United States Senate elections, 2006/Non-partisan election analyses

United States Senate elections, 2006/Non-partisan election analyses

Non-partisan election analyses

Below is a table summarizing various non-partisan election analyses. Although the nomenclature varies slightly, the categories can be understood as follows:
"Safe" -- the race is not expected to become competitive.
"Favored" -- the race is currently not competitive, but may become competitive if new political factors intervene.
"Leans" -- the race is competitive, but one candidate has a clear advantage.
"Tossup" -- neither candidate has a clear advantage.

The ratings below are current as of October 4 2006.

Blue=Seats held by Democrats or Independents that caucus with Democrats prior to 2006 election
Red=Seats held by Republicans prior to 2006 election
*=Will caucus with Democrats despite election leader not running as a Democratic Party candidate
**=Tradesports does not have named categories, but instead gives percentage chances of a given outcome, based on what the market will bear. "Safe" races are those were one candidate is given more than 95% chance to win, "favored" are those where a candidate is given more than a 2/3 chance to win, "leans" are those where one candidate is favored by more than 55%, and "tossup" are ones where neither candidate is more than 55% chance to win.

References


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