Next Croatian referendum

Next Croatian referendum
Croatia

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A referendum on two issues will be held in Croatia in early 2012. The date of the referendum will be decided by the signing of the Accession Treaty of Croatia to the European Union; the referendum will be held within thirty days of that date.[1] Two questions will be asked:

  • the first issue concerns the accession of Croatia to the European Union, it was discussed at length and it was also a major topic in the changes to the Constitution of Croatia made in 2010.[2]
  • the second issue will decide whether in the future referendums will have to be called if 200,000 voters' signatures are collected within thirty days to request one, which would change the current system where over 400,000 signatures in 15 days are required.[3]

European Union issue

Croatia has been negotiating with the EU since October 2005 and finished the talks on June 30th, 2011.[4] A referendum on the issue must be held, according to the Croatian Constitution, and the Prime Minister has stated late 2011, before the 2011 general election, as the most likely date.[5] However, these elections will take place on 4 December 2011, so the referendum probably will not be held before February 2012.[6]

Opinion polling

Poll source Date(s) administered/published Sample size For/Favour Against/Oppose Undecided
Ipsos Puls for Nova TV 25 October 2011 1,000 57% 36% 7%
Ipsos Puls for Nova TV 26 September 2011 1,000 58% 31% 11%
CRO Demoskop 12 September 2011 1,300 56.1% 33.8% 10.1%
Ipsos Puls for Nova TV 25 July 2011 1,000 60% 33% 7%
CRO Demoskop 1 and 2 July 2011 1,300 62.2% 30.5% 7.3%
Hendal for HRT 28 June 2011 ? 56% 34.2% 9.8%
Ipsos Puls for Nova TV 25 May 2011 1,000 56% 39% 5%
Mediana Fides for Jutarnji list 15 and 16 April 2011 700 23% 49.8% 26.4%
Ipsos Puls for Nova TV 16 April 2011 600 38% 52% 10%
On April 15, 2011 former Croatian general Ante Gotovina is sentenced to 24 years in prison by ICTY after being found guilty of war crimes during Operation Storm.[7]
Ipsos Puls for Nova TV 12 March 2011 1,000 55% 38% 7%
Mediana Fides for Jutarnji list 21 March 2011 ? 56.3% 37.3% 6.4%
Ipsos Puls for Nova TV 12 March 2011 600 51% 37% 12%
CRO Demoskop 4 March 2011 1,300 48.9% 41% 10.1%
CRO Demoskop 7 February 2011 1,300 49.4% 40.3% 10.2%
Ipsos Puls for Nova TV 25 December 2010 1,000 47% 40% 12%
CRO Demoskop 30 November and 1 December 2010 1,300 49.2% 39.1% 11.7%
Ipsos Puls for Nova TV 25 November 2010 1,000 53% 35% 12%
Ipsos Puls 1-15 November 2010 1,000 64% 29% 7%
CRO Demoskop 2 and 3 November 2010 1,300 49.6% 39.8% 10.6%
Ipsos Puls for Nova TV 29 October 2010 1,000 50% 35% 15%
CRO Demoskop 4 and 5 October 2010 1,300 50.5% 39.4% 10.1%
Ipsos Puls for Nova TV 28 July 2010 1,000 55% 42% 7%
CRO Demoskop 3 and 4 May 2010 1,300 51.1% 39% 9.9%
CRO Demoskop 31 March and 1 April 2010 1,300 50.8% 39.9% 9.3%
CRO Demoskop 3 February 2010 1,300 48.4% 40.1% 11.5%
CRO Demoskop 4 and 5 January 2010 1,300 48.9% 39.9% 11.2%
Ipsos Puls for Nova TV 31 December 2009 ? 43% 43% 13%
CRO Demoskop 30 November and 1 December 2009 1,300 49.1% 39.1% 11.8%
CRO Demoskop 31 September and 1 October 2009 1,300 50.9% 39.5% 9.6%
CRO Demoskop 3 September 2009 1,300 47% 42.6% 10.4%
CRO Demoskop 1 and 2 July 2009 1,300 47.8% 41.9% 10.3%
Ipsos Puls for Nova TV 31 March 2009 1,000 50% 39% 11%
Ipsos Puls for Nova TV 28 February 2009 1,000 51% 36% 13%
CRO Demoskop 5 February 2009 1,300 51.8% 39.2% 9%
CRO Demoskop 3 and 4 October 2008 1,300 57.3% 33.2% 9.5%
CRO Demoskop 31 July and 1 August 2008 1,300 55.5% 36.7% 7.8%
CRO Demoskop 4 July 2008 1,300 54.7% N/A N/A
CRO Demoskop 2 May 2008 1,300 53.9% N/A N/A
CRO Demoskop 4 February 2008 1,300 49% N/A N/A
CRO Demoskop 7 January 2008 1,300 49.6% N/A N/A

Note: For an issue in question to be accepted on a referendum, more than 50% of those who voted must approve, no matter how many registered voters participated in the vote.

References

  1. ^ Timing of Croatian EU referendum changed, setimes.com
  2. ^ Croatian Parliament (2010-07-06). "USTAV REPUBLIKE HRVATSKE" (in Croatian) (PDF). Narodne novine NN 85/2010. http://www.sabor.hr/fgs.axd?id=16481. Retrieved 2010-11-25. 
  3. ^ Croatian government, unions agree on referendum issue, setimes.com
  4. ^ Kraj pregovora s Europskom Unijom tek na proljeće iduće godine, Jutarnji list
  5. ^ Referendum o referendumu i Europskoj uniji - istovremeno, Slobodna Dalmacija
  6. ^ Parlamentarni izbori 4. prosinca, Vlada krši vlastitu deklaraciju o EU, Glas Slavonije
  7. ^ HAŠKA PRESUDA: Gotovina je izgledao mirno, a u njemu je ključalo. Čeljust mu se tresla, Jutarnji list
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