- Michigan gubernatorial election, 2010
-
Michigan gubernatorial election, 2010 
2006 ← November 2, 2010 → 2014 
Nominee Rick Snyder Virg Bernero Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 1,874,834 1,287,320 Percentage 58.1% 39.9%
County results
Governor before election
Elected
Governor
Rick Snyder
RepublicanElections in Michigan 
Federal governmentPresidential Elections 2000 · 2004 · 2008
Presidential Primaries U.S. Senate elections U.S. House elections 2006 · 8th district, 2006 · 2008 · 2010 · 2012
State governmentGubernatorial elections State House Elections 
DetroitMayoral Elections 2009
The Michigan gubernatorial election of 2010 was held on November 2, 2010. Governor Jennifer Granholm, a Democrat, was prohibited by the state's Constitution from seeking a third term. This resulted in a large pool of candidates which was whittled down, when the May 11 filing deadline passed, to two Democrats and five Republicans.[1] Both the Cook Political Report and the non-partisan Rothenberg Political Report rate the race as leaning Republican.[2][3]
The Republican primary race was highly competitive; both local and national polling reported Congressman Peter Hoekstra, state Attorney General Mike Cox, and businessman Rick Snyder as being front-runners for the Republican Party nomination.[4][5][6][7] The Democratic front-runner when the 2009 polls were conducted, Lieutenant Governor John D. Cherry, withdrew from the race in January 2010.[8][9] The final polls just days before the primary election showed that, while Lansing mayor Virg Bernero was in the lead, over a quarter of those polled were still undecided.[10] The deadline for candidates to file nominating petitions for the August 3 state primary was 4:00 PM on May 11, 2010.[1][11]
A total of 1,575,167 registered voters voted in the primaries, with 66.4% of them voting in the Republican primary.[12] Analysts believe a large portion of Democrats crossed party lines to vote for Snyder, whose ad campaign targeted bipartisan and independent support.[13] In Michigan, voters may vote in either primary regardless of their political affiliation, but can only vote for one party. Ballots with split tickets are not counted in partisan races. Both races came in more disparate than predicted. Snyder won with a near 10-point lead over closest rival Pete Hoekstra, and Bernero won with an even larger 17-point lead over early favorite state house speaker Andy Dillon. The results were a clear message from voters that they wanted a political outsider for governor.[14] On August 25, Snyder appointed State Representative Brian Calley as his running mate.[15] On August 28, Bernero appointed Southfield Mayor Brenda Lawrence as his running mate.[16]
Snyder defeated Bernero in the general election.
Contents
Democratic primary
Democratic candidates
Democratic nominee
Defeated in Democratic primary
- State house speaker Andy Dillon[18]
Withdrawn Democrats
- Alma Wheeler Smith, member of the Michigan House of Representatives (ended exploratory bid on May 10, 2010)[19]
- Robert Bowman, former Michigan treasurer[20] (ended exploratory bid on February 15, 2010)
- John Cherry, Lieutenant Governor[9] (ended exploratory bid on January 5, 2010)
- Hansen Clarke, member of the Michigan Senate[21] (ended bid on January 15, 2010; ran for Congress instead)
- John Freeman, former member of the Michigan House of Representatives[22] (ended bid on January 11, 2010)
- Dan Kildee, former Genesee County Treasurer[23] (ended exploratory bid on March 5, 2010)
Democratic primary polling
Names that are italicized appeared on the primary ballot.
Poll source Dates administered John D. Cherry Andy Dillon George Perles John Freeman Alma Wheeler Smith Dan Kildee Virg Bernero EPIC-MRA July 28, 2010 -- 32% -- -- -- -- 40% EPIC-MRA June 12–15, 2010 -- 34% -- -- -- -- 24% Public Policy Polling May 25–27, 2010 -- 23% -- -- -- -- 26% EPIC-MRA May 22–26, 2010 -- 29% -- -- -- -- 23% Rasmussen Reports April 22, 2010 -- 13% -- -- 9% -- 12% Rasmussen Reports March 24, 2010 -- 12% -- -- 10% -- 8% Denno-Noor Research March 3–5, 2010 -- 13% -- -- 6% 6% 11% EPIC-MRA February 22–25, 2010 -- 17% -- -- 7% 12% 8% Detroit Free Press November 12–17, 2009 20% 6% 6% 2% 2% -- -- EPIC-MRA October 11–15, 2009 33% -- 3% 2% 5% -- -- Marketing Resource Group September 12–20, 2009 40% -- -- 9% 8% -- -- Democratic primary results
Primary election results[24] Party Candidate Votes Percentage Democratic Virg Bernero 309,235 58.6% Democratic Andy Dillon 218,884 41.4% Totals 527,202 100% Republican primary
Republican candidates
Republican nominee
- Rick Snyder, businessman
Defeated in Republican primary
- Oakland County Sheriff Mike Bouchard[25][26]
- Michigan Attorney General Mike Cox[27]
- Michigan State Senator Tom George[28]
- U.S. Congressman Peter Hoekstra[29]
Not on Republican ballot
- Tim Rujan (failed to qualify), Huron County Commissioner[30][31]
Withdrawn Republicans
- Terri Lynn Land, Michigan Secretary of State. She was running for lieutenant governor as Bouchard's running mate[32]
- David Kniffen, businessman[33][34]
Republican primary polling
Poll source Dates administered Mike Cox Peter Hoekstra Mike Bouchard Rick Snyder Tom George David Kniffen EPIC-MRA July 29, 2010 24% 23% 10% 26% 1% -- Detroit News 4/WDIV July 18, 2010 26.4% 25.6% 11.6% 20.2% 1.8% -- EPIC-MRA June 12–15, 2010 26% 24% 16% 20% 2% -- Public Policy Polling May 25–27, 2010 17% 19% 15% 20% 9% -- EPIC-MRA May 22–26, 2010 18% 30% 16% 17% 2% -- Rasmussen Reports April 22, 2010 13% 28% 9% 14% -- -- Rasmussen Reports March 30, 2010 13% 27% 6% 18% -- -- Marketing Research Group March 10–15, 2010 21% 21% 10% 20% 1% - Denno-Noor Research March 3–5, 2010 12% 28% 8% 18% 2% -- EPIC-MRA February 22–25, 2010 21% 27% 10% 12% 1% -- Mitchell Research & Communications November 17–19, 2009 27% 24% 12% 3% 3% -- Detroit Free Press November 12–17, 2009 15% 21% 13% 5% 3% -- EPIC-MRA October 11–15, 2009 28% 29% -- 14% 3% 2% Marketing Resource Group September 12–20, 2009 27% 23% 15% -- -- -- Marketing Resource Group March 4–10, 2009 15% 17% -- -- -- -- Republican primary results
Republican primary results[24] Party Candidate Votes Percentage Republican Rick Snyder 381,327 36.4% Republican Pete Hoekstra 280,976 26.8% Republican Mike Cox 240,409 23.0% Republican Mike Bouchard 127,350 12.2% Republican Tom George 16,986 1.6% Totals 1,044,925 100% Other parties
Based on past election performance, the Libertarian Party of Michigan, Green Party of Michigan, and the U.S. Taxpayers Party of Michigan (affiliated with the Constitution Party) have automatic ballot access for the general election, but by state law they must nominate candidates through party conventions rather than primary elections. The Natural Law Party also has automatic ballot access in Michigan, but chose not to run a candidate for Governor in 2010.
Libertarian Party candidates
The Libertarian Party nominee is Kenneth Proctor.[35] The nomination was won at the Michigan Libertarian Convention held in Okemos, Michigan on Saturday, May 22, in accordance with Michigan state law. He beat out Bhagwan Dashairya, who had been the 2006 U.S. Taxpayers Party nominee for governor. Dashairya ended up taking the Libertarian nomination for U.S. Congress in District 8.
Green Party candidates
The Green Party of Michigan held their statewide nominating convention July 31 and August 1 in Lansing, Michigan, and nominated Harley Mikkelson for Governor and Lynn Meadows for Lieutenant Governor.[36]
U.S. Taxpayers Party candidates
The 2010 U.S. Taxpayers Party of Michigan convention was held on June 26 in East Lansing, Michigan. In a nearly unanimous vote, Stacey Mathia and Chris Levels were formally nominated as candidates of the U.S. Taxpayers Party of Michigan for the offices of Governor and Lt. Governor.
According to Stacey Mathia's official press release, "The Convention applauded Mathia's agenda to institute Law-Abiding Constitutional Government and State Sovereignty in order to free the People of Michigan from the political oppression of big government operating outside of its authority."[37]
The press release also stated, "Chris Levels, is currently well known as a radio talk show host on WSNL in the Flint, Michigan area. His last minute nomination speech will be available on Mathia’s website. The USTPM Convention gave him a standing applause."
General election
Debates
On August 12, it was reported that Virg Bernero accepted invitations to three debates. The first debate would be held September 21 and sponsored by WOOD-TV in Grand Rapids. The second debate would be held October 7 and be broadcast on 55 radio and TV stations throughout the state. The third debate would be held October 21 and would be sponsored by WXYZ-TV, WWJ (AM) and Crain's Detroit Business.[38] Then in early September, Bernero offered Snyder a deal of eight debates. Snyder proposed a counter-offer of three debates, which Bernero refused.[39] A Detroit Free Press editorial was critical of Snyder for not agreeing to debates.[40] Bernero called Snyder a wimp for not agreeing to debate him.[41] An impromptu debate developed after Bernero crashed a town hall meeting Snyder was hosting in Westland on September 13.[42] The two sides agreed to an hour-long televised debate, broadcasted on October 10 from the studios of WTVS in Wixom.[43] A group of Detroit clergy have invited the two candidates to a debate there on October 21. Only Bernero accepted the invitation.[44]
General election polling and predictions
Poll source Dates administered Virg Bernero (D) Rick Snyder (R) Detroit News/WDIV Local 4 October 25–26, 2010 35% 53% Free Press/WXYZ-TV Channel 7 October 23–26, 2010 37% 55% Rossman Group/Team TelCom October 18, 2010 36% 50% Rasmussen Reports October 17, 2010 34% 54% Mitchell Research October 10, 2010 29% 49% EPIC-MRA October 3–7, 2010 29% 49% Rasmussen Reports September 20, 2010 38% 51% Public Policy Polling September 17–19, 2010 31% 52% Mitchell Research August 25–29, 2010 26% 53% Detroit News August 9–10, 2010 32% 51% Rasmussen Reports August 4, 2010 37% 49% Rasmussen Reports June 10, 2010 30% 42% Public Policy Polling May 25–27, 2010 28% 44% EPIC-MRA May 22–26, 2010 28% 51% EPIC-MRA March 28–31, 2010 29% 42% Michigan Research Group March 10–15, 2010 26% 42% Predictions
Source Ranking As of Cook Political Report Likely R[45] October 29, 2010 Rothenberg Safe R[46] October 28, 2010 Swing State Project Safe R[citation needed] RealClearPolitics Solid R[47] October 29, 2010 Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe R[48] October 28, 2010 Rasmussen Reports Safe R[49] October 20, 2010 CQ Politics Lean R[50] October 29, 2010 Results
Michigan gubernatorial election, 2010[51] Party Candidate Votes % ±% Republican Rick Snyder 1,874,834 58.11% +15.81% Democratic Virg Bernero 1,287,320 39.90% -16.46% Libertarian Ken Proctor 22,390 0.69% +0.08% Constitution Stacey Mathia 20,818 0.65% +0.46% Green Harley Mikkelson 20,699 0.64% +0.12% Majority 587,514 18.21% +4.15% Turnout 3,226,088 Republican gain from Democratic Swing See also
References
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- ^ "Rick Snyder, Virg Bernero will test voters' opinions on organized labor, outsourcing". AnnArbor.com. 2010-08-05. http://ww.annarbor.com/elections/rick-snyder-virg-bernero-will-test-voters-opinions-on-organized-labor-outsourcing/. Retrieved 2010-08-12. "One thing Snyder and Bernero have in common: They’re both portraying themselves as outsiders who can solve the political gridlock seizing the state legislature...It’s clear voters are tired of politics as usual."
- ^ http://www.mlive.com/politics/index.ssf/2010/08/its_a_go_rick_snyder_names_bri.html
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- ^ Bell, Dawson (2010-05-10). "Rep. Wheeler Smith abandons bid for governor". Detroit Free Press. http://freep.com/article/20100510/NEWS15/100510012/1320/Rep.-Wheeler-Smith-abandons-bid-for-governor. Retrieved 2010-05-10.
- ^ [3][dead link]
- ^ State Sen. Hansen Clarke drops out of governor's race, Mark Hornbeck / Detroit News Lansing Bureau, published January 15, 2010
- ^ Freeman out of gov's race, Bowman may be interested, Mark Hornbeck / Detroit News Lansing Bureau, published January 12, 2010
- ^ "Dan Kildee announces his withdrawal from race for Michigan governor". MLive.com. http://www.mlive.com/news/flint/index.ssf/2010/03/dan_kildee_announces_his_withd.html. Retrieved 2010-08-21.
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External links
- Elections in Michigan from the Michigan Secretary of State
- Michigan Governor Candidates at Project Vote Smart
- Campaign contributions for 2010 Michigan Governor from Follow the Money
- 2010 Michigan Governor General Election: Rick Snyder (R) vs Virg Bernero (D) graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Election 2010: Michigan Governor from Rasmussen Reports
- 2010 Michigan Governor Race from Real Clear Politics
- 2010 Michigan Governor's Race from CQ Politics
- Race Profile in The New York Times
- Debates
- Michigan Democratic Gubernatorial Primary Debate on C-SPAN, June 21, 2010
- Michigan Republican Gubernatorial Primary Debate on C-SPAN, June 24, 2010
- Michigan Republican Gubernatorial Primary Debate on C-SPAN, July 13, 2010
- Official campaign sites
- Virg Bernero
- Mike Bouchard
- Mike Cox
- Andy Dillon
- Tom George
- Pete Hoekstra
- Stacey Mathia
- Ken Proctor
- Rick Snyder
Michigan political parties Major parties (ballot-qualified) 
Minor parties (ballot-qualified) Minor parties (not ballot-qualified) Natural Law • Reform • SocialistPolitical party strength in Michigan (2009 ←) 2010 United States elections (→ 2011) U.S.
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Categories:- Michigan elections, 2010
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