Unbeatable strategy

Unbeatable strategy

In biology, the idea of an unbeatable strategy was proposed by W.D. Hamilton in his 1967 paper on sex ratios in "Science" [Hamilton, W.D. (1967). Extraordinary sex ratios. "Science" 156: 477-488. [http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?db=PubMed&cmd=Retrieve&list_uids=6021675&dopt=Citation pubmed] [http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0036-8075%2819670428%293%3A156%3A3774%3C477%3AESR%3E2.0.CO%3B2-4 JSTOR] ] [Hamilton, W.D. (1996) "Narrow Roads of Gene Land vol. 1: Evolution of Social Behaviour" Oxford University Press,Oxford. ISBN 0-7167-4530-5] . In this paper Hamilton discusses sex ratios as strategies in a game, and cites Verner as using this language in his 1965 paper [Verner, J. (1965). Selection for sex ratio. "American Naturalist" 99: 419-421.] which "claims to show that, given factors causing fluctuations of the population's primary sex ratio, a 1:1 sex-ratio production proves the best overall genotypic strategy".: "In the way in which the success of a chosen sex ratio depends on choices made by the co-parasitizing females, this problem resembles certain problems discussed in the "theory of games." In the foregoing analysis a game-like element, of a kind, was present and made necessary the use of the word "unbeatable" to describe the ratio finally established. This word was applied in just the same sense in which it could be applied to the "minimax" strategy of a zero-sum two-person game. Such a strategy should not, without qualification, be called optimum because it is not optimum against -although unbeaten by- any strategy differing from itself. This is exactly the case with the "unbeatable" sex ratios referred to." Hamilton (1967).

: " [...] But if, on the contrary, players of such a game were motivated to outscore, they would find that 1/4, is beaten by a higher ratio, x^*; the value of x which gives its player the greatest possible advantage over the player playing x_0, is found to be given by the relationship x^*=(2x_0)^{1/2} -x_0 and shows 1/2 to be the unbeatable play." Hamilton (1967).

The concept can be traced through R.A. Fisher (1930) [Fisher, R.A. (1930). "The Genetical Theory of Natural Selection" Clarendon, London] to Darwin (1859) [Darwin, C.R. (1859) "The Origin of Species". John Murray, London] ; see Edwards (1998) [Edwards, A.W.F. (1998) Natural. selection and the sex ratio: Fisher’s sources. "American Naturalist", 151: 564–569.] . Hamilton did not explicitly define the term "unbeatable strategy" or apply the concept beyond the evolution of sex-ratios, but the idea was very influential. George R. Price generalised the verbal argument, which was then formalised mathematically by John Maynard Smith, into the evolutionarily stable strategy (ESS) [Maynard Smith, J. & Price, G.R. (1973) The logic of animal conflict, "Nature" 246: 15-18.] . An unbeatable strategy is always an ESS, though an ESS is not necessarily unbeatable, as it may be beaten by large migrations into the population.

References

External links

* http://www.iiasa.ac.at/Publications/Documents/IR-02-019.pdf


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