Collapse (sports)

Collapse (sports)

In the context of sports a Collapse is where a team with a statistically insurmountable lead in a game, series or season standings puts on such a poor performance in the remainder of the event that they ultimately lose of fail to advance. Typically the term Collapse is used in relation to a performance in a season with many games, but it was been less commonly applied to single games or matches.[1] A collapse can be considered a form of choking extended over an extended period of time although sometimes a Collapse can be less the result of failure but bad luck or regression to the mean.

Contents

Notable Collapses

Year Sport Team/Person Lead Peak Probability of Victory Result Notes
1908 Baseball New York Giants 4.5 games ahead with 21 remaining 95.46% 11-10 Caught by Cubs after 14-2 streak
1921 Baseball Pittsburgh Pirates 7.5 games ahead with 34 remaining 94.57% 14-23 Collapse started after 5 game sweep by Giants
1942 Baseball Brooklyn Dodgers 9.5 games ahead with 42 remaining 96.90% 25-17 Caught by Cardinals going 38-6
1951 Baseball Brooklyn Dodgers 12.5 games ahead with 49 remaining 99.74% 25-24
1964 Baseball Philadelphia Phillies 6.5 games ahead with 15 remaining 96.15% 3-12 poor management of pitching staff
1969 Baseball Chicago Cubs 8 games ahead with 30 remaining 97.90% 15-25
1978 Baseball Boston Red Sox 8 games ahead with 48 remaining 96.54% 26-22 Caught by New York Yankees going 35-13
1978 American Football Washington Redskins 6-0 to start season 2-8
1983 Baseball Atlanta Braves 6.5 games ahead with 48 remaining 96.39% 19-29
1993 Baseball San Francisco Giants 9.5 games ahead with 51 remaining 98.25% 29-22 Caught by Braves going 39-11
1995 Baseball California Angels 9.5 games ahead (12 ahead for Wild Card) with 38 remaining 99.988% 12-26 Statistically worst collapse in history
2002 Baseball Boston Red Sox 3.5 games ahead (6 ahead for Wild Card) with 105 remaining 95.84% 53-52
2003 Baseball Seattle Mariners 7.5 games ahead (8 ahead for Wild Card) with 92 remaining 97.91% 45-47
2005 Baseball Cleveland Indians 1.5 games behind (1 game ahead for Wild Card) with 7 remaining 96.50% 1-6
2011 Baseball Boston Red Sox 9 games ahead for Wild Card with 27 remaining 99.60% 7-20 Eliminated on last game of season on 9th inning, 2 strike, 2 out pitch[2]
2011 Baseball Atlanta Braves 8.5 game ahead for Wild Card with 18 remaining 5-13

[3]

References

External links

See also


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