United States Senate election in Utah, 2010

United States Senate election in Utah, 2010
United States Senate election in Utah, 2010
Utah
2004 ←
November 2, 2010
→ 2016

  Mike Lee official portrait 112th Congress.jpg Sam granato front headshot.jpg Replace this image male.svg
Nominee Mike Lee Sam Granato Scott Bradley
Party Republican Democratic Constitution
Popular vote 390,179 207,685 35,937
Percentage 61.6% 32.8% 5.7%

Utah Senatorial Election Results by County, 2010.svg

County Results

U.S. Senator before election

Bob Bennett
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Mike Lee
Republican

The 2010 United States Senate election in Utah took place on November 2, 2010 along with other midterm elections throughout the United States. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Bob Bennett was seeking re-election to a fourth term, but was eliminated in the GOP state convention. Republican Mike Lee, who won the Republican primary, won the open seat.

Contents

Process

The filing period for candidates began March 12, 2010 and ended March 19, 2010. Candidates who had not filed by that date cannot appear on the ballot in November. There are eleven candidates that have filed with the Office of the Lieutenant Governor.[1]

Both the Utah State Democratic Party and the Utah State Republican Party held statewide caucus meetings on March 23, 2010. Caucus meetings are grouped by legislative district and divided by precincts with each precinct electing delegates who attend their respective party's state nominating convention.

The Utah State Democratic and Republican Parties held their conventions on May 8, 2010. At the Republican convention, incumbent Senator Bob Bennett finished third in balloting among delegates and was eliminated from the race. Business owner Tim Bridgewater finished first and attorney Mike Lee finished second, but Bridgewater did not receive enough votes (he needed more than 60 percent) to avoid a primary election runoff against Lee.[2] At the Democratic convention, delegates nominated businessman Sam Granato, who received 77.5 percent of the vote.[3]

In the Republican primary election, held on June 22, 2010, Lee became the Republican nominee by winning 51 percent of the vote against Bridgewater's 49 percent.[4]

The general election was held on November 2, 2010. Lee won the election with 62 percent of the vote to Granato's 33 percent and 6 percent for Constitution Party candidate Scott Bradley.[5]

Republican nomination

Convention

Candidates

On Ballot
  • Bob Bennett, incumbent U.S. Senator[6]
  • Tim Bridgewater, Small Businessman and Former congressional candidate[7]
  • David Chiu
  • Merrill Cook, former U.S. Congressman[8]
  • Cherilyn Eagar, businesswoman[7]
  • Leonard Fabiano
  • Jeremy Friedbaum
  • Mike Lee, attorney[9]
Withdrew

Endorsements

The following are endorsements made before the convention

Bennett
Lee

Polling

Poll Source Dates Administered Bob Bennett Tim Bridgewater Merrill Cook Cherilyn Eagar Mike Lee
Mason Dixon April 22–25, 2010 16% 20% 1% 11% 37%
Rasmussen Reports April 8, 2010 14% 14% 6% 4% 37%

Results

State Republican Convention results (First Round) [13]
Party Candidate Votes Percentage
Republican Mike Lee 982 28.75%
Republican Tim Bridgewater 917 26.84%
Republican Bob Bennett 885 25.91%
Republican Cherilyn Eagar 541 15.84%
Republican Merrill Cook 49 1.43%
Republican Leonard Fabiano 22 0.64%
Republican Jeremy Friedbaum 16 0.47%
Republican David Chiu 4 0.12%
Totals 3,416 100.00%
State Republican Convention results (Second Round) [14]
Party Candidate Votes Percentage
Republican Tim Bridgewater 1274 37.42%
Republican Mike Lee 1225 35.99%
Republican Bob Bennett 905 26.99%
Totals 3404 100.00%
State Republican Convention results (Third Round) [15]
Party Candidate Votes Percentage
Republican Tim Bridgewater 1854 57.28%
Republican Mike Lee 1383 42.72%
Totals 3237 100.00%

Primary

Candidates

Endorsements

Bridgewater
Lee

Polling

Poll Source Dates Administered Tim Bridgewater Mike Lee
Deseret News/KSL-TV June 12–17, 2010 42% 33%
Wilson Research June 10, 2010 30% 39%

Results

State Republican Primary results [18]
Party Candidate Votes Percentage
Republican Mike Lee 98,512 51.2%
Republican Tim Bridgewater 93,905 48.8%
Totals 192,417 100%

Democratic nomination

Candidates

  • Sam Granato, Small businessman[19]
  • Christopher Stout, Accountant[20]

Results

State Democratic Convention results (First Round)
Party Candidate Votes Percentage
Democratic Sam Granato 77.5%
Democratic Christopher Stout 22.5%
Totals ' 100%

General election

Candidates

  • Scott Bradley (C), businessman
  • Sam Granato (D), businessman
  • Mike Lee (R), attorney

Campaign

Granato emphasized his opposition to nuclear weapon tests in neighboring Nevada. In addition, he criticized Lee for his support of raising the retirement age and for questioning the constitutionality of Social Security.[21]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report Solid R[22] October 31, 2010
Rothenberg Safe R[23] October 28, 2010
Swing State Project Safe R[citation needed]
RealClearPolitics Safe R[24] October 31, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe R[25] October 28, 2010
CQ Politics Safe R[26] October 31, 2010

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Sam Granato (D) Mike Lee (R) Other Undecided
Deseret News/KSL-TV October 25–28, 2010 1,206 ± 3.0% 30% 57% 6% 7%
Mason-Dixon October 27, 2010 625 ± 4.0% 32% 48% 5% 15%
Deseret News/KSL-TV October 11–14, 2010 600 ± 4.0% 31% 53% 1% 11%
Rasmussen Reports October 13, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 28% 61% 4% 8%
Rasmussen Reports August 23, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 29% 54% 5% 12%
Rasmussen Reports June 23, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 28% 58% 5% 9%

Fundraising

Candidate (Party) Receipts Disbursements Cash On Hand Debt
Mike Lee (R) $1,595,383 $1,423,494 $165,314 $57,691
Sam Granato (D) $250,607 $219,776 $30,831 $15,000
Source: Federal Election Commission[27]

Results

United States Senate election in Utah, 2010[28]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Mike Lee 390,179 61.56% -7.18%
Democratic Sam Granato 207,685 32.77% +4.37%
Constitution Scott Bradley 35,937 5.67% +3.78%
Majority 182,494 28.79%
Total votes 633,801 100%
Republican hold Swing

References

  1. ^ Untitled Document
  2. ^ Gehrke, Robert. "Bennett out; GOP delegates reject 18-year Senate veteran - Salt Lake Tribune". Sltrib.com. http://www.sltrib.com/news/ci_15046264. Retrieved 2010-06-14. 
  3. ^ Loomis, Brandon. "Matheson forced into runoff election - Salt Lake Tribune". Sltrib.com. http://www.sltrib.com/news/ci_15046643. Retrieved 2010-06-14. 
  4. ^ Gehrke, Robert (2010-06-23). "Lee clinches GOP Senate nomination - Salt Lake Tribune". Sltrib.com. http://sltrib.com/sltrib/home/49810581-73/bridgewater-company-election-lee.html.csp. Retrieved 2010-06-23. 
  5. ^ Utah Election Results
  6. ^ Bernick, Jr., Bob (2008-12-06). "Bennett is gearing up for another Senate bid". Deseret News. http://deseretnews.com/article/1,5143,705268417,00.html. Retrieved 2009-01-12. 
  7. ^ a b c "ksl.com". http://www.ksl.com/?nid=148&sid=8550864. 
  8. ^ Hamby, Peter (February 25, 2010). "Bennett gets another primary challenger". CNN. http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2010/02/25/bennett-gets-another-primary-challenger/. Retrieved February 25, 2010. 
  9. ^ Davidson, Lee (2010-01-05). "Mike Lee enters Senate race against Bennett — with Shurtleff endorsement". Deseret News. http://www.deseretnews.com/article/705356276/Mike-Lee-enters-Senate-race-against-Bennett-2-with-Shurtleff-endorsement.html. Retrieved 2010-01-06. 
  10. ^ "Hatch endorses Bennett's re-election". ksl.com. 2009-09-05. http://www.ksl.com/?nid=148&sid=7813360. Retrieved 2010-06-14. 
  11. ^ By Robert GehrkeThe Salt Lake Tribune (2010-02-03). "Gingrich endorses Bennett re-election bid - Salt Lake Tribune". Sltrib.com. http://www.sltrib.com/utahpolitics/ci_14326982. Retrieved 2010-06-14. 
  12. ^ "Romney endorses Bob Bennett in 2010 Senate race". Heraldextra.com. 2009-04-06. http://heraldextra.com/news/state-and-regional/article_67e2f8ac-ee82-5630-9b04-06e977f7f927.html. Retrieved 2010-06-14. 
  13. ^ Senate Race: 1st Round Results Accessed May 10, 2010
  14. ^ Senate Race: 2nd Round Results Accessed May 10, 2010
  15. ^ Senate Race: 3rd Round Results Accessed May 10, 2010
  16. ^ "Tim Bridgewater Receives Key Legislative Endorsements | Bridgewater for Senate". Timbridgewater.com. http://timbridgewater.com/2010/05/tim-bridgewater-receives-key-legislative-endorsements/. Retrieved 2010-08-21. 
  17. ^ "Bridgewater Announces Endorsements by Municipal Leaders | Bridgewater for Senate". Timbridgewater.com. http://timbridgewater.com/2010/06/bridgewater-announces-endorsements-by-municipal-leaders/. Retrieved 2010-08-21. 
  18. ^ Utah Election Results
  19. ^ "Sam Granato for U.S. Senate". http://voteforgranato.com. 
  20. ^ "Another Democratic Challenger to Bennett". http://bobaagard.blogspot.com/2010/01/another-democratic-challenger-to.html. 
  21. ^ Senate candidates take stands on Social Security reform
  22. ^ "Senate". Cook Political Report. http://cookpolitical.com/senate. Retrieved October 31, 2010. 
  23. ^ "Senate Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. http://rothenbergpoliticalreport.com/ratings/senate. Retrieved October 31, 2010. 
  24. ^ "Battle for the Senate". RealClearPolitics. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/senate/2010_elections_senate_map.html. Retrieved October 31, 2010. 
  25. ^ "2010 Senate Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2010-senate/. Retrieved October 31, 2010. 
  26. ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Senate". CQ Politics. http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-senate. Retrieved October 31, 2010. 
  27. ^ "2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Utah". fec.gov. http://www.fec.gov:80/DisclosureSearch/HSRefreshCandList.do?category=stateS_all&stateName=UT&election_yr=2010. Retrieved July 24, 2010. 
  28. ^ http://elections.utah.gov/electionresults.html

External links

Debates
Official campaign sites

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