National Assembly for Wales election, 2011

National Assembly for Wales election, 2011

2007 ← 5 May 2011 → 2016[1]

All 60 seats to the National Assembly for Wales   First party Second party   Leader Carwyn Jones Nick Bourne Party Labour Conservative Leader's seat Bridgend Mid and West Wales (Defeated) Last election 26 seats, 32.2% 12 seats, 22.4% Seats won 30 14 Seat change 4 2 Constituency Votes 401,677 237,388 Constituency % 42.3% 25% List Votes 349,935 213,773 List % 36.9% 22.5%   Third party Fourth party   Leader Ieuan Wyn Jones Kirsty Williams Party Plaid Cymru Liberal Democrats Leader's seat Ynys Môn Brecon and Radnorshire Last election 15 seats, 22.4% 6 seats, 14.8% Seats won 11 5 Seat change 4 1 Constituency Votes 182,907 100,259 Constituency % 19.3% 10.6% List Votes 169,799 76,349 List % 17.9% 8.0%

Map of Wales showing constituency results

First Minister before election Carwyn Jones Labour Elected First Minister Carwyn Jones Labour

Wales

This article is part of the series: Politics and government of Wales

Government Cabinet First Minister Carwyn Jones AM Counsel General Theodore Huckle QC Home Civil Service Directorates Welsh Government sponsored bodies National Assembly Contemporary Welsh Law Acts list Statutory Instruments Presiding Officer Rosemary Butler AM Shadow Cabinet Leader of the Opposition Andrew R. T. Davies AM Members (AMs) Elections in Wales Constituencies and electoral regions Political parties Last election Next election Wales in the UK Her Majesty's Government Secretary of State Cheryl Gillan Wales Office Parliament of the United Kingdom Grand Committee Select Committee Reserved matters Government of Wales Act 2006 Elections Constituencies List of Welsh MPs Wales in the EU European Parliament Elections European Parliament constituency Subdivisons Local government in Wales Preserved counties Principal areas Communities

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The National Assembly for Wales election 2011 was the most recent election for the National Assembly. The poll was held on Thursday, 5 May 2011 and decided the incumbency for all the assembly's seats. It was the fourth election for seats in the National Assembly for Wales (previous elections having been held in 1999, 2003 and 2007), and the second election taken under the rules of the Government of Wales Act 2006.

The election resulted in gains for the incumbent Welsh Labour Party, which gained four seats compared to the previous election and now has 30 seats, exactly half of the Assembly. The party also secured a swing in its favour of over 10 percentage points. The Welsh Conservatives emerged as the largest opposition party with 14 seats, a net gain of two, but party leader Nick Bourne lost his seat. The junior party in the government coalition, the nationalist Plaid Cymru, suffered a drop in its vote and lost 4 seats. The Welsh Liberal Democrats lost significantly in the popular vote and returned five AMs, a loss of one.

British, Irish, Commonwealth and European Union citizens living in Wales aged eighteen or over on election day were entitled to vote. The deadline to register to vote in the election was midnight on 14 April 2011, though anyone who qualified as an anonymous elector had until midnight on 26 April 2011 to register.^[2]

It was held on the same day as elections for Northern Ireland's 26 local councils, the Scottish Parliament and Northern Irish Assembly elections, a number of local elections in England and the United Kingdom Alternative Vote referendum.

Electoral method

In general elections for the National Assembly for Wales, each voter has two votes in a mixed member system. The first vote may be used to vote for a candidate to become the Assembly Member for the voter's constituency, elected by the first past the post system. The second vote may be used to vote for a regional closed party list of candidates. Additional member seats are allocated from the lists by the d'Hondt method, with constituency results being taken into account in the allocation. The overall result is approximately proportional.

Electoral results

Members elected using the d'Hondt method Additional Member voting system by electoral region (four seats per region):

Conservatives   Labour

Liberal Democrats   Plaid Cymru

• Overall turnout: 42.2%

e • d Welsh Assembly election, 2011

Parties		Constituency (First past the post)					Regional (Additional member system)					Total seats
		Votes	%	+/−	Seats	+/−	Votes	%	+/−	Seats	+/−	Total	+/−	%
	Labour	401,677	42.3	+10.1	28	+4	349,935	36.9	+7.2	2	±0	30	+4	50.0
	Conservative	237,388	25	+2.6	6	+1	213,773	22.5	+1.1	8	+1	14	+2	23.3
	Plaid Cymru	182,907	19.3	–3.1	5	–2	169,799	17.9	–3.1	6	–2	11	–4	18.3
	Liberal Democrats	100,259	10.6	–4.2	1	–2	76,349	8.0	−3.7	4	+1	5	–1	8.3
	UKIP	N/A	N/A	N/A	0	0	43,756	4.6	+0.7	0	0	0	0	0.0
	Green	1,514	0.2	N/A	0	0	32,649	3.4	±0.0	0	0	0	0	0.0
	Socialist Labour	N/A	N/A	N/A	0	0	23,020	2.4	+1.2	0	0	0	0	0.0
	BNP	7,056	0.7	N/A	0	0	22,610	2.4	–1.9	0	0	0	0	0.0
	Welsh Christian	N/A	N/A	N/A	0	0	8,947	0.9	±0.0	0	0	0	0	0.0
	Communist	N/A	N/A	N/A	0	0	2,676	0.3	–0.1	0	0	0	0	0.0
	English Democrats	744	0.1	–0.1	0	0	1,904	0.2	±0.0	0	0	0	0	0.0
	Trade Unionists and Socialists Against Cuts	N/A	N/A	N/A	0	0	1,639	0.2	N/A	0	0	0	0	0.0
	Monster Raving Loony	N/A	N/A	N/A	0	0	1,237	0.1	N/A	0	0	0	0	0.0
	Independent	12,478	1.3	–1.7	0	–1	1,094	0.1	–0.9	0	0	0	–1	0.0
	Llais Gwynedd	3,225	0.3	N/A	0	0	N/A	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	0	0.0
	Putting Llanelli First	2,004	0.2	N/A	0	0	N/A	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	0	0.0
	Total	949,252			40		949,388			20		60

(source:^[3])

Opinion polls

Constituency Vote (FPTP)
Firm/Client	Survey end date	Lab	PC	Con	LD	Others
YouGov/ITV Wales	4 May 2011	47% (+2)	18% (NC)	20% (-1)	9% (+1)	6% (-1)
YouGov/ITV Wales	2 May 2011	45% (-4)	18% (+1)	21% (+1)	8% (+1)	7% (+1)
YouGov/ITV Wales	14 April 2011	49% (+2)	17% (NC)	20% (-1)	8% (NC)	6% (NC)
rmg:Clarity/Western Mail	7 April 2011	50.8%	16.7%	20.3%	7.6%	4.5%
YouGov/ITV Wales	30 March 2011	47% (-1)	17% (-2)	21% (+1)	8% (+1)	6% (-1)
YouGov/ITV Wales	8 March 2011	48% (+3)	19% (-2)	20% (-1)	7% (NC)	7% (+1)
YouGov/ITV Wales	26 January 2011	45% (+1)	21% (NC)	21% (-2)	7% (+1)	6% (NC)
YouGov/ITV Wales	22 December 2010	44% (NC)	21% (NC)	23% (+2)	6% (-3)	6% (NC)
YouGov/ITV Wales	24 November 2010	44% (NC)	21% (NC)	21% (+2)	9% (NC)	6% (-2)
YouGov/ITV Wales	27 October 2010	44%	21%	19%	9%	8%
2007 Assembly Election		32.2%	22.4%	22.4%	14.8%	8.2%

Regional Vote (AMS)
Firm/Client	Survey end date	Lab	PC	Con	LD	UKIP	Green	BNP	Others
YouGov/ITV Wales	14 April 2011	44% (-1)	18% (+2)	20% (NC)	8% (NC)	4% (-2)	2% (NC)	2% (+1)	2% (+1)
YouGov/ITV Wales	30 March 2011	45% (NC)	16% (-2)	20% (NC)	8% (+3)	6% (+1)	2% (-2)	1% (NC)	1% (NC)
YouGov/ITV Wales	8 March 2011	45% (+4)	18% (-3)	20% (NC)	5% (-3)	5% (+1)	4% (+2)	1% (NC)	1% (-2)
YouGov/ITV Wales	26 January 2011	41% (-1)	21% (NC)	20% (-2)	8% (+3)	4% (-1)	2% (-1)	1% (NC)	3% (+2)
YouGov/ITV Wales	22 December 2010	42% (+1)	21% (+1)	22% (+2)	5% (-4)	5% (+1)	3% (NC)	1% (-1)	1% (-1)
YouGov/ITV Wales	24 November 2010	41% (+1)	20% (-3)	20% (+2)	9% (NC)	4% (-2)	3% (+1)	2% (NC)	2% (+1)
YouGov/ITV Wales	27 October 2010	40%	23%	18%	9%	6%	2%	2%	1%
2007 Assembly Election		29.6%	21.0%	21.4%	11.7%	4.0%	3.5%	4.3%	4.5%

Constituency nominations

NB: candidates in BOLD text were the incumbent assembly members. Non incumbents are represented in italics. Members elected 2011 are highlighted with party colours.

Constituency	Conservative	Labour	Liberal Democrats	Plaid Cymru	Others	Result
Aberavon	TJ Morgan	David Rees	Helen Ceri Clarke	Paul Nicholls Jones		Labour HOLD
Aberconwy	Janet Finch-Saunders	Eifion Wyn Williams	Mike Priestley	Iwan Huws		Conservative GAIN
Alyn and Deeside	John Bell	Carl Sargeant	Peter Williams	Shane Brennan	Mike Whitby (British National Party)	Labour HOLD
Arfon	Aled Davies	Christina Rees	Rhys Jones	Alun Ffred Jones		Plaid Cymru HOLD
Blaenau Gwent	Bob Haywood	Alun Davies	Martin Blakebrough	Darren Jones	Jayne Sullivan (Independent) Brian Urch (British National Party)	Labour GAIN
Brecon and Radnorshire	Chris Davies	Chris Lloyd	Kirsty Williams	Gary Price		LibDem HOLD
Bridgend	Alex Williams	Carwyn Jones	Briony Davies	Tim Thomas		Labour HOLD
Caerphilly	Owen Meredith	Jeff Cuthbert	Kay David	Ron Davies	Anthony King (British National Party)	Labour HOLD
Cardiff Central	Matt Smith	Jenny Rathbone	Nigel Howells	Chris Williams	Mathab Khan (Independent)	Labour GAIN
Cardiff North	Jonathan Morgan	Julie Morgan	Matt Smith	Ben Foday		Labour GAIN
Cardiff South and Penarth	Ben Gray	Vaughan Gething	Sian Anne Cliff	Liz Musa		Labour HOLD
Cardiff West	Craig Williams	Mark Drakeford	David Morgan	Neil McEvoy		Labour HOLD
Carmarthen East and Dinefwr	Henrietta Hensher	Antony Jones	Will Griffiths	Rhodri Glyn Thomas		Plaid Cymru HOLD
Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire	Angela Burns	Christine Gwyther	Selwyn Runnett	Nerys Evans		Conservative HOLD
Ceredigion	Luke Evetts	Richard Boudier	Elizabeth Evans	Elin Jones	Chris Simpson (Welsh Green Party)	Plaid Cymru HOLD
Clwyd South	Paul Rogers	Kenneth Skates	Bruce Roberts	Mabon ap Gwynfor		Labour HOLD
Clwyd West	Darren Millar	Crispin Jones	Brian Cossey[4]	Eifion Lloyd Jones		Conservative HOLD
Cynon Valley	Daniel Saxton[5]	Christine Chapman	Ian Walton	Dafydd Trystan Davies		Labour HOLD
Delyn	Matthew Wright	Sandy Mewies	Michele Jones	Carrie Harper		Labour HOLD
Dwyfor Meirionnydd	Simon Baynes[6]	Martyn Singleton	Steve Churchman	Lord Elis-Thomas	Louise Hughes (Llais Gwynedd)	Plaid Cymru HOLD
Gower	Caroline Jones	Edwina Hart	Peter May	Darren Price		Labour HOLD
Islwyn	David Chipp	Gwyn Price	Tom Sullivan	Steffan Lewis	Peter Whalley (British National Party)	Labour HOLD
Llanelli	Andrew Morgan	Keith Davies	Cheryl Philpott	Helen Mary Jones	Sian Caiach (Putting Llanelli First)	Labour GAIN
Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney	Chris O'Brien	Huw Lewis	Amy Kitcher	Noel Turner	Tony Rogers (Independent)	Labour HOLD
Monmouth	Nick Ramsay	Mark Whitcutt	Janet Ellard	Fiona Cross	Steve Uncles (English Democrats)	Conservative HOLD
Montgomeryshire	Russell George	Nick Colbourne[7]	Wyn Williams	David Senior		Conservative GAIN
Neath	Alex Powell	Gwenda Thomas	Matthew McCarthy	Alun Llewellyn	Mike Green (British National Party)	Labour HOLD
Newport East	Nick Webb	John Griffiths	Ed Townsend	Chris Paul		Labour HOLD
Newport West	David Williams	Rosemary Butler	Elizabeth Newton	Lyndon Binding		Labour HOLD
Ogmore	Martyn Hughes	Janice Gregory	Gerald Francis	Danny Clark		Labour HOLD
Pontypridd	Joel James	Mick Antoniw	Mike Powell	Ioan Bellin	Ken Owen (Independent))	Labour HOLD
Preseli Pembrokeshire	Paul Davies	Terry Mills	Bob Kilmister	Rhys Sinnett		Conservative HOLD
Rhondda	James Eric Jefferys	Leighton Andrews	George Summers	Sera Evans-Fear		Labour HOLD
Swansea East	Dan Boucher	Michael Hedges	Sam Samuel	Dic Jones	Joanne Shannon (British National Party)	Labour HOLD
Swansea West	Stephen Jenkins	Julie James	Rob Speht	Carl Harris		Labour HOLD
Torfaen	Natasha Asghar	Lynne Neagle	Will Griffiths	Jeff Rees	Susan Harwood (British National Party) Elizabeth Haynes (Independent))	Labour HOLD
Vale of Clwyd	Ian Gunning	Ann Jones	Heather Prydderch	Alun Lloyd Jones		Labour HOLD
Vale of Glamorgan	Angela Jones-Evans	Jane Hutt	Damian Chick	Ian Johnson		Labour HOLD
Wrexham	John Marek	Lesley Griffiths	Bill Brereton	Marc Jones		Labour HOLD
Ynys Môn	Paul Williams	Joe Lock[8]	Rhys Taylor	Ieuan Wyn Jones		Plaid Cymru HOLD

Regional lists

Mid and West Wales

	British National Party	Communist Party of Britain	Welsh Conservative Party	Green Party of England and Wales	Welsh Labour	Welsh Liberal Democrats	Plaid Cymru	Socialist Labour Party	UK Independence Party	Welsh Christian Party
1.	Kay Thomas	Catrin Ashton	Nick Bourne	Leila Kiersch	Joyce Watson	William Powell	Simon Thomas	Liz Screen	Christine Williams	Jeff Green
2.	Watcyn Richards	Rick Newnham	Lisa Francis	Marilyn Elson	Rebecca Evans	Mark Cole	Rhys Davies	Adam Kelsey	Clive Easton	Adam Bridgman
3.	Roger Phillips	Barbara Thomas	Ian Harrison	Pat McCarthy	Matthew Dorrance	Edward Wilson	Llywelyn Rees	Barry Giddings	David W Rowlands	Martin Wiltshire
4.	Gary Tumulty	Clive Eliassen	Gareth Ratcliffe	Neil Lewis	Iqbal Malik	Steffan John	Ellen ap Gwynn	Robert Board	Nick Powell	Sue Green
5.			Keith Evans	Ken Simpkin		Gemma Bowker
6.			Stephen Kaye	Rachael Sweeting
7.			Dan Munford
8.			Evan Price

• RESULT: Labour - 2 seats; Plaid Cymru - 1 seat; Liberal Democrats - 1 seat
  (Change: LibDem GAIN 1 seat from Conservative)
• Nick Bourne, Welsh Conservative Party leader, lost his seat

North Wales

	British National Party	Communist Party of Britain	Welsh Conservative Party	Green Party of England and Wales	Independent	Welsh Labour	Welsh Liberal Democrats	Plaid Cymru	Socialist Labour Party	UK Independence Party	Welsh Christian Party
1.	John Walker	Glyn Davies	Mark Isherwood	Dorienne Robinson	Jason Weyman	Gwyneth Thomas	Aled Roberts (Disqualified, then reinstated)[9]	Llyr Huws Griffiths	Kathrine Jones	Nathan Gill	Ralph Kinch
2.	Richard Barnes	Trevor Jones	Antoinette Sandbach	Timothy Foster		David Phillips	Eleanor Burnham	Heledd Fychan	David Jones	Warwick Nicholson	Louise Wynne-Jones
3.	Ian Si’Ree	Rhian Cartwright	Janet Howarth	Peter Haig		Diane Green	Mark Young	Dyfed Edwards	Robert English	Andrew Haigh	Lindsay Griffiths
4.	Clive Jefferson	Graham Morgan	Julian Thompson-Hill	Ann Were		Colin Hughes	Anne Williams	Liz Saville Roberts	John Mcleod	Elwyn Williams	Neil Bastow
5.			Ranil Jayawardena				Victor Babu
6.			Samantha Cotton
7.			Martin Peet
8.			Sam Rowlands
9.			John Broughton

• RESULT: Conservative - 2 seats; Plaid Cymru - 1 seat; Liberal Democrats - 1 seat
  (No change)

South Wales Central

	British National Party - Plaid Genedlaethol Prydain	Ceidwadwyr Cymreig / Welsh Conservatives	Christian Party (Wales) "Proclaiming Christ's Lordship" / Plaid Gristionogol Cymru "Datgan Arglwyddiaeth Cris"	Green Party / Plaid Werdd	Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales	Socialist Labour Party Plaid Lafur Sosialaidd	The Official Monster Raving Loony Party	Trade Unionists and Socialists Against Cuts	UKIP Wales - UKIP Cymru	Welsh Communist Party / YBlaid Gomiwynyddol Gymreig	Welsh Labour / Lafur Cymru	Welsh Liberal Democrats / Democratiaid Rhyddfrydol Cymru
1.	Gareth Connors	Andrew R.T. Davies	John Harrold	Jake Griffiths	Leanne Wood	Andrew Jordan	Mark Beech	Ross Saunders	Kevin Philip Mahoney	Robert David Griffiths	Jane Brencher	John Dixon (Disqualified)[10]
2.	Mary John	David Melding	Clive Bate	Sam Coates	Chris Franks	Adrian Dumphy	Pinkandorevil Gem	Sarah Mayo	Simon Christopher David Zeigler	Gwen Griffiths	Craig Jones	Eluned Parrott (sworn in 6 July 2011)
3.	Keith Fairhurst	Lyn Hudson	Donald Watson	John Matthews	Delme Bowen	Diana Whitley-Jones		Brian Lewis	Lawrence Douglas Gwynn	Fran Rawlings	Alex Thomas	Rachael Hitchinson
4.	Edward O’Sullivan	Richard Howard Hopkins	Derek Thomson	Matt Townsend	Richard Grigg	Harry Parfitt		Helen Jones	Anthony John Jenkins	Clive Griffiths	John David Drysdale	Elgan Morgan
5.		Christopher Williams		Teleri Clark				Andrew Price				Andrew Sherwood
6.		Kyle Robert Smith						Filipa Machado
7.		Axel Kaehne						Leanne Francis
8.		Helen Hancock						Rae Lewis-Ayling
9.								Nagina Kabul
10.								Glyn Matthews
11.								Keiron Hopkins
12.								Rowena Mason

• RESULT: Conservative - 2 seats; Plaid Cymru - 1 seat; Liberal Democrats - 1 seat

South Wales East

	British National Party	Communist Party of Britain	Welsh Conservative Party	English Democrats	Green Party of England and Wales	Welsh Labour	Welsh Liberal Democrats	Plaid Cymru	Socialist Labour Party	UK Independence Party	Welsh Christian Party
1.	Laurence Reid	Tommy Roberts	William Graham	Laurence Williams	Christopher Were	Debbie Wilcox	Veronica German	Jocelyn Davies	Alyson O'Connell	David J Rowlands	Dave Owen
2.	Jennie Noble	Roy Evans	Mohammad Asghar	Kim Burelli	Pippa Bartolotti	Anthony Hunt	Phil Hobson	Lindsay Whittle	Susan Lesley Deare	Neil (Jock) Greer	Steve McCreery
3.	John Voisey	Julian Jones	Caroline Oag	Robin Tilbrook	Owen Clarke	Karen Wilkie	Bob Griffin	Bleddyn Hancock	Alan Brian Cowdell	Peter Osbourne	Raphael Martin
4.	Jennifer Matthys	Angharad Khan-Raja	Benjamin Smith	Teresa Canon	Alan Williams	Hefin David	Alison Willott	Jonathan Clark	Joyce Irene Giblin	Gareth Dunn	Tracey Martin
5.			Paul Pavia	Mike Tibby			Brendan D'Cruz
6.			Susannah Beatson-Hird
7.			Paul Williams
8.			Paul Stafford

• RESULT: Conservative - 2 seats; Plaid Cymru - 2 seats
  (Change: Plaid Cymru GAIN 1 seat from LibDem)

South Wales West

	British National Party	Communist Party of Britain	Welsh Conservative Party	Green Party of England and Wales	Welsh Labour	Welsh Liberal Democrats	Plaid Cymru	Socialist Labour Party	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	UK Independence Party	Welsh Christian Party
1.	Clive Bennett	John Morrissey	Suzy Davies	Keith Ross	Alana Davies	Peter Black	Bethan Jenkins	David Leonard Davies	Ronnie Job	David Bevan	David Griffths
2.	Adam Walker	Laura Picand	Byron Davies	Huw Evans	Geraint Hopkins	Stuart Rice	David Lloyd	Derek Roy Isaacs	Owen Herbert	John Atkinson	Dick Van Steenis
3.	Sion Owens	David Brown	Altaf Hussain	Delyth Margaret Miller	Marie John	Cheryl Green	Myfanwy Davies	Shangara Singh Bhatoe	Mark Evans	Tim Jenkins	Maggie Harrold
4.	Adam Lloyd	Dan Cole	Helen Baker	Andrew Paul Chyba	Edward Jones	Wayne Morgan	Linet Purcell	Ranjit Singh Bhatoe	Les Woodward	David Rodgers	Ray Bridgman
5.			Matthew Voisey			Frank Little			Claire Job
6.			Steve Gallagher						Alec Thraves
7.			Dayne Powell						Caroline Butchers
8.			Gareth Williams						Dave Phillips
9.									Helen Stew
10.									Martin White
11.									Rob Williams
12.									Rob Owen

• RESULT: Conservative - 2 seats; Plaid Cymru - 1 seat; LibDem - 1 seat
  (Change: Conservative GAIN 1 seat from Plaid Cymru)

Target seats for the main parties

Below are listed all the constituencies which require a swing of less than 7.5% from the 2007 result to change hands.

Labour Targets

Rank	Constituency	Winning party 2007		Swing to gain	Labour's place 2007	Result
1	Carmarthen West & South Pembrokeshire		Conservative	0.17	2nd	Conservative hold
2	Clwyd West		Conservative	3.05	2nd	Conservative hold
3	Preseli Pembrokeshire		Conservative	5.58	2nd	Conservative hold
4	Llanelli		Plaid Cymru	7.04	2nd	Labour gain
5	Cardiff North		Conservative	7.19	2nd	Labour gain

Plaid Cymru Targets

Rank	Constituency	Winning party 2007		Swing to gain	PC's place 2007	Result
1	Carmarthen West & South Pembrokeshire		Conservative	0.44	3rd	Conservative hold
2	Clwyd West		Conservative	3.33	3rd	Conservative hold
3	Neath		Labour	3.36	2nd	Labour hold
4	Caerphilly		Labour	4.38	2nd	Labour hold
5	Preseli Pembrokeshire		Conservative	6.92	3rd	Conservative hold

Conservative Targets

Rank	Constituency	Winning party 2007		Swing to gain	Con's place 2007	Result
1	Vale of Glamorgan		Labour	0.13	2nd	Labour hold
2	Vale of Clwyd		Labour	0.21	2nd	Labour hold
3	Delyn		Labour	1.18	2nd	Labour hold
4	Gower		Labour	2.17	2nd	Labour hold
5	Clwyd South		Labour	2.87	2nd	Labour hold
6	Newport West		Labour	2.96	2nd	Labour hold
7	Aberconwy		Plaid Cymru	4.09	2nd	Conservative gain
8	Montgomeryshire		Liberal Democrats	4.44	2nd	Conservative gain
9	Newport East		Labour	4.73	3rd	Labour hold
10	Cardiff South & Penarth		Labour	5.15	2nd	Labour hold
11	Bridgend		Labour	5.21	2nd	Labour hold
12	Wrexham		Labour	5.78	3rd	Labour hold
13	Swansea West		Labour	6.58	3rd	Labour hold
14	Cardiff West		Labour	6.88	2nd	Labour hold

Liberal Democrat Targets

Rank	Constituency	Winning party 2007		Swing to gain	LD's place 2007	Result
1	Newport East		Labour	2.20	2nd	Labour hold
2	Swansea West		Labour	3.30	2nd	Labour hold
3	Wrexham		Labour	6.05	4th	Labour hold
4	Ceredigion		Plaid Cymru	6.57	2nd	Plaid Cymru hold
5	Pontypridd		Labour	7.11	2nd	Labour hold

New members

23 of the members elected to the Assembly in the election were not members of the previous Assembly.

• Mick Antoniw, Labour, Pontypridd
• Byron Davies, Welsh Conservative, South Wales West electoral region
• Keith Davies, Labour, Llanelli
• Suzy Davies, Welsh Conservative, South Wales West electoral region
• Mark Drakeford, Labour, Cardiff West
• Rebecca Evans, Labour, Mid and West Wales electoral region
• Janet Finch-Saunders, Welsh Conservative, Aberconwy
• Russell George, Welsh Conservative, Montgomeryshire
• Vaughan Gething, Labour, Cardiff South and Penarth
• Llyr Huws Gruffydd, Plaid Cymru, North Wales electoral region
• Michael Hedges, Labour, Swansea East
• Julie James, Labour, Swansea West
• Julie Morgan, Labour, Cardiff North
• Eluned Parrott, Liberal Democrat, South Wales Central electoral region
• William Powell, Liberal Democrat, Mid and West Wales electoral region
• Gwyn Price, Labour, Islwyn
• Jenny Rathbone, Labour, Cardiff Central
• David Rees, Labour, Aberavon
• Aled Roberts, Liberal Democrat, North Wales electoral region (see below)
• Antoinette Sandbach, Welsh Conservative, North Wales electoral region
• Ken Skates, Labour, Clwyd South
• Simon Thomas, Plaid Cymru, Mid and West Wales electoral region
• Lindsay Whittle, Plaid Cymru, South Wales East electoral region

On 17 May it was discovered that two of the newly-elected AMs, John Dixon and Aled Roberts, held posts which disqualified them from election to the Assembly. Although they had formally taken their seats at the first meeting on 11 May,^[11] they were then removed from membership of Assembly.^[12] Both resigned the posts which had given rise to the disqualification. After taking legal advice, the Presiding Officer Rosemary Butler was told that she must formally declare their seats vacant on Friday 27 May, which would mean the candidates placed second on the list being elected unless motions were tabled to reinstate the two.^[13] Motions to reinstate Dixon and Roberts were subsequently tabled, and the Assembly Commission issued a press statement explaining the legal situation as they saw it.^[14]

The Liberal Democrats withdrew the motion to reinstate John Dixon on 5 July 2011, after the assembly standards commissioner Gerard Elias QC made clear that he had failed to take notice of the relevant rules. On 6 July, Eluned Parrott was sworn in as an AM in his place, and the Assembly voted to readmit Aled Roberts, as evidence showed that he had been directed to out-of-date information in Welsh.^[15]

Defeated members

8 incumbent AMs were defeated at the polls.

• Eleanor Burnham, Welsh Liberal Democrat, North Wales electoral region NB: Was selected by party members as second on the regional list, so her seat was retained.
• Nick Bourne, Welsh Conservative, Mid and West Wales electoral region
• Nerys Evans, Plaid Cymru, Mid and West Wales electoral region NB: Stood down from region to contest Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire, where she was placed 3rd.
• Chris Franks, Plaid Cymru, South Wales Central electoral region
• Veronica German, Welsh Liberal Democrat, South Wales East electoral region
• Helen Mary Jones, Plaid Cymru, Llanelli
• Dai Lloyd, Plaid Cymru, South Wales West electoral region
• Jonathan Morgan, Welsh Conservative, Cardiff North

Retiring members

The following incumbent AMs did not offer themselves for re-election:

• Lorraine Barrett, Welsh Labour, Cardiff South and Penarth
• Mick Bates, Independent (elected Welsh Liberal Democrat), Montgomeryshire
• Alun Cairns, Welsh Conservative, South Wales West electoral region
• Jane Davidson, Welsh Labour, Pontypridd
• Andrew Davies, Welsh Labour, Swansea West
• Brian Gibbons, Welsh Labour, Aberavon
• Irene James, Welsh Labour, Islwyn
• Gareth Jones, Plaid Cymru, Aberconwy
• Trish Law, Independent, Blaenau Gwent
• Val Lloyd, Welsh Labour, Swansea East
• Rhodri Morgan, Welsh Labour, Cardiff West
• Jenny Randerson, Welsh Liberal Democrat, Cardiff Central
• Janet Ryder, Plaid Cymru, North Wales electoral region
• Karen Sinclair, Welsh Labour, Clwyd South
• Brynle Williams, Welsh Conservative, North Wales electoral region (died 1 April 2011).

See also

• Scottish Parliament general election, 2011
• Northern Ireland Assembly election, 2011

References

1. ^ "BBC News - 2015 Welsh assembly election delayed, says Carwyn Jones". BBC Online. 16 March 2011. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-politics-12764639. Retrieved 16 March 2011. 
2. ^ The deadline for the receipt and determination of anonymous electoral registration applications was the same as the publication date of the notice of alteration to the Electoral Register (i.e. the fifth working day before election day).
3. ^ Assembly national votes and seats by party, and links to constituency results - BBC
4. ^ http://www.yesforwales.com/site/?p=952
5. ^ "Probe into Tory candidates' sexist jokes on Facebook". BBC News. 9 February 2011. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-politics-12406260. 
6. ^ http://www.simonbaynes.co.uk/
7. ^ http://en-gb.facebook.com/pages/Montgomeryshire-Labour-Party/161201273907180?v=info
8. ^ http://www.theonlinemail.co.uk/bangor-and-anglesey-news/local-bangor-and-anglesey-news/2011/02/02/labour-student-to-fight-assembly-election-on-anglesey-66580-28092774/
9. ^ "Police investigation into two disqualified Lib Dem AMs". BBC News. 19 May 2011. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-politics-13454976. 
10. ^ "Police investigation into two disqualified Lib Dem AMs". BBC News. 19 May 2011. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-politics-13454976. 
11. ^ "Record of Proceedings". National Assembly for Wales. 12 May 2011. http://www.assemblywales.org/bus-home/bus-chamber-fourth-assembly-plenary.htm?act=dis&id=215605&ds=5/2011#enweb. 
12. ^ "Two Welsh AMs temporarily disqualified on technicality". BBC News Online. 17 May 2011. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-politics-13433923. Retrieved 30 May 2011. 
13. ^ Powys, Betsan (25 May 2011). "The Lib Dem two and the no-named day motion". BBC News Online. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-politics-13526316. 
14. ^ "Statement from the National Assembly for Wales Commission". National Assembly for Wales. 25 May 2011. http://www.assemblywales.org/newhome/new-news-fourth-assembly.htm?act=dis&id=216588&ds=5/2011. 
15. ^ "Barred Lib Dem Aled Roberts regains Welsh assembly seat". BBC News. 6 July 2011. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-14048630. Retrieved 6 July 2011.