling Oct 28-30 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 43% 8

Public Policy Polling Oct 28-30 Barack Obama 58% John McCain 41% 17

Rasmussen Reports Oct 28 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 44% 10

Rasmussen Reports Oct 13 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 42% 13

SurveyUSA Oct 12-13 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 45% 7

Albuquerque Journal/
Research & Polling Sept 29-
October 2 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 40% 5 Ralph Nader 1%

Rasmussen Reports Oct 1 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 44% 5

SurveyUSA Sept 29-30 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 44% 8

Public Policy Polling Sept 17-19 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 42% 11

SurveyUSA Sept 14-16 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 44% 8

American Research Group Sept 14-16 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 44% 7

Allstate/National Journal/
FD Sept 11-15 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 42% 7

Rasmussen Reports Sept 8 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 49% 2

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Aug 24-26 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 40% 13

Rasmussen Reports Aug 20 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 44% 4

Mason-Dixon Aug 13-15 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 45% 4

Rasmussen Reports July 24 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 43% 6

New York

31 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

New York opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin

Survey USA Oct 27-28 Barack Obama 62% John McCain 33% 29

Marist College Oct 21-22 Barack Obama 65% John McCain 29% 36

Siena College Oct 19-21 Barack Obama 62% John McCain 31% 31

Rasmussen Reports Oct 14 Barack Obama 57% John McCain 37% 20

Survey USA Oct 11-12 Barack Obama 64% John McCain 31% 33

Survey USA Sept 23-24 Barack Obama 57% John McCain 38% 19

American Research Group Sept 14-16 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 38% 17

Rasmussen Reports Sept 15 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 42% 13

Siena College Sept 8-10 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 41% 5

Siena College Aug 11-14 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 39% 8

Rasmussen Reports Aug 4 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 36% 19

Quinnipiac University July 31-Aug 4 Barack Obama 57% John McCain 36% 21

Siena College July 17–29 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 26% 18

Siena College July 7–10 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 37% 13

North Carolina

15 electoral votes chart
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

North Carolina opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin

American Research Group Oct 31-Nov 3 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 48% 1

Reuters/Zogby Oct 31-Nov 3 Barack Obama 49.5% John McCain 49.1% 0.4

Rasmussen Reports Nov 2 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 50% 1

Survey USA Oct 30-Nov 2 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 49% 1

Public Policy Polling Oct 31-Nov 2 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 49% 1

Reuters/Zogby Oct 30-Nov 2 Barack Obama 47.7% John McCain 49.3% 1.6

Research 2000/Daily Kos Oct 28-30 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45% 2

Rasmussen Reports Oct 29 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 48% 2

Politico/
Insider Advantage Oct 29 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 48% 0

Mason-Dixon/NBC Oct 28-29 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 49% 3

Civitas Institute/
TelOpinion Oct 27-29 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 46% 1

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Oct 23-28 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 46% 6

Allstate/National Journal/FD Oct 23-27 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 43% 4

Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News Oct 26 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 49% 1

Public Policy Polling Oct 25-26 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 48% 1

Reuters/Zogby Oct 23-26 Barack Obama 49.7% John McCain 46.4% 3.3

Associated Press/GfK Oct 22-26 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 46% 2

NBC/Mason-Dixon Oct 23-25 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 47% 0

Rasmussen Reports Oct 23 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 50% 2

WSOC-TV Oct 20-21 Barack Obama 48.4% John McCain 46.4% 2

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Oct 19-21 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 47% 4

InsiderAdvantage/
Politico Oct 20 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 48% 1

SurveyUSA/WTVD-TV Oct 18-20 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 47% 0

Civitas Institute/
TelOpinion Oct 18-20 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 45% 3

Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News Oct 19 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 48% 3

Public Policy Polling Oct 18-19 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 44% 7

Winthrop University/ETV Sept 28-
October 19 Barack Obama 44.6% John McCain 44.2% 0.4

Research 2000/
Daily Kos Oct 14-15 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 44% 2

InsiderAdvantage/
Poll Position Oct 13 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 46% 2

Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News Oct 12 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 48% 0

Public Policy Polling Oct 11-12 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 46% 3

Rasmussen Reports Oct 8 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 48% 1

Civitas/TelOpinion Oct 6-8 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 43% 5

WSOC-TV Oct 6-7 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 47.8% 1.8

SurveyUSA Oct 5-6 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 49% 3

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Oct 3-6 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 49% 0

Public Policy Polling Oct 4-5 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 44% 6

Rasmussen Reports Sept 30 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 47% 3

American Research Group Sept 27-29 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 49% 3

Public Policy Polling 28 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45% 2

Rasmussen Reports Sept 23 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 47% 2

Civitas Institute/
Tel Opinion Research 20 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 45% 0

Public Policy Polling Sept 17-19 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 46% 0

Rasmussen Reports Sept 18 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 50% 3

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Sept 14-16 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 48% 1

American Research Group Sept 13-16 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 52% 11

Research 2000/
Daily Kos Sept 8-10 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 55% 17

Civitas Institute/
Tel Opinion Research Sept 6-10 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 47% 3

Public Policy Polling Sept 9 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 48% 4

SurveyUSA Sept 6-8 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 58% 20

Garin Hart Yang Sept 5-7 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 49% 3

Democracy Corps/
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Aug 20-26 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 47% 3

Public Policy Polling Aug 23 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 45% 3

InsiderAdvantage Aug 19 Barack Obama 42.8% John McCain 44.5% 1.7

Zogby International * Aug 15-19 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 39% 8

Civitas Institute/
Tel Opinion Research Aug 14-17 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 46% 6

Rasmussen Reports Aug 13 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 50% 6

Survey USA Aug 9-11 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 49% 4

Research 2000/Daily Kos July 28–30 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 47% 4

Public Policy Polling July 23–27 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 47% 3

Civitas Institute/
Tel Opinion Research July 14–16 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 43% 3

Rasmussen Reports July 15 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 48% 3

Survey USA July 12–14 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 50% 5

North Dakota

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

North Dakota opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin

Research 2000/Daily Kos Oct 28-29 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 47% 1

Research 2000/Daily Kos Oct 14-15 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 45% 0

The Bismarck Tribune Oct 13-14 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 41% 3

Minnesota State University/
Fargo Forum Oct 6-8 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 43% 2

Research 2000/Daily Kos Sept 16-17 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 53% 13

American Research Group Sept 15-17 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 52% 9

Rasmussen Reports Sept 8 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 55% 14

North Dakota United
Transportation Union/
DFM Research ** Aug 23-27 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 40% 3

Research 2000/
Daily Kos July 21–23 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 45% 3

Rasmussen Reports July 8 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 47% 1

Ohio

20 electoral votes chart
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Ohio opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin Others %

Reuters/Zogby Oct 31-Nov 3 Barack Obama 49.4% John McCain 47.4% 2

Rasmussen Reports Nov 2 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 49% 0

Strategic Vision Oct 31-Nov 2 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 48% 2

Public Policy Polling Oct 31-Nov 2 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 48% 2

Reuters/Zogby Oct 30-Nov 2 Barack Obama 50.2% John McCain 43.9% 6.3

SurveyUSA Oct 30-Nov 2 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 46% 2

University of Cinncinati Oct 29-Nov 2 Barack Obama 51.5% John McCain 45.7% 5.8

Quinnipiac University Oct 27-Nov 2 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 43% 7

Columbus Dispatch Oct 22-31 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 46% 6

Mason-Dixon Oct 28-29 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 47% 2

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Oct 23-28 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 47% 4

SurveyUSA Oct 26-27 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 45% 4

Los Angeles Times/
Bloomberg Oct 25-27 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 40% 9

Allstate/National Journal/
FD Oct 23-27 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 41% 7

Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News Oct 26 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 45% 4

Marist College Oct 24-26 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 45% 3

Reuters/Zogby Oct 23-26 Barack Obama 49.7% John McCain 45.1% 4.6

Quinnipiac University Oct 22-26 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 42% 9

AP/GfK Oct 22-26 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 41% 7

Public Policy Polling Oct 21-23 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 44% 7

Ohio University Oct 12-23 Barack Obama 57% John McCain 41% 16

Politico/
InsiderAdvantage Oct 22 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 42% 10

Strategic Vision Oct 20-22 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 48% 3

Big Ten Poll Oct 19-22 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 41% 12

University of Cincinnati/
Ohio News Organization Oct 18-22 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 46% 3

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Oct 19-21 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 46% 4

Quinnipiac University Oct 16-21 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 38% 14

Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News Oct 19 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 49% 2

Suffolk University Oct 16-19 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 42% 9

NBC/Mason-Dixon Oct 16-17 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 46% 1

Rasmussen Reports Oct 14 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 49% 0

SurveyUSA Oct 12-13 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 45% 5

Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News Oct 12 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 47% 2

InsiderAdvantage/
PollPosition Oct 9 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 44% 5

Strategic Vision Oct 6-8 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 46% 2

Marist College Oct 5-8 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 45% 4

University of Cincinnati/
Ohio News Organization Oct 4-8 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 48% 2

American Research Group Oct 4-7 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 45% 3

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Oct 3-6 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 47% 3

Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News Oct 5 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 48% 1

Public Policy Polling Oct 4-5 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 43% 6

ABC News/
Washington Post Oct 3-5 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 45% 6

Columbus Dispatch Sept 24-Oct 4 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 42% 7

Democracy Corps/
Greenberg Quinlan
Rosner ** Sept 29-Oct 1 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 43% 6

Insider Advantage/
PollPosition Sept 29 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45% 2

SurveyUSA Sept 28-29 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 49% 1

Quinnipiac University Sept 27-29 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 42% 8

Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News Sept 28 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 48% 1

Rasmussen Reports Sept 23 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 47% 1

InsiderAdvantage/
Poll Position Sept 22 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 46% 0

Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News Sept 21 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 50% 4

Big Ten Poll Sept 14-17 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 45% 1

University of Cincinnati/
Ohio News Organization Sept 12-16 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 48% 6

Marist College Sept 11-15 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45% 2

Allstate/National Journal/
FD Sept 11-15 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 42% 1

Fox News/
Rasmussen Reports Sept 14 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 48% 3

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Sept 13-14 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 47% 2

Public Policy Polling Sept 13-14 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 48% 4

SurveyUSA Sept 12-14 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 49% 4

American Research Group Sept 10-13 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 50% 6

Suffolk University Sept 10-13 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 46% 4

InsiderAdvantage/
Poll Position Sept 10 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 48% 1

University of Cincinnati Sept 5-10 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 48% 4 Other 5%

Strategic Version Sept 7-9 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 48% 4

Quinnipiac University Sept 5-9 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 44% 5

Fox News/
Rasmussen Reports Sept 7 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 51% 7

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Aug 31-Sept 2 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45% 2

Quinnipiac University Aug 17-24 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 43% 1

The Columbus Dispatch Aug 12-21 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 42% 1

Rasmussen Reports Aug 20 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 48% 5

Public Policy Polling Aug 12-14 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 45% 0

Quinnipiac University July 23–29 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 44% 2

Rasmussen Reports July 21 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 52% 10

Public Policy Polling July 17–20 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 40% 8

Oklahoma

7 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Oklahoma opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin

SurveyUSA Oct 28-29 Barack Obama 34% John McCain 63% 29

TVPoll.com Oct 24-26 Barack Obama 34.8% John McCain 61.8% 27

SurveyUSA/KFOR-TV Oct 18-19 Barack Obama 35% John McCain 59% 24

TVPoll.com Oct 10-12 Barack Obama 31.9% John McCain 63.0% 31.1

TVPoll.com Oct 4-5 Barack Obama 29.1% John McCain 65.5% 36.4

SurveyUSA Sept 28-29 Barack Obama 34% John McCain 64% 30

TVPoll.com Sept 26-28 Barack Obama 26.5% John McCain 67.6% 41.1

TVPoll.com Sept 20-22 Barack Obama 26.2% John McCain 65.8% 39.6

Research 2000/Daily Kos Sept 16-18 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 59% 23

American Research Group Sept 15-18 Barack Obama 34% John McCain 61% 27

TVPoll.com Sept 14 Barack Obama 26.9% John McCain 69.1% 42.2

Rasmussen Reports Sept 11 Barack Obama 32% John McCain 63% 31

TVPoll.com Sept 7 Barack Obama 27.9% John McCain 65.9% 38

SurveyUSA Sept 5-7 Barack Obama 32% John McCain 65% 33

Sooner Poll/
Tulsa World July 19–23 Barack Obama 24% John McCain 56% 32

Oregon

7 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Oregon opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead margin

Rasmussen Reports Oct 30 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 42% 12

SurveyUSA Oct 29-30 Barack Obama 57% John McCain 38% 19

Public Policy Polling Oct 28-30 Barack Obama 57% John McCain 42% 15

Research 2000/Daily Kos Oct 27-29 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 39% 16

SurveyUSA Oct 25-26 Barack Obama 57% John McCain 38% 19

Riley Research Oct 10-20 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 34% 14

Research 2000/
Daily Kos Oct 14-15 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 38% 15

Rasmussen Reports Oct 14 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 41% 13

SurveyUSA Oct 11-12 Barack Obama 57% John McCain 40% 17

Grove Insight ** Oct 7-9 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 39% 13

Rasmussen Reports Oct 9 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 43% 11

Research 2000/Daily Kos Sept 22-24 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 39% 14

Survey USA Sept 22-23 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 41% 11

American Research Group Sept 19-22 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 41% 11

Rasmussen Reports Sept 15 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 47% 4

Portland Tribune/
Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall Sept 11-14 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 40% 10

Hoffman Research Group ** Sept 8-9 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 39% 6

Rasmussen Reports Aug 7 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 42% 10

Survey USA Aug 2-4 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 45% 3

Rasmussen Reports July 15 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 40% 9

Pennsylvania

21 electoral votes chart
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Pennsylvania opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin Others %

SurveyUSA Oct 31-Nov 3 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 43% 9

Reuters/Zogby Oct 31-Nov 3 Barack Obama 51.2% John McCain 41.4% 9.8

Strategic Vision Oct 31-Nov 2 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 44% 7

Public Policy Polling Oct 31-Nov 2 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 45% 8

Reuters/Zogby Oct 30-Nov 2 Barack Obama 53.7% John McCain 40% 13.7

Muhlenberg College/
Morning Call Oct 29-Nov 2 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 46% 6

Quinnipiac University Oct 27-Nov 2 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 42% 10

Rasmussen Reports Nov 1 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 46% 6

SurveyUSA Oct 29-31 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 44% 7

American Research Group Oct 29-31 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 45% 6

Muhlenberg College/
Morning Call Oct 27-31 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 44% 8

Rasmussen Reports Oct 30 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 47% 4

Muhlenberg College/
Morning Call Oct 26-30 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 43% 10

Mason-Dixon/NBC Oct 28-29 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 43% 4

Strategic Vision Oct 27-29 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 44% 5

Muhlenberg College/
Morning Call Oct 25-29 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 40% 13

NBC/Mason-Dixon Oct 27-28 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 43% 4

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Oct 23-28 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 43% 12

Rasmussen Reports Oct 27 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 46% 7

Marist College Oct 26-27 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 41% 14

Politico/
InsiderAdvantage Oct 26 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 42% 9

Quinnipiac University Oct 22-26 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 41% 12

Associated Press/GfK Oct 22-26 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 40% 12

Muhlenberg College/
Morning Call Oct 22-26 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 40% 13

Franklin & Marshall College Oct 21-26 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 40% 13

Temple University Oct 20-26 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 41% 9

Muhlenberg College/
Morning Call Oct 19-23 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 40% 12

Strategic Vision Oct 20-22 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 43% 7

Big Ten Poll Oct 19-22 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 41% 11

SurveyUSA Oct 21 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 41% 12

Quinnipiac University Oct 16-21 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 40% 13

National Journal/FD Oct 16-20 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 41% 10

Muhlenberg College/
Morning Call Oct 15-19 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 41% 12

Susquehanna Polling
and Research/
Pittsburgh Tribune-Review Oct 16-18 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 40% 8

Muhlenberg College/
Morning Call Oct 11-15 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 37% 16

SurveyUSA Oct 11-13 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 40% 15

Marist College Oct 5-8 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 41% 12

Strategic Vision Oct 5-7 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 40% 14

Muhlenberg College/
Morning Call Oct 3-7 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 38% 12

Rasmussen Reports Oct 6 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 41% 13

SurveyUSA Oct 5-6 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 40% 15

Muhlenberg College/
Morning Call Oct 1-5 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 38% 11

Muhlenberg College/
Morning Call Sept 30-
October 3 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 39% 12

Muhlenberg College/
Morning Call Sept 27-
October 1 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 41% 9

Quinnipiac University Sept 27-29 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 39% 15

Muhlenberg College/
Morning Call Sept 25-29 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 41% 8

Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News Sept 28 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 42% 8

Muhlenberg College/
Morning Call Sept 24-28 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 42% 7

Franklin & Marshall Sept 23-28 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 38% 7

Rasmussen Reports Sept 24 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 45% 4

SurveyUSA Sept 23-24 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 44% 6

Muhlenberg College/
Morning Call Sept 21-24 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 43% 4

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Sept 21-23 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 43% 8 Bob Barr 1%

Ralph Nader 3%

American Research Group Sept 20-22 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 46% 4

Strategic Vision Sept 20-22 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 46% 1

Allstate/National Journal/FD Sept 18-22 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 41% 2

Fox News/
Rasmussen Reports Sept 21 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 45% 3

NBC/Mason-Dixon Sept 16-18 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 44% 2

Big Ten Poll Sept 14-17 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 45% 0

Marist College Sept 11-15 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 44% 5

Fox News/
Rasmussen Reports Sept 14 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 47% 0

Quinnipiac University Sept 5-9 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 45% 3

Fox News/
Rasmussen Reports Sept 8 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45% 2

Strategic Vision Sept 5-7 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45% 2

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Aug 24-26 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 43% 5

Quinnipiac University Aug 17-24 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 42% 7

Rasmussen Reports Aug 19 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 45% 3

Susquehanna
Polling & Research Aug 11-14 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 41% 5

Franklin & Marshall College Aug 4-10 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 41% 5

Quinnipiac University July 23–29 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 42% 7

Strategic Vision July 25–27 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 40% 9

Rasmussen Reports July 23 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 45% 6

Rhode Island

4 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Rhode Island opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin

Rhode Island College Sept 17-24 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 34% 13

Brown University Sept 15-16 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 34% 13

Rasmussen Reports Sept 13 Barack Obama 58% John McCain 39% 19

American Research Group Sept 11-13 Barack Obama 59% John McCain 33% 26

Brown University Aug 18-20 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 30% 20

South Carolina

8 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

South Carolina opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin

Survey USA Oct 28-29 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 52% 8

NBC/Princeton Survey
Research Oct 25-28 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 53% 11

Rasmussen Reports Oct 20 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 54% 11

Winthrop University/ETV Sept 28-Oct 19 Barack Obama 34.9% John McCain 55.1% 20.2

Survey USA Oct 12-13 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 55% 14

Research 2000/Daily Kos Sept 22-24 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 54% 15

Survey USA Sept 21-22 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 58% 19

Rasmussen Reports Sept 18 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 51% 6

American Research Group Sept 14-17 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 59% 22

Research 2000/Daily Kos July 22–23 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 53% 13

Public Policy Polling July 9–11 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 45% 6

South Dakota

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

South Dakota opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin

Rasmussen Reports Oct 30 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 53% 9

Research 2000/Daily Kos Oct 22-24 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 50% 9

Argus Leader Media/KELO-TV Oct 13-15 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 48% 7

American Research Group Sept 19-21 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 55% 16

Rasmussen Reports Sept 9 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 54% 17

Rasmussen Reports July 9 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 47% 4

Tennessee

11 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Tennessee opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin

Research 2000/Daily Kos Oct 21-22 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 54% 16

Rasmussen Reports Oct 16 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 54% 12

Rasmussen Reports Sept 29 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 58% 19

Middle Tennessee State University Sept 15-27 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 48% 12

Mason-Dixon Sept 22-24 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 55% 16

American Research Group Sept 16-19 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 59% 23

Rasmussen Reports Aug 20 Barack Obama 35% John McCain 60% 25

Ayres, McHenry & Associates ** Aug 10-12 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 51% 15

Texas

34 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Texas opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin

University of Texas Oct 15-22 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 51% 11

Rasmussen Reports Oct 21 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 54% 10

Research 2000/Daily Kos Oct 14-15 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 52% 12

American Research Group Oct 5-8 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 57% 19

Rasmussen Reports Sept 29 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 52% 9

American Research Group Sept 13-16 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 57% 19

Rasmussen Reports Aug 21 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 54% 10

University of Texas July 18–30 Barack Obama 33% John McCain 43% 10

Rasmussen Reports July 29 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 52% 8

Utah

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Utah opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin

Deseret News/KSL-TV
Dan Jones & Associates Oct 24-30 Barack Obama 32% John McCain 57% 25

American Research Group Sept 10-13 Barack Obama 29% John McCain 65% 36

Rasmussen Reports Sept 10 Barack Obama 32% John McCain 64% 32

Deseret News/
Dan Jones & Associates Sept 8-11 Barack Obama 24% John McCain 62% 38

Mason Dixon Aug 13-15 Barack Obama 23% John McCain 62% 39

Vermont

Winner: Barack Obama
3 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Vermont opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin

Rasmussen Reports Oct 6 Barack Obama 65% John McCain 32% 33

American Research Group Sept 18-22 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 38% 18

Research 2000 Sept 14 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 36% 19

Rasmussen Reports Sept 13 Barack Obama 60% John McCain 36% 24

Virginia

13 electoral votes chart
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Virginia opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin Others %

American Research Group Oct 31-Nov 3 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 47% 4

Reuters/Zogby Oct 31-Nov 3 Barack Obama 51.7% John McCain 45.3% 6.4

Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News Nov 2 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 47% 4

Public Policy Polling Oct 31-Nov 2 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 46% 6

Reuters/Zogby Oct 30-Nov 2 Barack Obama 50.7% John McCain 44.6% 6.1

SurveyUSA Oct 30-Nov 1 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 46% 4

Mason-Dixon/
Richmond Times-Dispatch Oct 29-30 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 44% 3

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Oct 23-28 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 44% 9

Marist College Oct 26-27 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 47% 4

Allstate/National Journal/FD Oct 23-27 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 44% 4

Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News Oct 26 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 47% 4

SurveyUSA Oct 25-26 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 43% 9

Reuters/Zogby Oct 23-26 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 44.8% 7.2

Associated Press/GfK Oct 22-26 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 42% 7

Roanoke College Oct 19-26 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 39% 9

News/
Washington Post Oct 22-25 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 44% 8

Public Policy Polling Oct 21-23 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 43% 8

Virginia Commonwealth
University Oct 20-22 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 40% 11

NBC/Mason-Dixon Oct 20-21 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45% 2

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Oct 19-21 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 44% 10

SurveyUSA Oct 18-19 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 45% 6

Winthrop University/ETV Sept 28-Oct 19 Barack Obama 44.6% John McCain 43.6% 1

Rasmussen Reports Oct 16 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 44% 10

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Oct 11-14 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 43% 10

Christopher Newport
University Oct 11-14 Barack Obama 49.2% John McCain 43.2% 6

Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News Oct 12 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 47% 3

Public Policy Polling Oct 6-7 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 43% 8

Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News Oct 5 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 48% 2

SurveyUSA Oct 4-5 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 43% 10

Suffolk University Oct 3-5 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 39% 12

Mason-Dixon/
Richmond Times-Dispatch Sept 28-Oct 1 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 48% 3

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Sept 28- 30 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 44% 9

Insider Advantage/
Poll Position Sept 29 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 45% 6

American Research Group Sept 27-29 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 49% 3

Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News Sept 28 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 47% 3

Rasmussen Reports Sept 25 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 45% 5

NBC/Mason-Dixon Sept 17- 22 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 47% 3

Rasmussen Reports/
Fox News Sept 21 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 50% 2

SurveyUSA Sept 19- 21 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 45% 6

ABC News/
Washington Post Sept 18- 21 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 46% 3

American Research Group Sept 17- 20 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 48% 2

Insider Advantage/
Poll Position Sept 17 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 48% 2

Allstate/National Journal/FD Sept 11-15 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 48% 7

Fox News/
Rasmussen Reports Sept 14 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 48% 0

Public Policy Polling Sept 13-14 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 46% 2

SurveyUSA Sept 12-14 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 46% 4

Christopher Newport
University Sept 10-14 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 48% 9

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Sept 9 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 49% 6

Fox News/
Rasmussen Reports Sept 7 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 49% 2

SurveyUSA Sept 5-7 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 49% 2

Public Policy Polling Aug 20-22 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45% 2

InsiderAdvantage/
Majority Opinion Research Aug 12 Barack Obama 42.6% John McCain 43.1% 0.5

Rasmussen Reports Aug 12 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 48% 1

SurveyUSA Aug 8-10 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 48% 1

Public Policy Polling July 17–20 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 44% 2

Rasmussen Reports July 16 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 48% 1

Washington

11 electoral votes
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Washington opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin

Strategic Vision Oct 31-Nov 2 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 40% 15

SurveyUSA Oct 30-Nov 2 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 40% 16

The Washington Poll/
Pacific Market Research Oct 27-31 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 39% 12

SurveyUSA Oct 26-27 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 39% 17

Strategic Vision Oct 25-26 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 42% 12

The Washington Poll/
Pacific Market Research Oct 18-26 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 34% 21

Rasmussen Reports Oct 22 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 43% 11

Elway Poll Oct 16-19 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 36% 19

SurveyUSA Oct 12-13 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 40% 16

Rasmussen Reports Oct 2 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 43% 10

SurveyUSA Sept 21-22 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 43% 11

American Research Group Sept 16-18 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 44% 14

Strategic Vision Sept 14-16 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 42% 5

Rasmussen Reports Sept 10 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 47% 2

Elway Poll Sept 6-8 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 37% 9

SurveyUSA Sept 5-7 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 45% 4

SurveyUSA Aug 11-12 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 44% 7

Rasmussen Reports Aug 6 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 42% 12

Elway Poll July 27–31 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 35% 12

Strategic Vision July 25–27 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 37% 11

SurveyUSA July 13–15 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 39% 16

Moore Information July 9–10 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 37% 10

Rasmussen Reports July 9 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 43% 8

West Virginia

5 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

West Virginia opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin Other %

American Research
Group Oct 31-Nov 3 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 53% 11

Public Policy Polling Oct 29-30 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 55% 13

Reuters/Zogby Oct 23-26 Barack Obama 40.4% John McCain 50.3% 9.9

Research 2000/
Daily Kos Oct 22-24 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 49% 6

Wesleyan College/
The State Journal Oct 20-21 Barack Obama 43.5% John McCain 49.2% 5.7

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Oct 19-21 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 53% 9

Rasmussen Reports Oct 20 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 52% 9

NBC/Mason-Dixon Oct 16-17 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 47% 6

Public Policy Polling Oct 16-17 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 50% 8

Rainmaker Media Group Oct 14-15 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 42% 1

InsiderAdvantage/
Poll Position Oct 13 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 49% 2

American Research
Group Oct 4-8 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 42% 8

Rasmussen Reports Sept 24 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 50% 8

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Sept 21-23 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 49%

American Research
Group Sept 14-16 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 49% 4

Mark Blankenship
Enterprises Sept 6-7 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 44% 5

Wisconsin

10 electoral votes chart
(Democrat in 2000 & 2004)

Wisconsin opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin

Strategic Vision Oct 31-Nov 2 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 40% 13

SurveyUSA Oct 28-29 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 39% 16

Research 2000/
WISC-TV Oct 27-28 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 42% 11

UW Badger Poll Oct 21-28 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 42% 10

Strategic Vision Oct 24-26 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 41% 9

Rasmussen Reports Oct 23 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 44% 7

Big Ten Poll Oct 19-22 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 40% 13

Research 2000/
WISC-TV Oct 20-21 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 41% 11

National Journal/FD Oct 16-20 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 40% 13

SurveyUSA Oct 18-19 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 43% 8

NBC/Mason-Dixon Oct 16-17 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 39% 12

Wisconsin Public Radio/
St Norbert College Oct 9-17 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 38% 13

University of
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Oct 8-15 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 36% 15

Quinnipiac University/
Wall Street Journal/
Washington Post Oct 8-12 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 37% 17

Rasmussen Reports Oct 6 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 44% 10

Research 2000 Oct 5-6 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 41% 10

SurveyUSA Oct 5-6 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 42% 10

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Oct 3-6 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 46% 5

Strategic Vision Sept 22-26 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 40% 9

WISC-TV/Research 2000 Sept 23-24 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 43% 6

American Research Group Sept 18-21 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 45% 5

Quinnipiac University/
Wall Street Journal/
Washington Post Sept 14-21 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 42% 7

Big Ten Poll Sept 14-17 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 44% 1

CNN/Time Magazine/
Opinion Research Sept 14-16 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 47% 3

Rasmussen Reports Sept 15 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 46% 2

Strategic Vision Sept 5-7 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 43% 3

Strategic Vision Aug 8-10 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 42% 5

Rasmussen Reports Aug 5 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 44% 7

Wisconsin Policy
Research Institute Aug 3-4 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 38% 6

Quinnipiac University/
Wall Street Journal/
Washington Post July 14–22 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 39% 11

Rasmussen Reports July 8 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 42% 10

Wyoming

3 electoral votes
(Republican in 2000 & 2004)

Wyoming opinion polls

Poll Source Date administered (2008) Democrat % Republican % Lead Margin

Research 2000/Daily Kos Oct 27-29 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 61% 25

SurveyUSA/Roll Call Oct 18-19 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 58% 21

Research 2000/Daily Kos Oct 14-16 Barack Obama 35% John McCain 58% 23

Research 2000/Daily Kos Sept 22-24 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 57% 21

American Research Group Sept 9-11 Barack Obama 28% John McCain 66% 38

Rasmussen Reports Sept 10 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 58% 19

Mason Dixon Aug 13-15 Barack Obama 25% John McCain 62% 37

See also

Nationwide opinion polling for the Democratic Party 2008 presidential candidates

Nationwide opinion polling for the Republican Party 2008 presidential candidates

Nationwide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008

Statewide opinion polling for the Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2008

Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primaries, 2008

Notes

* a scientific poll conducted via the Internet (not used in calculating results below).

** a poll commissioned by an organization affiliated with a specific candidate (not used in calculating results below).

Latest results (using latest polling when available)

This results section uses only the latest polls for each state. It is for indicative purposes only, and is highly susceptible to polling errors. The numbers in parentheses indicate the number of electoral votes awarded to each state. A total of 538 electoral votes are distributed among the states and DC. Margins of 10% or more are considered "safe"; margins of 5% to 9.9% are considered "likely" and margins of 0.1% to 4.9% are considered "leaning". Margins of multiple polls concluded the same day are averaged out. Because the list is revised after newer polls are released, it is highly volatile and should only be taken as examples.

Barack Obama − Joe Biden

Total states (28 states & D.C. − 356 electoral votes)

Safe states (19 states & D.C. − 233 electoral votes)

California (55)

Connecticut (7)

Delaware (3)

District of Columbia (3)

Hawaii (4)

Illinois (21)

Iowa (7)

Maine (4)

Maryland (10)

Massachusetts (12)

Michigan (17)

Nevada (5)

New Hampshire (4)

New Jersey (15)

New York (31)

Oregon (7)

Rhode Island (4)

Vermont (3)

Washington (11)

Wisconsin (10)

Likely states (3 states − 39 electoral votes)

New Mexico (5)

Pennsylvania (21)

Virginia (13)

Leaning states (6 states − 84 electoral votes)

Colorado (9)

Florida (27)

Minnesota (10)

Montana (3)

North Carolina (15)

Ohio (20)

John McCain − Sarah Palin

Total states (21 states − 171 electoral votes)

Safe states (13 states − 106 electoral votes)

Alabama (9)

Alaska (3)

Idaho (4)

Kansas (6)

Kentucky (8)

Mississippi (6)

Nebraska (5)

Oklahoma (7)

Tennessee (11)

Texas (34)

Utah (5)

West Virginia (5)

Wyoming (3)

Likely states (4 states − 28 electoral votes)

Arkansas (6)

Indiana (11)

South Carolina (8)

South Dakota (3)

Leaning states (4 states − 37 electoral votes)

Arizona (10)

Georgia (15)

Louisiana (9)

North Dakota (3)

Tied

Total states (1 state − 11 electoral votes)

Missouri (11)

Maps of recent polling data

Map and totals updated at 11-3-08 11:10AM EST. Maps are based on a weighted average for the previous 10 polling results, and as such may be slow to show changes in countrywide opinion - click on the image to view its history. The second map is altered to convey the proportional amount of electoral votes of each state. The number of electoral votes of a given state is based on its population. Candidates must win at least 270 electoral votes to win the election, and the House of Representatives votes in the event no one qualifies.

Safe Obama - over 10% (243) Likely Obama - over 5% (291) (48) Leans Obama - over 1% (338) (47) Tossup - within 1% (29) Leans McCain - over 1% (171) (39) Likely McCain - over 5% (132) (14) Safe McCain - over 10% (118)

District of Columbia (3) - 69.0%

Hawaii (4) - 38.3%
New York (31) - 29.0%
Vermont (3) - 27.4%
Delaware (3) - 23.8%
Illinois (21) - 22.8%
California (55) - 22.7%
Massachusetts (12) - 20.3%
Connecticut (7) - 20.1%
Maryland (10) - 18.2%
Rhode Island (4) - 17.0%
New Jersey (15) - 16.5%
Oregon (7) - 15.4%
Washington (11) - 14.6%
Maine (4) - 14.0%
Michigan (17) - 13.8%
Iowa (7) - 13.0%
New Hampshire (4) - 12.9%
Minnesota (10) - 11.9%
Wisconsin (10) - 11.3%
New Mexico (5) - 10.1%
Pennsylvania (21) - 7.4%
Colorado (9) - 7.2%
Nevada (5) - 6.1%
Virginia (13) - 5.6%
Ohio (20) - 4.6%

Florida (27) - 3.1%
North Carolina (15) - 0.9% Obama

Missouri (11) - 0.1% McCain
North Dakota (3) - 0.5% McCain
Arizona (10) - 4.7%

Georgia (15) - 4.1%
Montana (3) - 2.5%
Indiana (11) - 1.3%
Arkansas (6) - 9.7%

South Dakota (3) - 9.0%
West Virginia (5) - 7.9%
Oklahoma (7) - 29.3%

Utah (5) - 26.2%
Idaho (4) - 25.2%
Wyoming (3) - 23.6%
Alabama (9) - 23.4%
Nebraska (5) - 20.7%
Kansas (6) - 16.8%
Alaska (3) - 16.7%
Tennessee (11) - 15.2%
Kentucky (8) - 13.7%
Texas (34) - 11.9%
South Carolina (8) - 11.5%
Mississippi (6) - 11.0%
Louisiana (9)- 10.2%

Totals

Obama leads: 338 electoral votes

McCain leads: 171 electoral votes

Election Day projection

FINAL UPDATE: 22:32, 4 November 2008 (UTC)

Data derived from Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight.com weighted averages and statistical polling analysis, which determines what the best guess as to what will happen on Election Day is rather than what would happen if the election were held today. (Methodology)

Each state is colored according to which candidate is currently projected to win, and both the state's total electoral votes and the winning candidate's projected margin of victory are listed.

References

^ "Poll: Obama Leading McCain In Mich - Politics News Story - WDIV Detroit". Clickondetroit.com. http://www.clickondetroit.com/politics/17263271/detail.html. Retrieved 2008-09-05.

External links

FiveThirtyEight.com: Detailed analysis of state-by-state general election polling

Electoral-Vote.com

Pollster.com Graphic display of aggregated polls

Election-Projection.net 2008 state-by-state and Electoral College Vote Projections

Rasmussen Reports: Balance of Power Calculator

Real Clear Politics

Princeton Election Consortium

Survey USA

CNN's Electoral Map

American Research Group's Ballot Lead Calculator

v · d · eUnited States presidential election, 2008

United States elections, 2008

Candidates

Comparison)

Debates

Congressional support

Fundraising

Ballot access

Timeline

Super Tuesday

Potomac primary

Super Tuesday II

General polls

Statewide general polls

International polls

International reaction

Democratic Party

Convention

Primary polls

General polls

Debates

Primaries

Primary results

Superdelegates

Democratic candidates

Nominee: Barack Obama

(campaign

positions)

VP nominee: Joe Biden

(positions)

Other candidates:

Evan Bayh campaign)

Joe Biden (campaign)

Hillary Rodham Clinton (campaign)

Chris Dodd (campaign)

John Edwards (campaign)

Mike Gravel (campaign)

Dennis Kucinich (campaign)

Bill Richardson (campaign)

Tom Vilsack (campaign)

Republican Party

Convention

Primary polls

General polls

Debates

Primaries

Primary results

Republican candidates

Nominee: John McCain

(campaign

positions)

VP nominee: Sarah Palin

(positions)

Other candidates:

Sam Brownback

John Cox

Jim Gilmore (campaign)

Rudy Giuliani (campaign)

Mike Huckabee (campaign)

Duncan Hunter (campaign)

Alan Keyes (campaign)

Ray McKinney

Ron Paul (campaign)

Mitt Romney (campaign)

Tom Tancredo (campaign)

Fred Thompson (campaign)

Tommy Thompson (campaign)

Draft movements

Democratic Party:

Al Gore

Mark Warner (movement)

Republican Party:

Newt Gingrich

Condoleezza Rice (movement)

Independent:

Michael Bloomberg (movement)

Third party and independent candidates

Constitution Party:
Convention

Nominee: Chuck Baldwin (campaign)

VP nominee: Darrell Castle

Candidates:

Daniel Imperato

Alan Keyes (campaign)

Green Party:
Convention

Nominee: Cynthia McKinney

(campaign

positions)

VP nominee: Rosa Clemente

Candidates:

Elaine Brown

Jesse Johnson

Kent Mesplay

Kat Swift

Libertarian Party:
Convention

Nominee: Bob Barr

(campaign

positions)

VP nominee: Wayne Allyn Root

Candidates:

Mike Gravel (campaign)

Daniel Imperato

Michael Jingozian

Steve Kubby

Wayne Allyn Root

Mary Ruwart

Doug Stanhope

American Party

Nominee: Diane Beall Templin

America's Independent Party

Nominee: Alan Keyes (campaign)

VP nominee: Brian Rohrbough

Boston Tea Party

Nominee: Charles Jay

New American Independent Party

Nominee: Frank McEnulty

Peace and Freedom Party

Nominee: Ralph Nader (campaign)

VP nominee: Matt Gonzalez

Candidates:

Gloria LaRiva

Cynthia McKinney (campaign)

Brian Moore (campaign)

Prohibition Party

Nominee: Gene Amondson

Reform Party

Nominee: Ted Weill

VP nominee: Frank McEnulty

Socialism and Liberation Party

Nominee: Gloria La Riva

Socialist Party

Nominee: Brian Moore (campaign)

VP nominee: Stewart Alexander

Candidates:

Eric Chester

Socialist Workers Party

Nominee: Róger Calero

Alternate nominee: James Harris

VP nominee: Alyson Kennedy

Independent / Other

Earl Dodge

Bradford Lyttle

Frank Moore

Joe Schriner

Jonathon Sharkey

Other 2008 elections:

House

Senate

Gubernatorial

Categories:
Opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008

Alabama opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Survey USA	Oct 27-28	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	61%	25
Capital Survey Research Center	Oct 15-21	Barack Obama	34%	John McCain	54%	20
Survey USA	Oct 8-9	Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	62%	27
Capital Research Center	Oct 6-7	Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	54.5%	19.5
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 22	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	60%	21
Survey USA	Sept 16-17	Barack Obama	34%	John McCain	64%	30
American Research Group	Sept 13-16	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	58%	22
University of South Alabama/ Press-Register	Sept 8-15	Barack Obama	25%	John McCain	52%	27
Capital Survey Research Center/ Alabama Education Association	Sept 3-9	Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	55%	20
Capital Survey Research Center/ Alabama Education Association	July 29-Aug 4	Barack Obama	34%	John McCain	47%	13
Rasmussen Reports	July 31	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	58%	20

Alaska opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Hays Research **	Nov 2	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%	3
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 28-30	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	58%	19
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 28	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	57%	16
Ivan Moore Research	Oct 17-19	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	53%	11
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	Oct 14-16	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	57%	19
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 6	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	55%	15
Fairleigh Dickinson University	Sept 17-21	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	55%	18
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	Sept 15-17	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	55%	17
American Research Group	Sept 9-11	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	55%	16
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 9	Barack Obama	33%	John McCain	64%	31
American Viewpoint **	Sept 2	Barack Obama	33%	John McCain	57%	24
Ivan Moore Research	Aug 30- Sept 2	Barack Obama	34.9%	John McCain	53.5%	18.6
Hays Research Group **	Aug 6-7	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	40%	5
Rasmussen Reports	July 30	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	48%	6
Ivan Moore Research	July 18–22	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	47%	3
Rasmussen Reports	July 17	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	49%	5
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	July 14–16	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	51%	10

Arizona opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
American Research Group	Oct 28-30	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	50%	4
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 28-30	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%	1
NBC News/Mason Dixon	Oct 27-28	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	48%	4
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 23-28	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	53%	7
Northern Arizona University/ University of Washington	Oct 18-27	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	49%	8
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 26	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	51%	5
Arizona State University/ Cronkite/Eight	Oct 23-26	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	46%	2
Myers Research/Grove Insight/ Project New West **	Oct 23-25	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	44%	4
Zimmerman & Associates/ Marketing Intelligence **	Oct 16-18	Barack Obama	41.5%	John McCain	43.5%	2
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 29	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	59%	21
Arizona State University/ Cronkite/Eight	Sept 25-28	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	45%	7
American Research Group	Sept 11-14	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	56%	17
Walter Cronkite School/ Channel 8 (KAET)	Aug 20	Barack Obama	30%	John McCain	40%	10
Mason-Dixon	Aug 13-15	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	47%	6
Public Policy Polling(PPP)	July 30–31	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	52%	12
Rasmussen Reports	July 30	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	57%	19

Arkansas opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
American Research Group	Oct 28-31	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	51%	7
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 27	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	54%	10
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 21-22	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	52%	11
University of Arkansas	Oct 1-21	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	51%	15
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 22	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	51%	9
American Research Group	Sept 20-22	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	53%	12
Rasmussen Reports	July 17	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	52%	13

California opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Survey USA	Oct 29-31	Barack Obama	60%	John McCain	36%	24
Field Poll	Oct 18-28	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	33%	22
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 25	Barack Obama	61%	John McCain	34%	27
Public Policy Institute of California	Oct 12-19	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	33%	23
Survey USA	Oct 15-16	Barack Obama	59%	John McCain	35%	24
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 9	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	40%	16
Survey USA	Oct 4-5	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	39%	16
Survey USA	Sept 23-24	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	43%	10
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 22	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	39%	17
American Research Group	Sept 18-20	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	39%	14
Public Policy Institute of California	Sept 9-16	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	40%	10
Field Research Corporation	Sept 5-14	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	36%	16
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 21	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	41%	13
Public Policy Institute of California	Aug 12-19	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	39%	9
Rasmussen Reports	July 24	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	42%	10
Public Policy Institute of California	July 8–22	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	35%	15
Field Research Corporation	July 8–14	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	30%	24
Zogby International *	June 11–30	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	32%	20
Rasmussen Reports	June 23	Barack Obama	58%	John McCain	30%	28

Colorado opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin	Others	%
Rasmussen/Fox News	Nov 2	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
American Research Group	Oct 28-30	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	45%	7
Public Policy Polling	Oct 28-30	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	44%	10
Denver Post/Mason-Dixon	Oct 28-29	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%	5
Marist College	Oct 27-28	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%	6
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 23-28	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	45%	8
Allstate/National Journal/FD	Oct 23-27	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	44%	4
Politico/InsiderAdvantage	Oct 26	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	45%	8
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 26	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	46%	4
Associated Press/GfK	Oct 22-26	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	41%	9
Rocky Mountain News/ CBS4 News/ Public Opinion Strategies	Oct 21-23	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	40%	12
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Oct 20	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	46%	5
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 19	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	46%	5
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 16	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	45%	7
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 11-14	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
Suffolk University	Oct 10-13	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	43%	4
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	Oct 8-12	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	43%	9
Public Policy Polling	Oct 8-10	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	42%	10
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Oct 6	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%	6
Rasmussen Reports Fox News	Oct 5	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%	6
Mason Dixon/Denver Post	Sept 29-Oct 1	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	44%	0
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Sept 28	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	48%	1
American Research Group	Sept 23-25	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%	3
Insider Advantage/ Poll Position	Sept 23	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	41%	9
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 23	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	47%	3
CNN/Time Magazine	Sept 21-23	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%	4
Ciruli Associates/ Economic Development Council of Colorado	Sept 19-23	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	43%	1
Public Policy Polling	Sept 20-21	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%	7
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	Sept 14-21	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%	4
Insider Advantage/ Poll Position	Sept 17	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	41%	10
Allstate/National Journal/FD	Sept 11-15	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	44%	1
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	Sept 14	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	48%	2
American Research Group	Sept 10-13	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	46%	2
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Sept 10	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	46%	3
Public Policy Polling	Sept 9	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	46%	1
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	Sept 7	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	46%	3
Tarrance Group **	Sept 2-3	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	47%	2
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Aug 24-26	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	47%	1
Hill Research Consultants **	Aug 23-24	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	40%	3
Suffolk University	Aug 21-24	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	39%	5
Quinnipiac University	Aug 15-21	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	47%	1
6	Ralph Nader	2%
	Other	8%
Mason Dixon	Aug 13-15	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	43%	3
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 13	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	49%	1
Rocky Mtn News/CBS4	Aug 11-13	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	44%		Bob Barr	3%
3	Ralph Nader	2%
	Other	2%
Public Policy Polling	Aug 5-7	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	44%	4
FrederickPolls	July 16–22	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	41%	4
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	July 14–22	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	46%	2	Other	3%
Rasmussen Reports	July 21	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	47%	3
Public Policy Polling	July 9–10	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	43%	4
Zogby International *	June 11–30	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	38%		Bob Barr	8%
2	Ralph Nader	2%
	Other	4%

Connecticut opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Hartford Courant/ University of Connecticut	Oct 18-22	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	31%	25
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 14	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	39%	17
Survey USA	Sept 24-25	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	38%	16
American Research Group	Sept 17-19	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	39%	15
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 16	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	41%	12
Rasmussen Reports	July 31	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	36%	15
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	June 30-July 2	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	35%	22
Rasmussen Reports	July 1	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	35%	17

Delaware opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Survey USA	Oct 27-28	Barack Obama	63%	John McCain	33%	30
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 10	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	41%	15
West Chester University	Oct 6-8	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	38%	17
Survey USA	Sept 22-23	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	37%	20
Fairleigh Dickinson University	Sept 17-21	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	36%	20
American Research Group	Sept 13-15	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	40%	11
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 13	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	43%	12

District of Columbia opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
American Research Group	Sept 11-13	Barack Obama	82%	John McCain	13%	69

Florida opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
SurveyUSA	Oct 31-Nov 3	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	47%	3
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 31-Nov 3	Barack Obama	49.25%	John McCain	48%	1.2
Datamar Inc.	Nov 1-2	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48.2%	1.2
Rasmussen Reports	Nov 2	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	50%	1
Strategic Vision	Oct 31-Nov 2	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	47%	2
Public Policy Polling	Oct 31-Nov 2	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	48%	2
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 30-Nov 2	Barack Obama	47.5%	John McCain	46.2%	1.3
Quinnipiac University	Oct 27-Nov 2	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
American Research Group	Oct 29-31	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	46%	4
Datamar Inc.	Oct 29-30	Barack Obama	46.7%	John McCain	46.7%	0
Mason-Dixon	Oct 29-30	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	47%	2
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 23-28	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
Los Angeles Times/ Bloomberg	Oct 25-27	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	43%	7
Allstate/National Journal/FD	Oct 23-27	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	44%	1
Suffolk University	Oct 26	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%	5
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 26	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
Datamar Inc.	Oct 25-26	Barack Obama	49.2%	John McCain	44.4%	4.8
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 23-26	Barack Obama	47.2%	John McCain	46.9%	0.3
Quinnipiac University	Oct 22-26	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
Associated Press/GfK	Oct 22-26	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	43%	2
Politico/ InsiderAdvantage	Oct 22	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	47%	1
Strategic Vision	Oct 20-22	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	48%	2
St. Petersburg Times/ Bay News 9/ Miami Herald	Oct 20-22	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	42%	7
NBC/Mason-Dixon	Oct 20-21	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	46%	1
Quinnipiac University	Oct 16-21	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%	5
Rasmussen Reports/	Oct 19	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	49%	1
Public Policy Polling	Oct 16-19	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	47%	1
SurveyUSA	Oct 16	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	49%	2
Research 2000 Times-Union South Florida Sun Sentinel	Oct 13-15	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%	4
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 11-14	Barack obama	51%	John McCain	46%	5
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Oct 13	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	44%	4
Rasmussen Reports Fox News	Oct 12	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	46%	5
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 8	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	47%	3
Strategic Vision	Oct 6-8	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	44%	8
Research 2000	Oct 6-8	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%	5
NBC/Mason-Dixon	Oct 4-6	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	46%	2
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 5	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	45%	7
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Sept 30	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	46%	3
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 28-30	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
Suffolk University/WSVN	Sept 27-30	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	42%	4
Quinnipiac University	Sept 27-29	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	43%	8
Rasmussen Reports/	Sept 28	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	48%	0
Public Policy Polling	Sept 27-28	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	46%	3
SurveyUSA	Sept 27-28	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%	1
American Research Group	Sept 23-25	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	46%	1
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 24	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%	1
Strategic Vision	Sept 20-22	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%	3
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	Sept 21	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	51%	5
NBC/Mason Dixon	Sept 16-18	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
Florida Times-Union/ South Florida Sun-Sentinel/ Research 2000	Sept 15-18	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	46%	1
SurveyUSA	Sept 16-17	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	51%	6
American Research Group	Sept 14-17	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	46%	0
Miami Herald/ St. Petersberg Times/ Schroth, Eldon & Associates/ The Polling Company	Sept 14-17	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	47%	2
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 14-16	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	48%	0
Allstate/National Journal/FD	Sept 11-15	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	44%	0
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	Sept 14	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	49%	5
Insider Advantage/ Poll Position	Sept 10	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	50%	8
Quinnipiac University	Sept 5-9	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	50%	7

Georgia opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Nov 2	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%	1
Strategic Vision	Oct 31-Nov 2	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	50%	4
Public Policy Polling	Oct 31-Nov 2	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	50%	2
SurveyUSA/ 13WAMZ	Oct 30-Nov 2	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	52%	7
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 30	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	52%	5
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 28-30	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	47%	3
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 23-28	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	52%	5
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Oct 27	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%	1
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Oct 23	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	47%	1
Mason-Dixon/NBC	Oct 22-23	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	49%	6
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 22	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	51%	5
Strategic Vision	Oct 20-22	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	51%	6
Democracy Corps/ Greenberg, Quinlan, Rosner **	Oct 16-19	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	46%	2
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 14-15	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	49%	6
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 11-14	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	51%	6
SurveyUSA	Oct 12	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	51%	8
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Oct 9	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	49%	3
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 7	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	54%	9
Strategic Vision	Oct 5-7	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	50%	7
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Sept 29-Oct 1	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	50%	7
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Sept 30	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	50%	6
SurveyUSA	Sept 28-29	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	52%	8
American Research Group	Sept 18-21	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	57%	18
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 18	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	54%	11
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Sept 17	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	51%	8
SurveyUSA	Sept 14-16	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	57%	16
Public Opinion Strategies	Sept 9-11	Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	56%	21
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Sept 10	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	56%	18
Strategic Vision	Sept 7-9	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	52%	13
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 14	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	53%	9
Rasmussen Reports	July 17	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	53%	11
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position/ Majority Opinion Research	July 2	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	46%	2

Hawaii opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 23	Barack Obama	68%	John McCain	27%	41
American Research Group	Sept 7-12	Barack Obama	63%	John McCain	32%	31
Survey USA	Feb 26-29	Barack Obama	61%	John McCain	31%	30

Idaho opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Harstead Strategic Research	Oct 19-22	Barack Obama	32%	John McCain	55%	23
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Sept 16-17	Barack Obama	33%	John McCain	62%	29
American Research Group	Sept 8-10	Barack Obama	25%	John McCain	68%	43
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 9	Barack Obama	29%	John McCain	68%	39
Greg Smith & Associates	Aug 18-22	Barack Obama	29%	John McCain	52%	23
Research 2000/Daily Kos	July 28–30	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	53%	16

Illinois opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Rasmussen Reports	Nov 1	Barack Obama	60%	John McCain	38%	22
Research 2000	Oct 20-23	Barack Obama	59%	John McCain	35%	24
Big Ten Poll	Oct 19-22	Barack Obama	61%	John McCain	32%	29
Chicago Tribune	Oct 16-18	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	32%	24
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 13	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	39%	17
St Louis Post-Dispatch/ Research 2000	Sept 15-18	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	36%	20
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 17	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	40%	16
Big Ten Poll	Sept 14-17	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	37%	16
American Research Group	Sept 13-16	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%	6
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 12	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	40%	15
Rasmussen Reports	July 8	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	41%	11

Indiana opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 31-Nov 3	Barack Obama	45.1%	John McCain	50.4%	5.3
Public Policy Polling	Oct 31-Nov 2	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	48%	1
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 30-Nov 2	Barack Obama	43.9%	John McCain	49.1%	5.2
American Research Group	Oct 28-31	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	48%	0
SurveyUSA/ Mike Downs Center	Oct 27-30	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	47%	0
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 28-29	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	49%	3
Indianapolis Star/WTHR/ Selzer & Co.	Oct 26-28	Barack Obama	45.9%	John McCain	45.3%	0.6
Research 2000/WISH-TV	Oct 24-28	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	47%	0
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 23-26	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	50.2%	6.2
Research 2000/ South Bend Tribune/ WSBT-TV	Oct 23-25	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	47%	1
Howey/Gauge	Oct 23-25	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	47%	2
Survey USA	Oct 21-22	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%	4
Big Ten Poll	Oct 19-22	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	41%	10
Public Policy Polling	Oct 18-19	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	46%	2
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 7	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	50%	7
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 3-6	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	51%	5
Research 2000/WISH-TV	Sept 29-Oct 3	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	46%	0
Research 2000	Sept 28-29	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	46%	1
Survey USA	Sept 28-29	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%	3
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 17-18	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	49%	2
American Research Group	Sept 14-18	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	47%	3
Big Ten Poll	Sept 14-17	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	47%	4
Indianapolis Star/WTHR/ Selzer & Co.	Sept 14-16	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	44%	3
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 14-16	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	51%	6
Howey/Gauge	Aug 29-30	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	45%	2
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 19-21	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	49%	6
Survey USA	Aug 16-18	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	50%	6

Iowa opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Des Moines Register/ Selzer & Co.	Oct 28-31	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	37%	17
SurveyUSA	Oct 28-29	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	40%	15
Research 2000/ KCCI-TV	Oct 27-29	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	39%	14
Marist College	Oct 23-24	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	42%	10
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 23	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	44%	8
Mason-Dixon/NBC	Oct 22-23	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	40%	11
Quad City Times/ Research 2000	Oct 19-22	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	39%	15
Big Ten Poll	Oct 19-22	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	39%	13
SurveyUSA	Oct 8-9	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	41%	13
Research 2000/ KCCI-TV	Sept 29-30	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	39%	16
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 25	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	43%	8
Marist College	Sept 18-21	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	41%	10
American Research Group	Sept 17-20	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%	7
SurveyUSA	Sept 17-18	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	43%	11
Quad-City Times/ Lee Enterprises	Sept 15-17	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	39%	14
Big Ten Poll	Sept 14-17	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	45%	0
Des Moines Register/ Selzer & Co.	Sept 8-10	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	40%	12
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Aug 31-Sept 2	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	40%	15
Hawkeye Poll	Aug 13	Barack Obama	49.5%	John McCain	43.1%	6.4
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 7	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%	5
Rasmussen Reports	July 10	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	41%	10

Kansas opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
SurveyUSA	Oct 27-28	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	58%	21
SurveyUSA	Oct 21-22	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	53%	12
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 13	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	54%	13
SurveyUSA	Sept 21-22	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	53%	12
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 18	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	58%	20
American Research Group	Sept 7-10	Barack Obama	31%	John McCain	63%	32
SurveyUSA	Aug 18-20	Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	58%	23
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 11	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	55%	14
Rasmussen Reports	July 14	Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	58%	23

Kentucky opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Survey USA	Nov 1	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	56%	16
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 29	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	51%	9
Louisville Courier-Journal/ Mason-Dixon	Oct 27-29	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	55%	12
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 27-29	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	56%	17
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 21	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	52%	8
Research 2000/ Lexington Herald-Leader/ WKYT-TV	Oct 19-21	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	55%	16
Survey USA	Oct 18-20	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	54%	13
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 15-16	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	53%	14
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 30	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	52%	10
Louisville Courier-Journal/ Mason-Dixon	Sept 22-25	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	53%	8
Survey USA	Sept 21-22	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	57%	19
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Sept 15-17	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	55%	18
American Research Group	Sept 8-12	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	57%	20
Survey USA	Aug 9-11	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	55%	18
Research 2000/Daily Kos	July 28–30	Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	56%	21
Rasmussen Reports	July 29	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	52%	9

Louisiana opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Loyola University/ WAFB 9News	Oct 24-26	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	43%	3
SE Louisiana University	Oct 20-23	Barack Obama	38.3%	John McCain	50.6%	12.3
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 21	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	57%	16
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 25	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	55%	15
American Research Group	Sept 9-12	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	50%	7
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 17	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	57%	18
Rasmussen Reports	July 9	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	56%	19

Maine opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Rasmussen Reports	Nov 1	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	43%	13
SurveyUSA	Oct 19-20	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	39%	15
Critical Insights	Oct 16-19	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	35%	21
Pan Atlantic SMS	Oct 13-16	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	39%	12
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 14-15	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	38%	17
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 2	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	46%	5
SurveyUSA	Sept 22-23	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%	5
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 17	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	46%	4
American Research Group	Sept 8-10	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	41%	10
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	Sept 8-10	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	38%	14
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 12	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	39%	14
Rasmussen Reports	July 17	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	41%	8

Maryland opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 20	Barack Obama	60%	John McCain	37%	23
American Research Group	Sept 17-19	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	39%	15
Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies	Aug 29-Sept 5	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	38%	14
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 18	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	43%	10

Massachusetts opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Survey USA	Oct 28	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	39%	17
Survey USA	Oct 14	Barack Obama	59%	John McCain	35%	24
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 13	Barack Obama	62%	John McCain	34%	28
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 23	Barack Obama	58%	John McCain	38%	20
Survey USA	Sept 22-23	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	39%	16
American Research Group	Sept 20-22	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	39%	16
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 5	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	38%	16
Suffolk University	July 31-Aug 3	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	38%	9

Michigan opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin	Others	%
Selzer/Detroit Free Press/WDIV	Oct 28-31	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	37%	16
Public Policy Polling	Oct 28-30	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	42%	13
Strategic Vision	Oct 27-29	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	41%	13
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 28	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	43%	10
Detroit News/ EPIC-MRA	Oct 26-28	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	38%	12
Big Ten Poll	Oct 19-22	Barack Obama	58%	John McCain	36%	22
Detroit News/ EPIC-MRA	Oct 19-22	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	37%	14
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	October 8–12	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	38%	16
Rasmussen Reports	October 8	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	40%	16
Rossman/Denno-Noor/ MIRS	October 1–4	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	39%	5	Other	~4%
Public Policy Polling	September 29- October 1	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	41%	10
Selzer/Detroit Free Press/ WDIV	September 22–24	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	38%	13
Strategic Vision	September 22–24	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	45%	3
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	September 21–23	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	43%	6
NBC/Mason-Dixon	Sept 18-23	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	46%	0
EPIC-MRA/ Detroit News	Sept 20-22	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	38%	10
Allstate/National Journal/ FD	Sept 18-22	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	39%	8
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Sept 21	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%	7
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	Sept 14-21	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	44%	4
American Research Group	Sept 16-19	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	46%	2
Marketing Resource Group of Lansing	Sept 15-19	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	46%	3
Marist College	Sept 16-17	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	43%	9
EPIC-MRA/ Detroit News	September 14–17	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	42%	3
Big Ten Poll	Sept 14-17	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	44%	4
Rasmussen Reports	September 10	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	46%	5
InsiderAdantagev/ Poll Position	September 10	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	45%	1
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Rsearch	September 7–9	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	42%	3
Public Policy Polling	September 6–7	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	46%	1
Strategic Vision	September 5–7	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	44%	1
EPIC-MRA/ Detroit News	Aug 18-21	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	41%	2
Selzer/ Detroit Free Press/ WDIV	Aug 17-20^[1]	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	39%	7
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 7	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%	4
Public Policy Polling	July 23–27	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	43%	3
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	July 14–22	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	42%	4
Detroit News/ EPIC-MRA	July 13–16	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	41%	2
Rasmussen Reports	July 10	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	42%	8

Minnesota opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
SurveyUSA	October 30-Nov 1	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	46%	3
Star Tribune/Princeton Survey Research Associates International	October 29–31	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	42%	11
Public Policy Polling	Oct 28-30	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	41%	16
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 27-29	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	38%	15
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 28	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	43%	12
NBC News/Mason Dixon	Oct 27-28	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	40%	8
University of Minnesota/ Minnesota Public Radio News	Oct 24-28	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	37%	19
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 22	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	41%	15
Big Ten Poll	Oct 19-22	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	38%	19
St. Cloud State University	Oct 14-22	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	37%	5
National Journal/FD	Oct 16-20	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	40%	10
SurveyUSA	October 16–18	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	44%	6
Star Tribune/Princeton Survey Research Associates International	October 16–17	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	41%	11
Research 2000/Daily Kos	October 15–16	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	39%	13
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	October 8–12	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	40%	11
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 7	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	45%	7
American Research Group	Oct 4-7	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	46%	1
Minnesota Public Radio News/Humphrey Institute	Oct 3-5	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	40%	14
Star Tribune/ Princeton Survey Research Associates International	Sept 30- October 2	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	37%	18
SurveyUSA	Sept 30- October 1	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	47%	1
Minnesota Public Radio News/Humphrey Institute	Sept 29- October 1	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	43%	4
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 28-30	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	43%	11
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	Sept 14-21	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
American Research Group	Sept 18-20	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	47%	1
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 18	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	44%	8
Big Ten Poll	Sept 14-17	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
Star Tribune Minnesota/ Princeton Survey Research Associates International	Sept 10-12	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	45%	0
Survey USA	Sept 10-11	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	47%	2
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Aug 31- September 2	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	41%	12
Minnesota Public Radio/ University of Minnesota	Aug 7-17	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	38%	10
Survey USA	Aug 13-14	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 13	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%	4
Rasmussen Reports	July 22	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	39%	13
Quinnipiac University/ Wall Street Journal/ Washington Post	July 14–22	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	44%	2
Rasmussen Reports	July 10	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	37%	17

Mississippi opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	Oct 27-29	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	53%	13
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 27	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	53%	8
Press-Register/ University of South Alabama	Oct 13-23	Barack Obama	33%	John McCain	46%	13
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	Oct 14-15	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	50%	10
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 30	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	52%	8
American Research Group	Sept 13-16	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	55%	16
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	Sept 8-10	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	55%	18
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 21	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	56%	13
Rasmussen Reports	July 28	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	54%	12
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	July 21–23	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	51%	9

Missouri opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 31-Nov 3	Barack Obama	48.8%	John McCain	48.8%	0
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Nov 2	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	49%	0
Public Policy Polling	Oct 31-Nov 2	Barack Obama	49.4%	John McCain	48.6%	0.8
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 30-Nov 2	Barack Obama	47.4%	John McCain	45.7%	1.7
Survey USA	Oct 30-Nov 2	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	48%	0
American Research Group	Oct 28-30	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	48%	0
Politico/ Insider Advantage	Oct 29	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	50%	3
Mason-Dixon/NBC	Oct 28-29	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	47%	1
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 23-28	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	50%	2
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 26	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	47%	1
Survey USA	Oct 25-26	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	48%	0
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 23-26	Barack Obama	48.2%	John McCain	45.7%	2.5
Mason-Dixon/NBC	Oct 22-23	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	46%	1
Research 2000/ Post-Dispatch	Oct 20-23	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	47%	1
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 19	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%	5
Suffolk University	Oct 17-19	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	45%	1
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 15	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	46%	6
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 11-14	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	49%	1
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 12	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	47%	3
Public Policy Polling	Oct 11-12	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	46%	2
SurveyUSA	Oct 10-12	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	43%	8
American Research Group	Oct 4-6	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	49%	3
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 5	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	47%	3
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 28-30	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	48%	1
Survey USA	Sept 23-24	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	48%	2
St Louis Post-Dispatch/ Research 2000	Sept 22-24	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%	1
St Louis Post-Dispatch/ Research 2000	Sept 15-18	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	49%	4
American Research Group	Sept 11-15	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	50%	5
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 11	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	51%	5
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 7-9	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	48%	4
Public Policy Polling	Aug 13-17	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	50%	10
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 7	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	50%	6
Survey USA	July 29–31	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	49%	5
Research 2000/ St. Louis Post Dispatch	July 7–10	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	43%	5
Rasmussen Reports	July 7	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	47%	5
Public Policy Polling	July 2–5	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	47%	3

Montana opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin	Other	%
Public Policy Polling	Oct 31-Nov 2	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	47%	1	Ron Paul	4%
American Research Group	Oct 28-30	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	49%	3
Rsearch 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 28-30	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	48%	4
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 29	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	50%	4
NBC/Mason-Dixon	Oct 23-25	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	48%	4
Montana State University	Oct 16-20	Barack Obama	44.4%	John McCain	40.2%	4.2	Ron Paul^‡	4.2%
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 15-16	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	49%	4
American Research Group	Oct 6-8	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	50%	5
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 1	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	52%	8
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Sept 22-24	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	52%	13
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 21-23	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	49%	9	Bob Barr	1%
	Ralph Nader	1%
American Research Group	Sept 7-9	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	49%	2
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 8	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	53%	11
Rasmussen Reports	July 31	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	47%	0

Nebraska opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 30	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	56%	19
American Research Group	Sept 12-17	Barack Obama	34%	John McCain	60%	26
Rasmussen Reports	July 28	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	55%	19
Rasmussen Reports	June 23	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	52%	16

Nevada opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin	Others	%
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 31-Nov 3	Barack Obama	53.2%	John McCain	42.4%	10.8
Public Policy Polling	Oct 31-Nov 2	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 30-Nov 2	Barack Obama	50.7%	John McCain	42.9%	7.8
Las Vegas Review-Journal/ Mason-Dixon	Oct 28-29	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	43%	4
Reno Gazette-Journal/ Channel 2	Oct 23-28	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	45%	5
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 23-28	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	45%	7
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 27	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	46%	4
Suffolk University	Oct 23-26	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	40%	10
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 23-26	Barack Obama	48.2%	John McCain	44%	4.2
Associated Press/GfK	Oct 22-26	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	40%	12
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 19-21	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	46%	5
Politico/ InsiderAdvantage	Oct 20	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	47%	0
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 16	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	45%	5
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Oct 13	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	46%	3
Las Vegas Review-Journal/ Mason-Dixon	Oct 8-9	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Oct 6	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	47%	2
Reno Gazette-Journal/ Channel 2 News/ Research 2000	Oct 3-6	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	43%	7
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 2	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Sept 30	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	47%	1
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 28-30	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
American Research Group	Sept 27-29	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	49%	2
Suffolk University	Sept 17-21	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	46%	1
Project New West/ Myers Research/ Grove Insight **	Sept 14-19	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
American Research Group	Sept 12-14	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	49%	3
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 11	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	49%	3
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Sept 10	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	46%	1
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Aug 24-26	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%	5
Research 2000/ Reno Gazette-Journal/KTVN	Aug 18-20	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	43%	1
Mason-Dixon/ Las Vegas Review Journal	Aug 13-15	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	46%	7
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 11	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%	3
Rasmussen Reports	July 16	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2

New Hampshire opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin	Others	%
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 30	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%	7
SurveyUSA	Oct 29-30	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	42%	11
Univ. of New Hampshire/ WMUR	Oct 28-30	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	39%	14
American Research Group	Oct 28-30	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	41%	15
Concord Monitor/ Research 2000	Oct 28-30	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%	7
Suffolk University	Oct 27-29	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	40%	13
Strategic Vision	Oct 27-29	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	41%	9
Univ. of New Hampshire/ WMUR	Oct 25-27	Barack Obama	58%	John McCain	33%	25
Univ. of New Hampshire/ WMUR	Oct 24-26	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	39%	16
Associated Press/GfK	Oct 22-26	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	37%	18
NBC/Mason-Dixon	Oct 23-25	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	39%	11
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 23	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	46%	4
Marist College	Oct 22-23	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	45%	5
University of New Hampshire/ Boston Globe	Oct 18-22	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	39%	15
Concord Mintor/ Research 2000	Oct 17-19	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	43%	7
American Research Group	Oct 6-8	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	43%	9
CNN/Time Magazin/ Opinion Research	Oct 3-6	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	45%	8
Survey USA	Oct 4-5	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	40%	13
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 1	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	43%	10
St. Anselm/SRBI	Sept 25-30	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	37%	12
Concord Monitor/ Research 2000	Sept 22-24	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	44%	4
Strategic Vision	Sept 22-24	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	45%	1
Suffolk University	Sept 20-24	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	45%	1
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 23	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	49%	2
Allstate/National Journal/FD	Sept 18-22	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	43%	1
Marist College	Sept 17-21	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%	6
University of New Hampshire	Sept 14-21	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	47%	2
American Research Group	Sept 13-15	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%	3	Others	1%
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 9	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	43%	5
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 20	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	46%	1
American Research Group	Aug 18-20	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	45%	1
Rasmussen Reports	July 23	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%	4
American Research Group	July 19–21	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
University of New Hampshire	July 11–20	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	43%	3

New Jersey opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Rasmussen Reports	Nov 2	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	42%	15
Monmouth University/ Gannett New Jersey	Oct 29-31	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	34%	21
SurveyUSA	Oct 29-30	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	42%	10
Fairleigh Dickinson University	Oct 23-29	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	35%	18
The Record/Research 2000	Oct 26-28	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	38%	16
Strategic Vision	Oct 24-26	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	38%	15
Marist College	Oct 20-21	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	39%	17
Quinnipiac University	Oct 16-19	Barack Obama	59%	John McCain	36%	23
Monmouth University/ Gannett New Jersey	Oct 15-18	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	38%	17
SurveyUSA	Oct 12	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	40%	15
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 7	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	42%	8
Fairleigh Dickinson University	Sept 29- October 5	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	37%	13
SurveyUSA	Sept 27-28	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	42%	10
Strategic Vision	Sept 26-28	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	39%	9
American Research Group	Sept 19-21	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	42%	9
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 16	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	42%	13
Strategic Vision	Sept 14-16	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	43%	4
Monmouth University/ Gannett New Jersey	Sept 11-14	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	41%	8
Quinnipiac University	Sept 10-14	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	45%	3
The Record/ Research 2000	Sept 9-11	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	41%	9
Marist College	Sept 5-8	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	45%	3
Fairleigh Dickinson University	Sept 4-7	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	41%	6
Quinnipiac University	Aug 4-10	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	41%	10
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 4	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	42%	10
Monmouth University/ Gannett New Jersey	July 17–21	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	36%	14
Strategic Vision	July 11–13	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	38%	9
Rasmussen Reports	July 7	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	44%	3

New Mexico opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin	Others	%
SurveyUSA	Oct 29-31	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	45%	7
Albuquerque Journal/ Research & Polling	Oct 28-30	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	43%	8
Public Policy Polling	Oct 28-30	Barack Obama	58%	John McCain	41%	17
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 28	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	44%	10
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 13	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	42%	13
SurveyUSA	Oct 12-13	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	45%	7
Albuquerque Journal/ Research & Polling	Sept 29- October 2	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	40%	5	Ralph Nader	1%
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 1	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%	5
SurveyUSA	Sept 29-30	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	44%	8
Public Policy Polling	Sept 17-19	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	42%	11
SurveyUSA	Sept 14-16	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	44%	8
American Research Group	Sept 14-16	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%	7
Allstate/National Journal/ FD	Sept 11-15	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	42%	7
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 8	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	49%	2
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Aug 24-26	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	40%	13
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 20	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	44%	4
Mason-Dixon	Aug 13-15	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	45%	4
Rasmussen Reports	July 24	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	43%	6

New York opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Survey USA	Oct 27-28	Barack Obama	62%	John McCain	33%	29
Marist College	Oct 21-22	Barack Obama	65%	John McCain	29%	36
Siena College	Oct 19-21	Barack Obama	62%	John McCain	31%	31
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 14	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	37%	20
Survey USA	Oct 11-12	Barack Obama	64%	John McCain	31%	33
Survey USA	Sept 23-24	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	38%	19
American Research Group	Sept 14-16	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	38%	17
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 15	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	42%	13
Siena College	Sept 8-10	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	41%	5
Siena College	Aug 11-14	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	39%	8
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 4	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	36%	19
Quinnipiac University	July 31-Aug 4	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	36%	21
Siena College	July 17–29	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	26%	18
Siena College	July 7–10	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	37%	13

North Carolina opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
American Research Group	Oct 31-Nov 3	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	48%	1
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 31-Nov 3	Barack Obama	49.5%	John McCain	49.1%	0.4
Rasmussen Reports	Nov 2	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	50%	1
Survey USA	Oct 30-Nov 2	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	49%	1
Public Policy Polling	Oct 31-Nov 2	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	49%	1
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 30-Nov 2	Barack Obama	47.7%	John McCain	49.3%	1.6
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 28-30	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 29	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	48%	2
Politico/ Insider Advantage	Oct 29	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	48%	0
Mason-Dixon/NBC	Oct 28-29	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	49%	3
Civitas Institute/ TelOpinion	Oct 27-29	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	46%	1
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 23-28	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	46%	6
Allstate/National Journal/FD	Oct 23-27	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	43%	4
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 26	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	49%	1
Public Policy Polling	Oct 25-26	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	48%	1
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 23-26	Barack Obama	49.7%	John McCain	46.4%	3.3
Associated Press/GfK	Oct 22-26	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	46%	2
NBC/Mason-Dixon	Oct 23-25	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	47%	0
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 23	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	50%	2
WSOC-TV	Oct 20-21	Barack Obama	48.4%	John McCain	46.4%	2
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 19-21	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
InsiderAdvantage/ Politico	Oct 20	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	48%	1
SurveyUSA/WTVD-TV	Oct 18-20	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	47%	0
Civitas Institute/ TelOpinion	Oct 18-20	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	45%	3
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 19	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	48%	3
Public Policy Polling	Oct 18-19	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%	7
Winthrop University/ETV	Sept 28- October 19	Barack Obama	44.6%	John McCain	44.2%	0.4
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	Oct 14-15	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	44%	2
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Oct 13	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	46%	2
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 12	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	48%	0
Public Policy Polling	Oct 11-12	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	46%	3
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 8	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	48%	1
Civitas/TelOpinion	Oct 6-8	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	43%	5
WSOC-TV	Oct 6-7	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	47.8%	1.8
SurveyUSA	Oct 5-6	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	49%	3
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 3-6	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	49%	0
Public Policy Polling	Oct 4-5	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	44%	6
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 30	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	47%	3
American Research Group	Sept 27-29	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	49%	3
Public Policy Polling	28	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 23	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	47%	2
Civitas Institute/ Tel Opinion Research	20	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	45%	0
Public Policy Polling	Sept 17-19	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	46%	0
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 18	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	50%	3
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 14-16	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%	1
American Research Group	Sept 13-16	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	52%	11
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	Sept 8-10	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	55%	17
Civitas Institute/ Tel Opinion Research	Sept 6-10	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	47%	3
Public Policy Polling	Sept 9	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	48%	4
SurveyUSA	Sept 6-8	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	58%	20
Garin Hart Yang	Sept 5-7	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	49%	3
Democracy Corps/ Greenberg Quinlan Rosner	Aug 20-26	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	47%	3
Public Policy Polling	Aug 23	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	45%	3
InsiderAdvantage	Aug 19	Barack Obama	42.8%	John McCain	44.5%	1.7
Zogby International *	Aug 15-19	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	39%	8
Civitas Institute/ Tel Opinion Research	Aug 14-17	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	46%	6
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 13	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	50%	6
Survey USA	Aug 9-11	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	49%	4
Research 2000/Daily Kos	July 28–30	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	47%	4
Public Policy Polling	July 23–27	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	47%	3
Civitas Institute/ Tel Opinion Research	July 14–16	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	43%	3
Rasmussen Reports	July 15	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%	3
Survey USA	July 12–14	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	50%	5

North Dakota opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 28-29	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	47%	1
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 14-15	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	45%	0
The Bismarck Tribune	Oct 13-14	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	41%	3
Minnesota State University/ Fargo Forum	Oct 6-8	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	43%	2
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Sept 16-17	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	53%	13
American Research Group	Sept 15-17	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	52%	9
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 8	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	55%	14
North Dakota United Transportation Union/ DFM Research **	Aug 23-27	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	40%	3
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	July 21–23	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	45%	3
Rasmussen Reports	July 8	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	47%	1

Ohio opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin	Others	%
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 31-Nov 3	Barack Obama	49.4%	John McCain	47.4%	2
Rasmussen Reports	Nov 2	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	49%	0
Strategic Vision	Oct 31-Nov 2	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	48%	2
Public Policy Polling	Oct 31-Nov 2	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	48%	2
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 30-Nov 2	Barack Obama	50.2%	John McCain	43.9%	6.3
SurveyUSA	Oct 30-Nov 2	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	46%	2
University of Cinncinati	Oct 29-Nov 2	Barack Obama	51.5%	John McCain	45.7%	5.8
Quinnipiac University	Oct 27-Nov 2	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	43%	7
Columbus Dispatch	Oct 22-31	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	46%	6
Mason-Dixon	Oct 28-29	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	47%	2
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 23-28	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
SurveyUSA	Oct 26-27	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%	4
Los Angeles Times/ Bloomberg	Oct 25-27	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	40%	9
Allstate/National Journal/ FD	Oct 23-27	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	41%	7
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 26	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%	4
Marist College	Oct 24-26	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	45%	3
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 23-26	Barack Obama	49.7%	John McCain	45.1%	4.6
Quinnipiac University	Oct 22-26	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	42%	9
AP/GfK	Oct 22-26	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	41%	7
Public Policy Polling	Oct 21-23	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%	7
Ohio University	Oct 12-23	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	41%	16
Politico/ InsiderAdvantage	Oct 22	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	42%	10
Strategic Vision	Oct 20-22	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%	3
Big Ten Poll	Oct 19-22	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	41%	12
University of Cincinnati/ Ohio News Organization	Oct 18-22	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	46%	3
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 19-21	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	46%	4
Quinnipiac University	Oct 16-21	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	38%	14
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 19	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	49%	2
Suffolk University	Oct 16-19	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	42%	9
NBC/Mason-Dixon	Oct 16-17	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	46%	1
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 14	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	49%	0
SurveyUSA	Oct 12-13	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	45%	5
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 12	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	47%	2
InsiderAdvantage/ PollPosition	Oct 9	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%	5
Strategic Vision	Oct 6-8	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	46%	2
Marist College	Oct 5-8	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%	4
University of Cincinnati/ Ohio News Organization	Oct 4-8	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	48%	2
American Research Group	Oct 4-7	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	45%	3
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 3-6	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	47%	3
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 5	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%	1
Public Policy Polling	Oct 4-5	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	43%	6
ABC News/ Washington Post	Oct 3-5	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%	6
Columbus Dispatch	Sept 24-Oct 4	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	42%	7
Democracy Corps/ Greenberg Quinlan Rosner **	Sept 29-Oct 1	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	43%	6
Insider Advantage/ PollPosition	Sept 29	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
SurveyUSA	Sept 28-29	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	49%	1
Quinnipiac University	Sept 27-29	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	42%	8
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Sept 28	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%	1
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 23	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	47%	1
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Sept 22	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	46%	0
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Sept 21	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	50%	4
Big Ten Poll	Sept 14-17	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	45%	1
University of Cincinnati/ Ohio News Organization	Sept 12-16	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	48%	6
Marist College	Sept 11-15	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
Allstate/National Journal/ FD	Sept 11-15	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	42%	1
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	Sept 14	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%	3
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 13-14	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	47%	2
Public Policy Polling	Sept 13-14	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	48%	4
SurveyUSA	Sept 12-14	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	49%	4
American Research Group	Sept 10-13	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	50%	6
Suffolk University	Sept 10-13	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	46%	4
InsiderAdvantage/ Poll Position	Sept 10	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%	1
University of Cincinnati	Sept 5-10	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	48%	4	Other	5%
Strategic Version	Sept 7-9	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	48%	4
Quinnipiac University	Sept 5-9	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%	5
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	Sept 7	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	51%	7
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Aug 31-Sept 2	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
Quinnipiac University	Aug 17-24	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	43%	1
The Columbus Dispatch	Aug 12-21	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	42%	1
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 20	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	48%	5
Public Policy Polling	Aug 12-14	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	45%	0
Quinnipiac University	July 23–29	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	44%	2
Rasmussen Reports	July 21	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	52%	10
Public Policy Polling	July 17–20	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	40%	8

Oklahoma opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
SurveyUSA	Oct 28-29	Barack Obama	34%	John McCain	63%	29
TVPoll.com	Oct 24-26	Barack Obama	34.8%	John McCain	61.8%	27
SurveyUSA/KFOR-TV	Oct 18-19	Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	59%	24
TVPoll.com	Oct 10-12	Barack Obama	31.9%	John McCain	63.0%	31.1
TVPoll.com	Oct 4-5	Barack Obama	29.1%	John McCain	65.5%	36.4
SurveyUSA	Sept 28-29	Barack Obama	34%	John McCain	64%	30
TVPoll.com	Sept 26-28	Barack Obama	26.5%	John McCain	67.6%	41.1
TVPoll.com	Sept 20-22	Barack Obama	26.2%	John McCain	65.8%	39.6
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Sept 16-18	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	59%	23
American Research Group	Sept 15-18	Barack Obama	34%	John McCain	61%	27
TVPoll.com	Sept 14	Barack Obama	26.9%	John McCain	69.1%	42.2
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 11	Barack Obama	32%	John McCain	63%	31
TVPoll.com	Sept 7	Barack Obama	27.9%	John McCain	65.9%	38
SurveyUSA	Sept 5-7	Barack Obama	32%	John McCain	65%	33
Sooner Poll/ Tulsa World	July 19–23	Barack Obama	24%	John McCain	56%	32

Oregon opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead margin
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 30	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	42%	12
SurveyUSA	Oct 29-30	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	38%	19
Public Policy Polling	Oct 28-30	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	42%	15
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 27-29	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	39%	16
SurveyUSA	Oct 25-26	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	38%	19
Riley Research	Oct 10-20	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	34%	14
Research 2000/ Daily Kos	Oct 14-15	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	38%	15
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 14	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	41%	13
SurveyUSA	Oct 11-12	Barack Obama	57%	John McCain	40%	17
Grove Insight **	Oct 7-9	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	39%	13
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 9	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	43%	11
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Sept 22-24	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	39%	14
Survey USA	Sept 22-23	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	41%	11
American Research Group	Sept 19-22	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	41%	11
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 15	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
Portland Tribune/ Davis, Hibbitts & Midghall	Sept 11-14	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	40%	10
Hoffman Research Group **	Sept 8-9	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	39%	6
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 7	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	42%	10
Survey USA	Aug 2-4	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	45%	3
Rasmussen Reports	July 15	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	40%	9

Pennsylvania opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin	Others	%
SurveyUSA	Oct 31-Nov 3	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	43%	9
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 31-Nov 3	Barack Obama	51.2%	John McCain	41.4%	9.8
Strategic Vision	Oct 31-Nov 2	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%	7
Public Policy Polling	Oct 31-Nov 2	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	45%	8
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 30-Nov 2	Barack Obama	53.7%	John McCain	40%	13.7
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Oct 29-Nov 2	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	46%	6
Quinnipiac University	Oct 27-Nov 2	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	42%	10
Rasmussen Reports	Nov 1	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	46%	6
SurveyUSA	Oct 29-31	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	44%	7
American Research Group	Oct 29-31	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%	6
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Oct 27-31	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	44%	8
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 30	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Oct 26-30	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	43%	10
Mason-Dixon/NBC	Oct 28-29	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	43%	4
Strategic Vision	Oct 27-29	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%	5
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Oct 25-29	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	40%	13
NBC/Mason-Dixon	Oct 27-28	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	43%	4
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 23-28	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	43%	12
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 27	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	46%	7
Marist College	Oct 26-27	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	41%	14
Politico/ InsiderAdvantage	Oct 26	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	42%	9
Quinnipiac University	Oct 22-26	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	41%	12
Associated Press/GfK	Oct 22-26	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	40%	12
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Oct 22-26	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	40%	13
Franklin & Marshall College	Oct 21-26	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	40%	13
Temple University	Oct 20-26	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	41%	9
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Oct 19-23	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	40%	12
Strategic Vision	Oct 20-22	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	43%	7
Big Ten Poll	Oct 19-22	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	41%	11
SurveyUSA	Oct 21	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	41%	12
Quinnipiac University	Oct 16-21	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	40%	13
National Journal/FD	Oct 16-20	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	41%	10
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Oct 15-19	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	41%	12
Susquehanna Polling and Research/ Pittsburgh Tribune-Review	Oct 16-18	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	40%	8
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Oct 11-15	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	37%	16
SurveyUSA	Oct 11-13	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	40%	15
Marist College	Oct 5-8	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	41%	12
Strategic Vision	Oct 5-7	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	40%	14
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Oct 3-7	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	38%	12
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 6	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	41%	13
SurveyUSA	Oct 5-6	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	40%	15
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Oct 1-5	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	38%	11
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Sept 30- October 3	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	39%	12
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Sept 27- October 1	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	41%	9
Quinnipiac University	Sept 27-29	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	39%	15
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Sept 25-29	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	41%	8
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Sept 28	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	42%	8
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Sept 24-28	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	42%	7
Franklin & Marshall	Sept 23-28	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	38%	7
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 24	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	45%	4
SurveyUSA	Sept 23-24	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	44%	6
Muhlenberg College/ Morning Call	Sept 21-24	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	43%	4
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 21-23	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	43%	8	Bob Barr	1%
	Ralph Nader	3%
American Research Group	Sept 20-22	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	46%	4
Strategic Vision	Sept 20-22	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	46%	1
Allstate/National Journal/FD	Sept 18-22	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	41%	2
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	Sept 21	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	45%	3
NBC/Mason-Dixon	Sept 16-18	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	44%	2
Big Ten Poll	Sept 14-17	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	45%	0
Marist College	Sept 11-15	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	44%	5
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	Sept 14	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	47%	0
Quinnipiac University	Sept 5-9	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	45%	3
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	Sept 8	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
Strategic Vision	Sept 5-7	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Aug 24-26	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	43%	5
Quinnipiac University	Aug 17-24	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	42%	7
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 19	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	45%	3
Susquehanna Polling & Research	Aug 11-14	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	41%	5
Franklin & Marshall College	Aug 4-10	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	41%	5
Quinnipiac University	July 23–29	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	42%	7
Strategic Vision	July 25–27	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	40%	9
Rasmussen Reports	July 23	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%	6

Rhode Island opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Rhode Island College	Sept 17-24	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	34%	13
Brown University	Sept 15-16	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	34%	13
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 13	Barack Obama	58%	John McCain	39%	19
American Research Group	Sept 11-13	Barack Obama	59%	John McCain	33%	26
Brown University	Aug 18-20	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	30%	20

South Carolina opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Survey USA	Oct 28-29	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	52%	8
NBC/Princeton Survey Research	Oct 25-28	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	53%	11
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 20	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	54%	11
Winthrop University/ETV	Sept 28-Oct 19	Barack Obama	34.9%	John McCain	55.1%	20.2
Survey USA	Oct 12-13	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	55%	14
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Sept 22-24	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	54%	15
Survey USA	Sept 21-22	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	58%	19
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 18	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	51%	6
American Research Group	Sept 14-17	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	59%	22
Research 2000/Daily Kos	July 22–23	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	53%	13
Public Policy Polling	July 9–11	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	45%	6

South Dakota opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 30	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	53%	9
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 22-24	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	50%	9
Argus Leader Media/KELO-TV	Oct 13-15	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	48%	7
American Research Group	Sept 19-21	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	55%	16
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 9	Barack Obama	37%	John McCain	54%	17
Rasmussen Reports	July 9	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	47%	4

Tennessee opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 21-22	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	54%	16
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 16	Barack Obama	42%	John McCain	54%	12
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 29	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	58%	19
Middle Tennessee State University	Sept 15-27	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	48%	12
Mason-Dixon	Sept 22-24	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	55%	16
American Research Group	Sept 16-19	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	59%	23
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 20	Barack Obama	35%	John McCain	60%	25
Ayres, McHenry & Associates **	Aug 10-12	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	51%	15

Texas opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
University of Texas	Oct 15-22	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	51%	11
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 21	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	54%	10
Research 2000/Daily Kos	Oct 14-15	Barack Obama	40%	John McCain	52%	12
American Research Group	Oct 5-8	Barack Obama	38%	John McCain	57%	19
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 29	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	52%	9
American Research Group	Sept 13-16	Barack Obama	36%	John McCain	57%	19
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 21	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	54%	10
University of Texas	July 18–30	Barack Obama	33%	John McCain	43%	10
Rasmussen Reports	July 29	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	52%	8

Utah opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Deseret News/KSL-TV Dan Jones & Associates	Oct 24-30	Barack Obama	32%	John McCain	57%	25
American Research Group	Sept 10-13	Barack Obama	29%	John McCain	65%	36
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 10	Barack Obama	32%	John McCain	64%	32
Deseret News/ Dan Jones & Associates	Sept 8-11	Barack Obama	24%	John McCain	62%	38
Mason Dixon	Aug 13-15	Barack Obama	23%	John McCain	62%	39

Vermont opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 6	Barack Obama	65%	John McCain	32%	33
American Research Group	Sept 18-22	Barack Obama	56%	John McCain	38%	18
Research 2000	Sept 14	Barack Obama	55%	John McCain	36%	19
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 13	Barack Obama	60%	John McCain	36%	24

Virginia opinion polls
Poll Source	Date administered (2008)	Democrat	%	Republican	%	Lead Margin	Others	%
American Research Group	Oct 31-Nov 3	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 31-Nov 3	Barack Obama	51.7%	John McCain	45.3%	6.4
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Nov 2	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
Public Policy Polling	Oct 31-Nov 2	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	46%	6
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 30-Nov 2	Barack Obama	50.7%	John McCain	44.6%	6.1
SurveyUSA	Oct 30-Nov 1	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	46%	4
Mason-Dixon/ Richmond Times-Dispatch	Oct 29-30	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	44%	3
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 23-28	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	44%	9
Marist College	Oct 26-27	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
Allstate/National Journal/FD	Oct 23-27	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	44%	4
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 26	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	47%	4
SurveyUSA	Oct 25-26	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	43%	9
Reuters/Zogby	Oct 23-26	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	44.8%	7.2
Associated Press/GfK	Oct 22-26	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	42%	7
Roanoke College	Oct 19-26	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	39%	9
News/ Washington Post	Oct 22-25	Barack Obama	52%	John McCain	44%	8
Public Policy Polling	Oct 21-23	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	43%	8
Virginia Commonwealth University	Oct 20-22	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	40%	11
NBC/Mason-Dixon	Oct 20-21	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 19-21	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	44%	10
SurveyUSA	Oct 18-19	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%	6
Winthrop University/ETV	Sept 28-Oct 19	Barack Obama	44.6%	John McCain	43.6%	1
Rasmussen Reports	Oct 16	Barack Obama	54%	John McCain	44%	10
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Oct 11-14	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	43%	10
Christopher Newport University	Oct 11-14	Barack Obama	49.2%	John McCain	43.2%	6
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 12	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	47%	3
Public Policy Polling	Oct 6-7	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	43%	8
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Oct 5	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	48%	2
SurveyUSA	Oct 4-5	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	43%	10
Suffolk University	Oct 3-5	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	39%	12
Mason-Dixon/ Richmond Times-Dispatch	Sept 28-Oct 1	Barack Obama	45%	John McCain	48%	3
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 28- 30	Barack Obama	53%	John McCain	44%	9
Insider Advantage/ Poll Position	Sept 29	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%	6
American Research Group	Sept 27-29	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	49%	3
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Sept 28	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	47%	3
Rasmussen Reports	Sept 25	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	45%	5
NBC/Mason-Dixon	Sept 17- 22	Barack Obama	44%	John McCain	47%	3
Rasmussen Reports/ Fox News	Sept 21	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	50%	2
SurveyUSA	Sept 19- 21	Barack Obama	51%	John McCain	45%	6
ABC News/ Washington Post	Sept 18- 21	Barack Obama	49%	John McCain	46%	3
American Research Group	Sept 17- 20	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	48%	2
Insider Advantage/ Poll Position	Sept 17	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	48%	2
Allstate/National Journal/FD	Sept 11-15	Barack Obama	41%	John McCain	48%	7
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	Sept 14	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	48%	0
Public Policy Polling	Sept 13-14	Barack Obama	48%	John McCain	46%	2
SurveyUSA	Sept 12-14	Barack Obama	50%	John McCain	46%	4
Christopher Newport University	Sept 10-14	Barack Obama	39%	John McCain	48%	9
CNN/Time Magazine/ Opinion Research	Sept 9	Barack Obama	43%	John McCain	49%	6
Fox News/ Rasmussen Reports	Sept 7	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	49%	2
SurveyUSA	Sept 5-7	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	49%	2
Public Policy Polling	Aug 20-22	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	45%	2
InsiderAdvantage/ Majority Opinion Research	Aug 12	Barack Obama	42.6%	John McCain	43.1%	0.5
Rasmussen Reports	Aug 12	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%	1
SurveyUSA	Aug 8-10	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%	1
Public Policy Polling	July 17–20	Barack Obama	46%	John McCain	44%	2
Rasmussen Reports	July 16	Barack Obama	47%	John McCain	48%	1

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Safe Obama - over 10% (243)	Likely Obama - over 5% (291) (48)	Leans Obama - over 1% (338) (47)	Tossup - within 1% (29)	Leans McCain - over 1% (171) (39)	Likely McCain - over 5% (132) (14)	Safe McCain - over 10% (118)
District of Columbia (3) - 69.0% Hawaii (4) - 38.3% New York (31) - 29.0% Vermont (3) - 27.4% Delaware (3) - 23.8% Illinois (21) - 22.8% California (55) - 22.7% Massachusetts (12) - 20.3% Connecticut (7) - 20.1% Maryland (10) - 18.2% Rhode Island (4) - 17.0% New Jersey (15) - 16.5% Oregon (7) - 15.4% Washington (11) - 14.6% Maine (4) - 14.0% Michigan (17) - 13.8% Iowa (7) - 13.0% New Hampshire (4) - 12.9% Minnesota (10) - 11.9% Wisconsin (10) - 11.3% New Mexico (5) - 10.1%	Pennsylvania (21) - 7.4% Colorado (9) - 7.2% Nevada (5) - 6.1% Virginia (13) - 5.6%	Ohio (20) - 4.6% Florida (27) - 3.1%	North Carolina (15) - 0.9% Obama Missouri (11) - 0.1% McCain North Dakota (3) - 0.5% McCain	Arizona (10) - 4.7% Georgia (15) - 4.1% Montana (3) - 2.5% Indiana (11) - 1.3%	Arkansas (6) - 9.7% South Dakota (3) - 9.0% West Virginia (5) - 7.9%	Oklahoma (7) - 29.3% Utah (5) - 26.2% Idaho (4) - 25.2% Wyoming (3) - 23.6% Alabama (9) - 23.4% Nebraska (5) - 20.7% Kansas (6) - 16.8% Alaska (3) - 16.7% Tennessee (11) - 15.2% Kentucky (8) - 13.7% Texas (34) - 11.9% South Carolina (8) - 11.5% Mississippi (6) - 11.0% Louisiana (9)- 10.2%

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Statewide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2008

Contents

Opinion polling

Alabama

Alaska

Arizona

Arkansas

California

Colorado

Connecticut

Delaware

District of Columbia

Florida

Georgia

Hawaii

Idaho

Illinois

Indiana

Iowa

Kansas

Kentucky

Louisiana

Maine

Maryland

Massachusetts

Michigan

Minnesota

Mississippi

Missouri

Montana

Nebraska

Nevada

New Hampshire

New Jersey

New Mexico

New York

North Carolina

North Dakota

Ohio

Oklahoma

Oregon

Pennsylvania

Rhode Island

South Carolina

South Dakota

Tennessee

Texas

Utah

Vermont

Virginia

Washington

West Virginia

Wisconsin

Wyoming

See also

Notes

Latest results (using latest polling when available)

Maps of recent polling data

Election Day projection

References

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