Swedish general election, 2014

Swedish general election, 2014

2010 ← 14 September → 2018

All 349 seats to the Riksdag 175 seats are needed for a majority   Leader Håkan Juholt Fredrik Reinfeldt Åsa Romson Gustav Fridolin (pictured) Party Social Democrats Moderate Party Green Party Alliance Independent The Alliance Independent Leader since 2011 2003 2011 Last election 112 seats, 30.66% 107 seats, 30.06% 25 seats, 7.34% Current seats 112 107 25   Leader Jan Björklund Annie Lööf Jimmie Åkesson Party Liberal Party Centre Party Sweden Democrats Alliance The Alliance The Alliance Independent Leader since 2007 2011 2005 Last election 24 seats, 7.06% 23 seats, 6.56% 20 seats, 5.70% Current seats 24 23 19

Incumbent Prime Minister Fredrik Reinfeldt The Alliance

A general election will be held in Sweden on 14 September 2014 to the national Swedish Riksdag, as well as to all 21 county councils and 210 municipal assemblies. This will be the first election following the historic re-election of a centre-right government in 2010. It will also be the first nationwide electoral test for the populist and nationalist Sweden Democrats after winning their first seats in parliament.

The Red-Green pact from the 2010 election was dissolved in november 2010. Discussions on a possible collaboration in the 2014 election will probably not take place in the near future, according to Mikaela Valtersson, MP of the Green Party.^[1]

Leadership changes

This election will take place with changes in party leadership from the previous contest. Social Democratic party leader Mona Sahlin stepped down after her party's poor election result in 2010.^[2] She was replaced by Håkan Juholt, the chairman for the parliamentary committee on defence issues (försvarsutksottet), and 16-year member of parliament representing Kalmar.^[3] Juholt is considered by political commentators to represent a more traditional left-wing of the Social Democratic Party.^[4][5][6]

The Green Party's co-spokespeople both stepped down, having both served the maximum 9-years allowed by the party's constitution, and were officially replaced by a party congress in May 2011.^[7] A nominating committee nominated Gustav Fridolin (MP for northern and eastern Scania) and Åsa Romson (party spokesperson for environmental and climate policy, and MP for Stockholm Municipality), however economic policy spokesperson Mikaela Valtersson also signaled an intention to challenge Romson for the nomination.^[8] Other candidates identified by the press included Yvonne Ruwaida and Carl Schlyter.^[9] On 21 May 2011 the party congress elected Fridolin and Romson as the party's new co-spokespersons.^[10]

In June 2011, Maud Olofsson announced that she does not stand for re-election as leader of the Centre Party.^[11] On 23 September 2011, Annie Lööf was elected as the new party leader.^[12]

In August 2011, Lars Ohly, the leader of the Left Party, made public that he will step down after poor election results. A new party leader will be elected at the party congress in January 2012. Ohly still intends to keep his seat in the parliament.^[13]

Opinion polls

Table key:
Government ("the Alliance")			Parties in opposition
(m)		Moderate Coalition Party Moderata samlingspartiet	(s)		Swedish Social Democratic Workers' Party Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetarparti
(fp)		Liberal People's Party Folkpartiet liberalerna	(v)		Left Party Vänsterpartiet
(c)		Centre Party Centerpartiet	(mp)		Green Party Miljöpartiet de Gröna
(kd)		Christian Democrats Kristdemokraterna	(sd)		Swedish Democrats Sverigedemokraterna

Sifo

Polling period	Government				Opposition				Other		Government (m, fp, c, kd)	Red-greens (s, mp, v)	Lead	Ref
	m	fp	c	kd	s	mp	v	sd
November 2011	32.8%	6.6%	6.7%	3.2%	27.4%	10.0%	5.8%	6.7%	0.8%		49.3%	43.2%	+6.1	[14]
October 2011	31.1%	6.8%	4.9%	3.8%	30.3%	10.1%	6.3%	5.5%	1.3%		46.6%	46.7%	+0.1	[15]
September 2011	32.7%	5.8%	4.5%	4.1%	31.8%	8.9%	5.4%	5.5%	1.2%		47.1%	46.1%	+1.0	[15]
August 2011	30.1%	7.4%	4.3%	4.0%	32.8%	10.1%	4.3%	6.0%	1.0%		45.8%	47.2%	+1.4	[16]
June 2011	29.0%	6.2%	4.5%	3.6%	35.2%	9.1%	4.5%	6.8%	1.1%		43.3%	48.8%	+5.5	[17]
May 2011	30.4%	6.6%	5.4%	3.6%	33.4%	8.8%	4.6%	6.8%	0.5%		46.0%	46.8%	+0.8	[18]
April 2011	32.5%	6.0%	4.0%	3.8%	31.2%	9.8%	5.4%	6.6%	0.8%		46.3%	46.4%	+0.1	[19]
March 2011	30.9%	6.7%	4.7%	4.5%	30.5%	9.2%	6.0%	6.2%	1.3%		46.8%	45.7%	+1.1	[20]
February 2011	33.4%	6.5%	5.1%	4.3%	30.2%	7.7%	5.4%	6.4%	1.2%		49.3%	43.3%	+6.0	[21]
January 2011	33.9%	7.1%	4.7%	4.4%	27.8%	10.3%	4.3%	6.9%	0.6%		50.1%	42.4%	+7.7	[22]
December 2010	34.2%	6.8%	4.8%	3.5%	26.9%	10.1%	4.9%	7.2%	1.8%		49.3%	41.9%	+7.4	[23]
November 2010	31.8%	7.8%	5.1%	4.1%	28.5%	8.5%	5.8%	6.9%	1.6%		48.8%	42.8%	+6.0	[24]
October 2010	32.4%	7.0%	5.0%	4.2%	29.5%	8.7%	5.3%	6.4%	1.6%		48.6%	43.5%	+5.1	[25]
Previous election 19 September 2010	30.06%	7.06%	6.56%	5.60%	30.66%	7.34%	5.60%	5.70%	1.43%	49.28%	43.60%	+5.68	[26]

Demoskop

Polling period	Government				Opposition				Other		Government (m, fp, c, kd)	Red-greens (s, mp, v)	Lead	Ref
	m	fp	c	kd	s	mp	v	sd
October 2011	32.7%	6.2%	5.8%	4.7%	28.2%	10.5%	4.6%	5.9%	1.3%		49.4%	43.3%	+6.1	[27]
September 2011	32.5%	5.1%	5.9%	3.4%	31.0%	10.4%	5.9%	4.8%	1.0%		46.9%	47.3%	+0.4	[27]
August 2011	31.6%	5.8%	5.4%	2.6%	32.5%	9.7%	6.1%	5.2%	1.0%		45.4%	48.4%	+3.0	[27]
July 2011	34.9%	6.0%	3.7%	3.3%	32.5%	10.6%	3.8%	4.6%	0.5%		47.9%	46.9%	+1.0	[27]
June 2011	32.1%	6.5%	5.0%	3.5%	29.2%	11.8%	5.2%	6.3%	0.4%		47.1%	46.3%	+0.8	[27]
May 2011	32.2%	6.2%	4.2%	3.5%	30.3%	10.5%	4.9%	7.1%	1.2%		46.1%	45.7%	+0.4	[27]
April 2011	36.2%	6.3%	4.2%	3.6%	28.8%	10.1%	4.4%	4.9%	1.5%		50.3%	43.2%	+7.1	[27]
March 2011	32.4%	7.3%	4.6%	3.5%	29.3%	10.6%	5.2%	5.7%	1.3%		47.8%	45.2%	+2.6	[27]
February 2011	36.8%	5.9%	4.0%	2.7%	30.1%	9.3%	4.5%	5.1%	1.5%		49.4%	43.9%	+5.5	[27]
January 2011	36.1%	6.6%	4.1%	3.7%	27.8%	9.6%	5.2%	5.7%	1.1%		50.5%	42.6%	+7.9	[27]
December 2010	34.8%	6.1%	5.0%	3.4%	28.2%	8.9%	6.1%	5.6%	1.8%		49.3%	43.3%	+6.0	[27]
November 2010	34.3%	8.2%	4.8%	4.4%	28.9%	9.1%	5.0%	4.9%	0.5%		51.5%	43.0%	+8.5	[27]
October 2010	32.7%	7.4%	6.1%	5.0%	29.0%	9.6%	5.4%	3.4%	1.4%		51.2%	44.0%	+7.2	[27]
Previous election 19 September 2010	30.06%	7.06%	6.56%	5.60%	30.66%	7.34%	5.60%	5.70%	1.43%	49.28%	43.60%	+5.68	[26]

References

1. ^ Stenberg, Ewa (26 November 2011). "Det borde bara ha varit vi och S" (in Swedish). Dagens Nyheter. http://www.dn.se/nyheter/politik/det-borde-bara-ha-varit-vi-och-s-. Retrieved 10 May 2011. 
2. ^ Munck, Anders; Stenquist, Victor (14 November 2010). "Här avgår Sahlin" (in Swedish). Aftonbladet. http://www.aftonbladet.se/nyheter/article8122996.ab. Retrieved 22 April 2011. 
3. ^ "Håkan Juholt (S)" (in Swedish). Sveriges Riksdag. 14 April 2011. http://www.riksdagen.se/webbnav/index.aspx?nid=1111&iid=0110600080618. Retrieved 28 April 2011. 
4. ^ "Allt utom en stockholmare" (in Swedish). Dagens Nyheter. 10 March 2011. http://www.dn.se/ledare/allt-utom-en-stockholmare. Retrieved 28 April 2011. 
5. ^ "Jag har svårt att svårt att tro att han har alla partidistrikt bakom sig" (in Swedish). Expressen TV. http://tv.expressen.se/nyheter/politik/1.2361244/jag-har-svart-att-tro-att-han-har-alla-partidistrikt-bakom-sig. Retrieved 28 April 2011. 
6. ^ Widerberg, Göran (10 March 2011). "Han är ingen högerkandidat" (in Swedish). Dagens Arbete. http://www.dagensarbete.se/home/da/home.nsf/unid/D7ECFC48B9218A9AC125784F005093A7?OpenDocument. Retrieved 28 April 2011. 
7. ^ "Miljöpartiet de gröna - Kongress" (in Swedish). Green Party. http://www.mp.se/templates/Mct_177.aspx?number=167635. Retrieved 28 April 2011. 
8. ^ Larsson, Mats J; Olsson, Hans (30 March 2011). "Fortsatt strid i MP om nytt språkrör" (in Swedish). Dagens Nyheter. http://www.dn.se/nyheter/politik/fortsatt-strid-i-mp-om-nytt-sprakror. Retrieved 22 April 2011. 
9. ^ Larsson, Jeanette; Eriksson, Hedvig (4 December 2009). "De kan bli Miljöpartiets nya språkrör" (in Swedish). Sveriges Television. http://svt.se/2.22620/1.1800177/de_kan_bli_miljopartiets_nya_sprakror. Retrieved 22 April 2011. 
10. ^ "Åsa Romson nytt språkrör" (in Swedish). Sydsvenskan. 21 May 2011. http://www.sydsvenskan.se/sverige/article1474880/Camilla-Sylvan-twittrar-direkt-fran-MP-kongressen.html. Retrieved 21 May 2011. 
11. ^ "Centerpartiets valberedning inleder öppen process" (in Swedish) (Press release). Centre Party. 22 June 2011. http://www.centerpartiet.se/Media/Pressmeddelanden/2011/Centerpartiets-valberedning-inleder-oppen-process/. Retrieved 28 August 2011. 
12. ^ "Enig centerrörelse valde Annie Lööf till ny partiordförande" (in Swedish) (Press release). Centre Party. 23 September 2011. http://www.centerpartiet.se/Nyheter/Arkiv-2011/Enig-centerrorelse-valde-Annie-Loof-till-ny-partiordforande-/. Retrieved 23 September 2011. 
13. ^ "Lars Ohly avgår som partiledare" (in Swedish). Dagens Nyheter. 9 August 2011. http://www.dn.se/nyheter/politik/presskonferens-med-lars-ohly. Retrieved 23 August 2011. 
14. ^ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named sifo2011-November; see Help:Cite errors/Cite error references no text
15. ^ ^{a b} "Väljarbarometern September 2011" (in Swedish). Sifo. http://www.tns-sifo.se/media/342285/vb%20sep%202011%20svd.pdf. Retrieved 23 September 2011. 
16. ^ "Väljarbarometern August 2011" (in Swedish). Sifo. http://www.tns-sifo.se/media/340074/vb%20aug%202011%20svd.pdf. Retrieved 28 August 2011. 
17. ^ "Väljarbarometern Juni 2011" (in Swedish). Sifo. http://www.tns-sifo.se/media/320454/vb%20jun%202011%20svd.pdf. Retrieved 22 June 2011. 
18. ^ "Väljarbarometern Maj 2011" (in Swedish). Sifo. http://www.tns-sifo.se/media/317061/vb%20maj%202011%20svd.pdf. Retrieved 15 May 2011. 
19. ^ "Väljarbarometern Apr 2011" (in Swedish). Sifo. http://www.tns-sifo.se/media/315435/vb%20apr%202011%20svd.pdf. Retrieved 28 April 2011. 
20. ^ "Väljarbarometern Mar 2011" (in Swedish). Sifo. http://www.tns-sifo.se/media/311909/vb%20mar%202011%20svd.pdf. Retrieved 28 April 2011. 
21. ^ "Väljarbarometern Feb 2011" (in Swedish). Sifo. http://www.tns-sifo.se/media/309384/vb%20feb%202011%20svd.pdf. Retrieved 28 April 2011. 
22. ^ "Väljarbarometern Jan 2011" (in Swedish). Sifo. http://www.tns-sifo.se/media/304493/vb%20jan%202011%20svd.pdf. Retrieved 28 April 2011. 
23. ^ "Väljarbarometern Dec 2010" (in Swedish). Sifo. http://www.tns-sifo.se/media/302101/vb%20dec%202010%20svd.pdf. Retrieved 28 April 2011. 
24. ^ "Väljarbarometern Nov 2010" (in Swedish). Sifo. http://www.tns-sifo.se/media/297343/vb%20nov%202010%20svd.pdf. Retrieved 28 April 2011. 
25. ^ "Väljarbarometern Oct 2010" (in Swedish). Sifo. http://www.tns-sifo.se/media/294581/vb%20okt%202010%20svd.pdf. Retrieved 28 April 2011. 
26. ^ ^{a b} "Röster - Val 2010" (in Swedish). Swedish Election Authority. Archived from the original on 10 May 2011. http://www.val.se/val/val2010/slutresultat/R/rike/index.html. Retrieved 10 May 2011. 
27. ^ ^{a b c d e f g h i j k l m} "Demoskops väljarbarometer" (in Swedish). Demoskop. http://www.demoskop.se/filearchive/1/1613/201107%20V%C3%A4ljarbarometer%20%C3%96ver%20tid%201998-Juli2011.pdf. Retrieved 28 August 2011.