2006 Central Pacific cyclone

Infobox storm
event=2006 Central Pacific cyclone


caption=The system on November 1
formed=October 30, 2006
dissipated=November 3
location=central north Pacific Ocean to British Columbia
da

fatalities=none

The 2006 Central Pacific cyclone, also called 91C.INVEST or Storm 91C, was an unusual weather event of 2006. Forming on October 30 from a mid-latitude cyclone in the north Pacific mid-latitudes, it moved over waters warmer-than-normal. It acquired some features more typical of subtropical or even tropical cyclones. However, as it neared western North America it fell apart. Moisture from its remains then caused substantial rainfall in British Columbia. The exact status and nature of this weather event is unknown, with meteorologists and weather agencies having differing opinions.

Meteorological history

A cut-off extratropical cyclone over the central north Pacific moved over an area of ocean with sea surface temperatures as high as 2 °C above normal for two days.cite web|url=http://www.tropicalcyclone2005.com/database/2006/C/S/2006-91C.txt|author=Gary Padgett|title=Possible Tropical Cyclone|accessdate=2008-01-01] cite web|url=http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/NaturalHazards/natural_hazards_v2.php3?img_id=13951|publisher=NASA|title=Subtropical Storm off the Coast of Oregon|date=2006-11-02|accessdate=2008-01-01] By October 31 the system had acquired convection, a warmer-than-normal core, and an eye-like feature. During this time it had moved east, then northeast, and then northwest.

On November 1, the system had estimated winds of 100 km/h (60 mph) and its most developed convection. After that, it slowly weakened, looped counter-clockwise, and headed east towards the west coast of North America. On November 2, wind shear started taking its toll, and all convection was gone by the next day, when it was located roughly 520 mi (840 km) off the coast of Oregon.

This system's center of circulation passed south of observation buoy 46637 on November 1. The buoy's lowest pressure reading was 989 mb/hPa. Other buoys indicated that a rather large area of low pressure was associated with the system. Buoy 46637 was not at the system's center of circulation, so it is possible that this system had a lower minimum pressure than was actually measured.

Impact, preparation, and records

In response to the weather system, the American National Weather Service issued wind watches for the Oregon Coast.cite news|url=http://www.beachconnection.net/news/stor110406_0125.htm|publisher=Beach Connection|accessdate=2008-01-01|title=First Storm Set to Wow Oregon Coast] The system brought heavy rain to portions of Vancouver Island.cite web|url=http://www.atl.ec.gc.ca/weather/hurricane/storm06.html|title=2006 Atlantic Hurricane Season Review|publisher=Canadian Hurricane Center|date=2007-05-22|accessdate=2008-01-01]

If Storm 91C is considered a tropical or subtropical cyclone, it holds several records. Since it currently is not officially either, its holding these records is also unofficial. Since it formed at 36°N, this system is the northernmost formation in the eastern north Pacific basin.cite web|url=http://australiasevereweather.com/cyclones/2007/trak0611.htm|title=Global Tropical Cyclone Tracks - November 2006|author=Gary Padgett & Karl Hoarau|accessdate=2008-01-02] The previous record-holder was Tropical Storm Wene, which formed at 32°N before crossing the dateline.cite web|publisher=Joint Typhoon Warning Center|accessdate=2008-01-02|title=Tropical Storm (TS) 16W (Wene*)|url=http://metocph.nmci.navy.mil/jtwc/atcr/2000atcr/ch1/chap1_page21.html|work=2000 Annual Tropical Cyclone Report] In addition, this system's track data indicates that it crossed from the central to the east Pacific because it formed at longitude 149°W and dissipated at 135°W. Only two recorded other tropical cyclones had done that previously.

Nature of the system

This system has been considered a tropical, subtropical, or extratropical cyclone.

Mark Guishard, a meteorologist with Bermuda Weather Service, was of the opinion that the system had completed tropical cyclogenesis and was a tropical cyclone. Meteorologist Mark Lander thought that cloud tops were similar to several Atlantic hurricanes, Hurricane Vince in particular. James Franklin, a meteorologist at the National Hurricane Center, thought that:

The system was of frontal origin... the frontal structure was eventually lost.... The convective structure resembled a tropical, rather than subtropical cyclone, and the radius of maximum winds (based on QuikSCAT) was very close to the center, also more typical of tropical cyclones... on balance, it was more tropical than subtropical.cite web|work=Jeff Masters' Blog|url=http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/archive.html?tstamp=200611|title=Thingamabobbercane revisited|date=2006-11-08|publisher=Weather Underground|accessdate=2008-01-01]

Clark Evans of Florida State University reported that forecasting tools showed that the system's structure was consistent with that of a sub tropical or marginally tropical cyclone. NASA, which is not a meteorological agency, thought that the system was a subtropical cyclone.

In its review of the 2006 Atlantic hurricane season, the Canadian Hurricane Center considered this to be an extratropical cyclone.

Since this system had one-minute sustained winds of 100 km/h (60 mi/h), which are above the 60 km/h (39 mi/h) boundary between a depression and a storm, it would qualify as a named storm if it was a tropical or subtropical cyclone. However, neither of the official Regional Specialized Meteorological Centers for the eastern north Pacific, the National Hurricane Centercite web|url=http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/2006epac.shtml|title=2006 Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season|accessdate=2008-01-01|publisher=National Hurricane Center] and the Central Pacific Hurricane Center,cite web|url=http://www.prh.noaa.gov/cphc/summaries/2006.php|title=2006 Tropical Cyclones Central North Pacific|author=Andy Nash, Tim Craig, Sam Houston, Roy Matsuda, Jeff Powell, Ray Tanabe, & Jim Weyman|accessdate=2008-01-01|publisher=Central Pacific Hurricane Center|month=July|year=2007] include this system in their annual archives, nor is it included in the official "best track" file.cite web|url=http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tracks1949to2006_epa.txt|title=Untitled|format=plain text|publisher=National Hurricane Center|date=2007-06-07|accessdate=2008-01-01] Hence, this system is not an official tropical or subtropical cyclone of the 2006 Pacific hurricane season.

ee also

* 1996 Lake Huron cyclone

References

External links

* [http://www.typhoon2000.ph/garyp_mgtcs/nov06tks.txt Unofficial track data]