- Opinion polling for the French presidential election, 2012
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This page lists public opinion polls in connection with the 2012 French presidential election. The election will be held on 22 April 2012, with a runoff being held on 6 May if necessary.[1]
Contents
First round
Opinion polls from November 2007 to June 2009
These polls are not opinion polls for 2012 matchups, but hypothetical re-runs of the 2007 election.
Re-runs of the 2007 election Candidate Results
2007Ifop
2/11/07[2]CSA
26/02/08[3]Ifop
26/04/09[4]OpinionWay
1/05/09[5]OpinionWay
19/06/09[6]Nicolas Sarkozy (incumbent) 31.18% 35% 32% 28% 30% 33% Ségolène Royal 25.87% 22% 21% 20% 21% 21% François Bayrou 18.57% 17% 19% 19% 20% 13% Jean-Marie Le Pen 10.44% 9% 9% 8% 7% 9% Olivier Besancenot 4.08% 7% 7% 8% 9% 8% 7 Other Candidates 9.87% 10% 12% 17% 13% 16% Opinion polls from October 2009 to June 2011
Opinion polls from October 2009 to June 2011 Candidate Nathalie Arthaud Olivier Besancenot Marie-George Buffet Martine Aubry Dominique Strauss -Kahn François Hollande Ségolène Royal Cécile Duflot François Bayrou Jean -Louis Borloo Dominique de Villepin Nicolas Sarkozy (incumbent) Nicolas Dupont-Aignan Marine Le Pen IFOP
29/10/09[7]1% 9% — 20% — — — — 14% — 8% 28% 1% 11% CSA
04/02/10[8]1% 7% 3% — 22% — — 9% 10% — 10% 28% — 9% 1% 6% 3% 19% — — — 8% 12% — 10% 31% — 9% CSA
04/03/10[9]1% 6% 3% 19% — — — 8% 12% — 10% 32% — 9% 1% 7% 3% — 22% — — 9% 10% — 10% 29% — 9% 3% 7% 3% 21% — — — 11% 11% — 9% — — 8% 3% 6% 3% — 27% — — 10% 11% — 7% — — 8% Jean-Luc Mélenchon Eva Joly IFOP
26/03/10[10]1% 5% 6% 27% — — — 9% 7% — 6% 26% 2% 11% TNS Sofres
21/08/10[11]1% 9% 5% — 25% — — 9% 6% — 6% 26% — 13% bgcolor=lightsteelblue|Ifop
19/11/10[12]1% 5% 6% 22% — — — 7,5% 9% — 7% 27% 1% 12% 1% 4,5% 6% — 27% — — 6% 7,5% — 6% 24% 1% 13% 1% 6% 7% — — 18% — 8% 9,5% — 8,5% 27% 1% 12% 1% 5,5% 7,5% — — — 18% 8% 9,5% — 7,5% 27% 1% 13% TNS Sofres
20/11/10[13]1% 6,5% 6% 23% — — — 8% 7% 6,5% 4% 25% — 13% 1% 6,5% 7% — — — 17% 9% 7% 8,5% 4% 26% — 14% 1,5% 6,5% 6% — 27% — — 6,5% 6% 5% 4% 24% — 13,5% 1% 7% 6,5% — — 16,5% — 8% 8% 8,5% 5% 25,5% — 14% CSA
07/01/11[14]1% 6% 6% 22% — — — 4% 9% — 6% 28% 1% 17% 1% 7% 5% — 30% — — 4% 6% — 3% 25% 1% 18% IFOP
12/01/11[15]— 3,5% 6,5% 23% — — — 6% 8% — 6% 26.5% — 16,5% BVA
14/01/11[16]0% 7% 5% 23% — — — 5% 6% 5% 5% 27% — 17% 0% 7% 4% — 31% — — 6% 5% 2% 3% 25% — 17% CSA
17/01/11[17]1% 6% 5% 22% — — — 6% 9% — 6% 27% 1% 17% 2% 5% 5% — 30% — — 6% 6% — 5% 23% 1% 17% 1% 6% 5% — — 20% — 8% 9% — 7% 26% 1% 17% 1% 4% 5% — — — 21% 8% 10% — 7% 26% 1% 17% Opinion Way
21/01/11[18]1% 4% 7% 22% — — — 10% 8% — — 28% 2% 18% 1% 5% 8% 25% — — — — 7% — — 28% 2% 18% 1% 5% 7% — 28% — — 8% 6% — — 25% 2% 18% 1% 5% 9% — 29% — — — 5% — — 25% 2% 18% CSA
14/02/11[19]1% 7% 6% 22% — — — 6% 9% — 5% 26% 1% 17% 1% 7% 7% — — 20% — 6% 10% — 5% 26% 1% 17% 1% 7% 8% — — — 18% 7% 10% — 5% 26% 1% 17% 1% 7% 6% — 29% — — 5% 8% — 4% 22% 1% 17% Harris
5/03/11[20]1% 6% 7% — 23% — — 7% 6% — 4% 21% 1% 24% Nicolas Hulot BVA
26/03/20110,5% 6% 4% 24% — — — 8% 5% 6% 7% 19% 0,5% 20% 1% 7% 4% — 29% — — 7% 4% 5% 6% 17% 1% 19% Harris
20/04/20111% 5% 5% 21% — — — 5% 5% 9% 5% 20% 1% 23% 1% 4% 4% — 30% — — 6% 4% 7% 3% 19% 1% 21% 1% 5% 5% — — 22% — 6% 5% 8% 5% 19% 1% 23% 1% 5% 6% — — — 15% 8% 7% 10% 6% 19% 1% 22% IFOP
21/04/2011[21]0,5% 4% 4,5% 20% — — — 8,5% 6,5% 9,5% 4% 21,5% 1% 20% 0,5% 4% 5% — 27% — — 8% 5% 7,5% 4% 20% 1% 19% 1% 4,5% 4,5% — — 21% — 8% 6% 8,5% 4,5% 21% 1% 20% 0,5% 4% 6% — — — 16% 9% 6,5% 11% 5% 21% 1% 20% CSA
26/04/20111% 4% 5% — 26% — — 9% 5% 4% 4% 21% 1% 20% Interim / Myriam Martin LH2
07/05/20110,5% 1% 4% 22% — — — 11% 7% 11% 4,5% 19% 1% 17% 1% 1% 4% — 23% — — 11% 8% 9% 6% 16% 1% 17% 0,5% 1% 4% — — 21,5% — 11% 7% 10% 5% 19% 1% 18% 0,5% 1% 6% — — — 15% 13,5% 8% 11% 5% 20% 1% 17% IFOP
12/05/20110,5% 1% 5,5% — 26% — — 7% 5,5% 5,5% 4% 21,5% 0,5% 22% 0,5% 1% 5% — — 23% — 7,5% 6% 6,5% 3,5% 22% 0,5% 23% IPSOS
14/05/20112% 1% 5% 25% — — — 9% 6% 9% 5% 19% 1% 18% 2% 1% 6% — — 26% — 11% 5% 8% 4% 19% 1% 17% 2% 1% 8% — — — 16% 12% 7% 11% 6% 19% 1% 17% CSA
16/05/20111% 2% 5% 23% — — — 6% 7% 8% 4% 23% 2% 19% 1% 2% 5% — — 23% — 6% 7% 8% 4% 22% 2% 20% 1% 2% 5% — — — 18% 6% 9% 10% 4% 23% 2% 20% IPSOS
18/05/20111% 0,5% 4% 27% — — — 11% 5% 9% 4% 21% 0,5% 17% 2% 0,5% 4% — — 29% — 11% 5% 9% 3% 19% 0,5% 17% 2% 0,5% 6% — — — 16% 13% 7% 12% 6% 19% 0,5% 18% IFOP
19/05/20110,5% 1% 6,5% 24% — — — 6% 5,5% 7% 3,5% 22,5% 1% 21,5% 0,5% 1% 6% — — 26% — 6% 5% 6,5% 3,5% 22,5% 1% 21% BVA
21/05/20111% 1% 5% 24% — — — 12% 6% 7% 5% 23% 0% 17% 1% 1% 6% — — 27% — 12% 4% 6% 5% 22% 0% 17% TNS Sofres
21/05/20111% 0,5% 4% 28% — — — 9% 5% 7% 3% 24% — 19% 1% 0,5% 3,5% — — 31% — 8% 5,5% 7% 3% 22% — 19% 1% 0,5% 7% — — — 18% 10,5% 7% 9% 3,5% 24% — 20% Eva Joly 1% 0,5% 3% — — 28% — 7% 5,5% 8% 3,5% 24% — 20% Nicolas Hulot Harris
05/06/20110% 0% 7% 25% — — — 6% 6% 7% 2% 24% 1% 22% 0% 0% 7% — — 27% — 6% 6% 7% 2% 23% 1% 21% 0% 0% 8% — — — 17% 7% 7% 9% 3% 26% 1% 22% IFOP
10/06/20110,5% 1% 6,5% 23% — — — 6% 8% 6,5% 3,5% 21,5% 0,5% 22% 0,5% 0,5% 6% — — 26% — 6% 7% 6% 3% 22% 0,5% 21% IPSOS
19/06/20111% 0,5% 7% 30% — — — 7% 5% 8% 4% 19% 0,5% 18% 1,5% 0,5% 7% — — 32% — 7,5% 5% 7% 3% 19% 0,5% 17% 2% 1% 9,5% — — — 19% 8,5% 7% 11% 4,5% 19% 0,5% 18% IFOP
23/06/20110,5% 0,5% 7% — — 26% — 6,5% 6% 7,5% 3% 21% 0,5% 20,5% CSA
23/06/2011[22]1% 2% 7% 23% — — — 7,5% 7% 10% 3% 23% 0,5% 16% 1% 1,5% 7% — — 27% — 7% 5% 9% 3% 23% 0,5% 16% 1% 2% 10% — — — 15% 9% 8% 10,5% 4% 24% 0,5% 16% Eva Joly 1% 2% 7% 25,5% — — — 4% 6% 11% 4% 23% 0,5% 16% 1% 1,5% 7% — — 27% — 4% 7% 10% 3% 23% 0,5% 16% 1% 2% 8,5% — — — 17% 5% 9% 13% 4% 24% 0,5% 16% Recent polls
Poll Source Date(s) Conducted Sample size Abstention, protest vote, spoilt vote 
Other Le Pen
FNDupont
DLRSarkozy
UMP - Inc.Borloo
AllianceVillepin
RSBayrou
MoDemJoly
EELVAubry
PSHollande
PSMélenchon
FDGPoutou
NPAArthaud
LOLH2 July 8–9, 2011 957 - 15% 1% 21.5% 8% 4.5% 10% 6% 26% - 5% 0% 1.5% 1.5% 13% 1% 21% 7.5% 3% 11% 6% - 29% 5% 0.5% 1% 2% BVA July 8–9, 2011 782 - 17% 0% 24% 7% 4% 7% 5% 28% - 5% 1% 1% 1% 16% 0% 23% 9% 4% 6% 5% - 31% 4% 0% 1% 1% Ipsos July 8–9, 2011 955 - 18% 0.5% 22% 8% 3% 5% 7% 29% - 4.5% 1% 2% 0% 17% 0.5% 22% 8% 3% 5% 7.5% - 29% 5% 1% 2% 0% CSA July 11, 2011 850 - 16% 1% 27% 9% 2% 6% 5% 25% - 6.5% 0.5% 1% 1% 16% 1% 26% 8% 2% 6% 5% - 26% 7% 0.5% 2% 0.5% Ifop July 19-21, 2011 1,002 - 20% 0.5% 23.5% 8% 2% 7.5% 7% 25% - 4% 0.5% 0.5% 1.5% 20% 0.5% 23% 7.5% 2.5% 6.5% 7% - 28% 4% 0% 0% 1% LH2 Sept 30 - Oct 1, 2011 975 - 14.5% 0% 21% 9% 3% 9% 7.5% 25% - 10% 0% 1% 0% 15% 0% 21% 7% 2% 8% 7% - 31% 8% 0% 0.5% 0.5% Ipsos Sept 30 - Oct 1, 2011 975 - 16% 0.5% 22% 7% 5% 6% 5% 29% - 7% 0.5% 2% 0% 16% 0.5% 21% 6.5% 4% 5.5% 5% - 32% 8% 0.5% 1% 0% CSA October 17, 2011 1,010 - 16% 0.5% 25% - 2% 9% 3% - 35% 5% 0.5% 1% 3% BVA October 17–18, 2011 950 - 19% - 23% - - 7% 4% - 39% 6% 0% 2% - Ifop October 18-20, 2011 941 - 17 0.5% 25% - 2% 6.5% 4.5% - 35% 6% 0.5% 0.5% 2% LH2 Oct 21-22, 2011 975 - 14% 0.5% 24% - 1.5% 8% 5% - 39% 6.5% - 0.5% 0.5% Ipsos Oct 28-29, 2011 970 12 19% 0.5% 24% - 2% 5.5% 6% - 35% 6% 1% 1% 0% Runoff polls
These are public poll figures for hypothetical runoff elections between individual 2012 candidates. The candidates include incumbent President Nicolas Sarkozy, Socialist Party (PS) First Secretary Martine Aubry, former PS First Secretary François Hollande, and Front National (FN) leader Marine Le Pen.
Sarkozy-Aubry
Poll Source Dates administered Sample size Abstention, protest vote, spoilt vote 
Nicolas Sarkozy
UMP - IncumbentMartine Aubry
PSCSA November 4–5, 2009 910 39 % 53 % 47 % CSA February 2–3, 2010 802 30 % 52 % 48 % CSA March 24–25, 2010 843 34 % 48 % 52 % CSA May 19–20, 2010 779 35 % 49 % 51 % CSA July 7–8, 2010 809 37 % 48 % 52 % TNS Sofres August 20–21, 2010 1,000 19 % 47 % 53 % Harris Interactive November 9–10, 2010 910 - 49 % 51 % Ifop November 18–19, 2010 811 - 48 % 52 % TNS Sofres November 19–20, 2010 1,000 22 % 45 % 55 % BVA January 14–15, 2011 971 - 43 % 57 % CSA January 17–18, 2011 847 - 44 % 56 % CSA February 14–15, 2011 1,005 - 46 % 54 % TNS Sofres February 18–19, 2011 1,000 23 % 44 % 56 % Opinion Way April 6–7, 2011 991 30 % 44 % 56 % Ifop April 20–21, 2011 917 - 45 % 55 % LH2 May 6–7, 2011 565 16 % 44 % 56 % BVA May 20–21, 2011 960 19 % 41 % 59 % TNS Sofres May 20–21, 2011 1,013 14 % 44 % 56 % Harris Interactive June 3–5, 2011 1,449 - 42 % 58 % LH2 July 8–9, 2011 957 5 % 42 % 58 % BVA July 8–9, 2011 782 - 42 % 58 % Ifop July 19–21, 2011 1,002 - 47 % 53 % Ifop August 30–September 2, 2011 1,918 - 46 % 54 % LH2 September 2–3, 2011 818 - 46 % 54 % LH2 September 30 - October 1, 2011, 2011 975 - 43 % 57 % Sarkozy-Hollande
Poll Source Dates administered Sample size Abstention, protest vote, spoilt vote Nicolas Sarkozy
UMP - IncumbentFrançois Hollande
PSCSA November 4–5, 2009 910 40 % 57 % 43 % TNS Sofres August 20–21, 2010 1,000 19 % 50 % 50 % Ifop November 18–19, 2010 811 - 47 % 53 % TNS Sofres November 19–20, 2010 1,000 24 % 45 % 55 % CSA January 17–18, 2011 847 - 45 % 55 % CSA February 14–15, 2011 1,005 - 46 % 54 % TNS Sofres February 18–19, 2011 1,000 22 % 44 % 56 % Ifop April 20–21, 2011 917 - 44 % 56 % LH2 May 6–7, 2011 565 14 % 40 % 60 % BVA May 20–21, 2011 960 19 % 38 % 62 % TNS Sofres May 20–21, 2011 1,013 15 % 42 % 58 % Harris Interactive June 3–5, 2011 1,449 - 40 % 60 % LH2 July 8–9, 2011 957 7 % 40 % 60 % BVA July 8–9, 2011 782 - 42 % 58 % Ifop July 19–21, 2011 1,002 - 43 % 57 % Ifop August 30–September 2, 2011 1,918 - 41 % 59 % LH2 September 2–3, 2011 818 - 43 % 57 % LH2 September 30 - October 1, 2011 975 - 40 % 60 % CSA October 17, 2011 1,010 - 38 % 62 % BVA October 17-18, 2011 950 - 36 % 64 % Ifop October 18-20, 2011 941 - 40 % 60 % LH2 October 21–22, 2011 975 - 40 % 60 % Ipsos October 28-29, 2011 970 15% 38 % 62 % BVA November 4-5, 2011 973 - 39 % 61 % Sarkozy-Le Pen
Poll Source Dates administered Sample size Abstention, protest vote, spoilt vote Nicolas Sarkozy
UMP - IncumbentMarine Le Pen
FNOpinion Way April 6–7, 2011 991 41 % 63 % 37 % Ifop April 20–21, 2011 917 - 73 % 27 % LH2 May 6–7, 2011 565 23 % 74 % 26 % Harris Interactive June 3–5, 2011 1,449 - 63 % 37 % Le Pen-Aubry
Poll Source Dates administered Sample size Abstention, protest vote, spoilt vote Martine Aubry
PSMarine Le Pen
FNOpinion Way April 6–7, 2011 991 28 % 63 % 37 % Ifop April 20–21, 2011 917 - 69 % 31 % LH2 May 6–7, 2011 565 16 % 71 % 29 % Le Pen-Hollande
Poll Source Dates administered Sample size Abstention, protest vote, spoilt vote François Hollande
PSMarine Le Pen
FNIfop April 20–21, 2011 917 - 72 % 28 % LH2 May 6–7, 2011 565 13 % 76 % 24 % References
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See also
- French presidential election, 2012
Candidates Martine Aubry (campaign) · François Hollande (campaign) · Marine Le Pen (campaign) · Eva Joly (campaign) · François Bayrou (campaign) · Jean-Luc Mélenchon (campaign) · Philippe Poutou (campaign) · Nathalie Arthaud (campaign) · Nicolas Dupont-Aignan (campaign) · Ségolène Royal · Arnaud Montebourg · Manuel Valls · Jean-Michel Baylet · Jean-Pierre Chevènement · Frédéric Nihous · Christine Boutin · Jacques CheminadeSee also : Opinion polls · Socialist primaryCategories:- French presidential election, 2012
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