Opinion polling in the Scottish Parliament election, 2011

In the run up to the election, several polling organisations will carry out public opinion polling in regards to voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed below. The first figure for each party is for the 1st, first-past-the-post, constituency, vote; the second figure is for the 2nd, proportional representation, regional, vote.

ARPO, ICM, Ipsos MORI, Populus, TNS-BMRB (formerly TNS System Three) and YouGov are members of the British Polling Council, and abide by its disclosure rules. Progressive Partnership-Scottish Opinion and panelbase, although members of the Market Research Society, are not members of the BPC, and do not publish detailed methodology and findings.

Constituency Vote (FPTP) Firm/Client Survey end date SNP Lab Con LD Others 2007 General Election 32.9% 32.2% 16.6% 16.2% YouGov 4 May 2011 42% 35% 11% 8% TNS-BMRB/STV 3 May 2011 45% 27% 15% 10% YouGov/Scotland on Sunday 29 April 2011 42% 34% 12% 7% 5% YouGov/Scotland on Sunday 21 April 2011 45% 32% 10% 8% 4% Ipsos MORI/Scottish Sun and The Times 21 April 2011 45% 34% 10% 9% 2% YouGov/Scotland on Sunday 15 April 2011 40% 37% 11% 8% 4% Scottish Opinion/Sunday Mail 9 April 2011 46% 36% 9% 6% panelbase/Sunday Times 4 April 2011 37% 37% 13% 8% YouGov/Scotsman (tables) 28 March 2011 40% 39% 11% 5% 5% TNS-BMRB/STV 27 March 2011 37% 38% 15% 7% 3% YouGov 18 March 2011 38% 41% 10% 6% 5% ICM/SNP 15 March 2011 35% 39% 12% 10% - Scottish Opinion/Mail on Sunday 13 March 2011 37% 43% 11% 5% 4% TNS-BMRB/Herald 2 March 2011 29% 44% 12% 11% - YouGov/Greens 22 February 2011 32% 41% 15% 8% 4% Ipsos MORI 14 February 2011 37% 36% 13% 10% 4% TNS-BMRB/Herald 10 January 2011 33% 49% 9% 7% 2% Ipsos MORI 26 November 2010 31% 41% 13% 11% 5% YouGov/Scotsman 21 October 2010 34% 40% 14% 8% 5% YouGov/Mail on Sunday 3 September 2010 29% 39% 16% 11% 5% TNS-BMRB 31 August 2010 32% 42% 12% 12% 2% Ipsos MORI 19 August 2010 34% 37% 11% 13% 4% YouGov/SNP 18 August 2010 35% 36% 14% 12% 3% TNS-BMRB/Herald 3 August 2010 32% 46% 10% 11% 2% TNS-BMRB/Herald 1 June 2010 29% 45% 13% 11% 2% YouGov/Scotsman 4 May 2010 34% 31% 14% 17% 4% YouGov/Scotland on Sunday 30 April 2010 31% 33% 13% 18% 5% Populus/Times 26 April 2010 31% 30% 12% 23% 4% YouGov/Sky News 23 April 2010 34% 31% 12% 19% 5% ARPO/Greens 19 April 2010 27% 31% 19% 19% 4% YouGov/Scotland on Sunday 16 April 2010 30% 34% 14% 16% 5% YouGov/Scotland on Sunday 26 March 2010 34% 31% 14% 14% 7% YouGov/Scotland on Sunday 26 February 2010 28% 33% 16% 16% 6% Ipsos MORI 21 February 2010 36% 29% 14% 15% 6% TNS-BMRB/Herald 4 February 2010 35% 37% 13% 12% 3% YouGov/SNP 13 January 2010 35% 32% 14% 13% 7% Ipsos MORI 23 November 2009 36% 32% 12% 12% 8% YouGov/Daily Telegraph 20 November 2009 32% 33% 14% 15% 6% TNS-BMRB/Herald 3 November 2009 40% 32% 13% 11% 5% YouGov/Greens 28 October 2009 34% 31% 16% 14% 5% YouGov/SNP 2 September 2009 36% 28% 16% 14% 7% Ipsos MORI/Holyrood Magazine 31 August 2009 38% 25% 15% 15% 6% YouGov/Mail on Sunday 28 August 2009 34% 27% 16% 16% 6% YouGov/Daily Mail 26 August 2009 33% 31% 16% 16% 5% TNS-BMRB/STV 29 June 2009 39% 32% 12% 11% 7% YouGov/Sunday Times 4 June 2009 39% 26% 14% 14% 7% TNS System Three/Sunday Herald 28 April 2009 32% 36% 19% 9% 4% YouGov/SNP 22 April 2009 37% 30% 15% 13% 5% YouGov/Sunday Times 13 March 2009 35% 34% 14% 12% 4% YouGov/Sunday Times 30 January 2009 38% 32% 13% 12% 5% 2007 General Election 32.9% 32.2% 16.6% 16.2%

Regional Vote (AMS) Firm/Client Survey end date SNP Lab Con LD Grn Others 2007 General Election 31.0% 29.2% 13.9% 11.3% 4.0% YouGov 4 May 2011 35% 32% 13% 7% 6% 3% TNS-BMRB/STV 3 May 2011 38% 25% 16% 9% 8% 4% YouGov/Scotland on Sunday 29 April 2011 35% 33% 12% 6% 7% 7% YouGov/Scotland on Sunday 21 April 2011 39% 29% 12% 7% 7% 5% Ipsos MORI/Scottish Sun and The Times 21 April 2011 42% 32% 10% 8% 6% 2% YouGov/Scotland on Sunday 15 April 2011 35% 33% 12% 7% 6% 7% Scottish Opinion/Sunday Mail 9 April 2011 38% 37% 10% 9% 5% panelbase/Sunday Times 4 April 2011 37% 32% 11% 7% 5% YouGov/Scotsman (tables) 28 March 2011 32% 39% 12% 5% 6% 6% TNS-BMRB/STV 27 March 2011 35% 35% 14% 8% 5% 3% YouGov 18 March 2011 32% 39% 11% 6% 5% 7% ICM/SNP 15 March 2011 34% 37% 13% 9% 4% 7% Scottish Opinion/Mail on Sunday 13 March 2011 37% 44% 11% 4% 2% 2% TNS-BMRB/Herald 2 March 2011 29% 39% 11% 10% 6% 5% YouGov/Greens 22 February 2011 26% 40% 15% 7% 6% 5% Ipsos MORI 14 February 2011 35% 33% 13% 10% 6% 3% TNS-BMRB/Herald 10 January 2011 33% 47% 9% 7% 3% 2% Ipsos MORI 26 November 2010 32% 36% 12% 8% - 10% YouGov/Scotsman 21 October 2010 31% 36% 15% 8% 6% 4% YouGov/Mail on Sunday 3 September 2010 26% 36% 15% 12% 6% 5% TNS-BMRB 31 August 2010 30% 42% 11% 12% 3% 3% Ipsos MORI 19 August 2010 29% 38% 12% 12% - - TNS-BMRB/Herald 3 August 2010 30% 42% 11% 12% 3% 2% TNS-BMRB/Herald 1 June 2010 28% 41% 12% 12% 4% 3% YouGov/Scotsman 4 May 2010 29% 30% 15% 16% 5% 5% YouGov/Scotland on Sunday 30 April 2010 26% 32% 15% 17% 6% 5% Populus/Times 26 April 2010 29% 30% 12% 22% 3% 3% YouGov/Sky News 23 April 2010 29% 28% 13% 18% 6% 6% ARPO/Greens 19 April 2010 27% 21% 15% 21% 8% 7% YouGov/Scotland on Sunday 16 April 2010 27% 31% 15% 17% 5% 5% YouGov/Scotland on Sunday 26 March 2010 30% 31% 14% 13% 5% 7% YouGov/Scotland on Sunday 26 February 2010 26% 31% 17% 14% 7% 6% TNS-BMRB/Herald 4 February 2010 30% 37% 12% 12% 5% 3% YouGov/Daily Telegraph 20 November 2009 29% 30% 14% 14% 6% 8% TNS-BMRB/Herald 3 November 2009 37% 29% 12% 12% 4% 6% YouGov/Greens 28 October 2009 29% 29% 16% 14% 6% 6% YouGov/SNP 2 September 2009 30% 26% 17% 12% 7% 9% YouGov/Mail on Sunday 28 August 2009 30% 26% 16% 16% 7% 5% YouGov/Daily Mail 26 August 2009 27% 28% 17% 15% 6% 7% TNS-BMRB/STV 29 June 2009 39% 29% 10% 12% 5% 5% YouGov/Sunday Times 4 June 2009 34% 26% 14% 13% 7% 7% TNS System Three/Sunday Herald 28 April 2009 40% 30% 13% 10% 4% 7% YouGov/SNP 22 April 2009 37% 28% 15% 13% - 7% YouGov/Sunday Times 13 March 2009 30% 32% 15% 11% 5% 7% YouGov/Sunday Times 30 January 2009 34% 28% 15% 11% 6% 7% 2007 General Election 31.0% 29.2% 13.9% 11.3% 4.0%

References

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