Oklahoma gubernatorial election, 2010

Oklahoma gubernatorial election, 2010

2006 ← November 2, 2010 → 2014

Nominee Mary Fallin Jari Askins Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 625,506 409,261 Percentage 60.45% 39.55%

County results

Governor before election Brad Henry Democratic Elected Governor Mary Fallin Republican

The Oklahoma gubernatorial election of 2010 was held on November 2, 2010 to elect the Governor of Oklahoma. Due to term limits placed on him by the Oklahoma Constitution, incumbent Democratic Governor Brad Henry could not seek re-election. The race had been hotly contested by both political parties, with several well-known Oklahomans announcing their candidacy up to two years before the election. The non-partisan Cook Political Report and CQ Politics rate the gubernatorial election as "likely Republican" and "leaning Republican," respectively.^[1][2] On November 2, 2010 Republican candidate Mary Fallin was elected, defeating Democratic candidate Jari Askins.

Overview

Democratic Governor Brad Henry was easily re-elected in 2006 and maintains the highest approval rating of any state official in Oklahoma.^[3] In 2008, Republicans made gains in the state legislature and took control of both the House and the Senate for the first time in Oklahoma history.

As both parties nominated female candidates (Jari Askins for the Democrats and Mary Fallin for the Republicans; both of whom have also previously held the office of lieutenant governor), and as no third-party or write-in candidate qualified for the ballot, Oklahoma was guaranteed its first ever female governor.

Democratic primary

Announced

• Jari Askins, incumbent Lieutenant Governor of Oklahoma^[4]
• Drew Edmondson, incumbent Attorney General of Oklahoma^[5]

Polling

Poll source	Dates administered	Drew Edmondson	Jari Askins
SoonerPoll.com	July 16–21, 2010	49%	33%
Sooner Survey	July 18–20, 2010	38%	27%
SoonerPoll.com	May 25-June 9, 2010	37%	36%
SoonerPoll.com	Jan. 2-5, 2010	46%	36%

Results

Democratic primary results[6]
Party		Candidate	Votes	Percentage
	Democratic	Jari Askins	132,591	50.28%
	Democratic	Drew Edmondson	131,097	49.72%
Totals			263,688	100.00%

Republican primary

Announced

• Mary Fallin, former Lieutenant Governor and current Congresswoman for Oklahoma's 5th congressional district^[7]
• Roger L. Jackson, retired businessman, former President of the Oklahoma Office Machine Dealers Association (OOMDA)^[8]
• Randy Brogdon, state senator^[9]
• Robert Hubbard, business owner of Piedmont, Oklahoma's "Hubbard Ranch Supply"^[10]

Declined

• J.C. Watts, former Congressman from Oklahoma's 4th congressional district ^[11]
• Mick Cornett, current Mayor of Oklahoma City, Oklahoma

Polling

Poll source	Dates administered	Mary Fallin	Randy Brogdon
SoonerPoll.com	July 16–21, 2010	56%	18%
Sooner Survey	July 18–20, 2010	50%	22%
SoonerPoll.com	May 25-June 9, 2010	59%	10%
SoonerPoll.com	Jan. 2-5, 2010	68%	16%

Results

Republican primary results[6]
Party		Candidate	Votes	Percentage
	Republican	Mary Fallin	136,477	54.79%
	Republican	Randy Brogdon	98,170	39.41%
	Republican	Robert Hubbard	8,132	3.26%
	Republican	Roger L. Jackson	6,290	2.53%
Totals			249,069	100.00%

Predictions

Source	Rating	As of
Cook Political Report	Likely R[12]	October 30, 2010
Rothenberg Report	Likely R[13]	October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics	Safe R[14]	October 30, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Likely R[15]	October 28, 2010
CQ Politics	Leans R[16]	October 30, 2010
New York Times	R[17]	October 30, 2010
Rasmussen Reports	Safe R[18]	October 30, 2010

General election

Polling

Poll source	Dates administered	Mary Fallin	Jari Askins
SoonerPoll.com	October 23, 2010	56%	39%
SoonerPoll.com	October 7, 2010	54%	36%
Rasmussen Reports	September 23, 2010	60%	34%
Rasmussen Reports	August 26, 2010	52%	37%
Rasmussen Reports	July 28, 2010	57%	36%
SoonerPoll.com	July 16–21, 2010	46%	40%
Rasmussen Reports	June 30, 2010	55%	32%
SoonerPoll.com	May 25-June 9, 2010	49%	36%
Rasmussen Reports	February 24, 2010	51%	37%
SoonerPoll.com	Jan. 2-5, 2010	52%	36%
Public Policy Polling	May 13–17, 2009	50%	34%

Results

Oklahoma gubernatorial election, 2010[19]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Mary Fallin	625,506	60.45%	+26.95%
	Democratic	Jari Askins	409,261	39.55%	-26.95%
Majority			216,245	20.90%	-12.11%
Turnout			1,034,767
	Republican gain from Democratic

References

1. ^ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. http://cookpolitical.com/governors. Retrieved October 25, 2010. 
2. ^ "Races for Governor in 2010". CQ Politics. http://innovation.cq.com/atlas/gov2010. Retrieved October 25, 2010. 
3. ^ SoonerPoll (January 10, 2010). "Henry Leads in Approval". SoonerPoll. http://soonerpoll.com/henry-leads-in-approval/. Retrieved 2010-06-03. 
4. ^ McNutt, Michael. "Oklahoma Lt. Gov. Jari Askins said she will run for governor in 2010." NewsOk.com, January 4, 2009.
5. ^ Edmondson says he will run for governor in 2010
6. ^ ^{a b} http://www.ok.gov/elections/support/10pri.html
7. ^ [1]^{[dead link]}
8. ^ "Roger L. Jackson for Oklahoma Governor". Jacksonforokgov.com. http://www.jacksonforokgov.com/. Retrieved 2010-08-21. 
9. ^ "Owasso Sen. Brogdon to run for governor". Tulsa World. 2009-04-18. http://www.tulsaworld.com/news/article.aspx?subjectid=298&articleid=20090418_298_0_ARepub194063. Retrieved 2010-08-21. 
10. ^ Estus, John, "Oklahoma candidate filing period marks start of busy campaign season," The Oklahoman, May 31, 2010.
11. ^ http://newsok.com/j.c.-watts-rules-out-run-for-governor/article/3371761?custom_click=lead_story_title
12. ^ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. http://cookpolitical.com/governors. Retrieved October 30, 2010. 
13. ^ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. http://rothenbergpoliticalreport.com/ratings/governor. Retrieved October 30, 2010. 
14. ^ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/governor/2010_elections_governor_map.html. Retrieved October 30, 2010. 
15. ^ "2010 Governor Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2010-governor/. Retrieved October 30, 2010. 
16. ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-governor. Retrieved October 30, 2010. 
17. ^ "Governor Race Ratings". New York Times. http://elections.nytimes.com/2010/forecasts/governor. Retrieved October 30, 2010. 
18. ^ "Election 2010: Gubernatorial Scorecard". Rasmussen Reports. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/election_2010_gubernatorial_scorecard. Retrieved October 30, 2010. 
19. ^ "Election Results" (pdf). Oklahoma State Election Board. http://www.ok.gov/elections/documents/General%20Election%20Results%20by%20County%20110210.pdf. Retrieved 2010-11-11. 

External links

• Oklahoma State Election Board
• Candidates for Oklahoma State Offices at Project Vote Smart
• Campaign contributions for 2010 Oklahoma Governor from Follow the Money
• Oklahoma Governor 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
• Election 2010: Oklahoma Governor from Rasmussen Reports
• 2010 Oklahoma Governor Race from Real Clear Politics
• 2010 Oklahoma Governor's Race from CQ Politics
• Race Profile in The New York Times
• News coverage from The Oklahoman

Debates

• Oklahoma Gubernatorial Debate on C-SPAN, July 21, 2010

Official campaign sites

• Jari Askins for Governor
• Mary Fallin for Governor