Opinion polling for the Turkish general election, 2011

Opinion polling for the Turkish general election, 2011

Opinion polling has been commissioned throughout the duration of the 23rd parliamentary term and in the leadup to the 2011 election by various organisations. The sample size, margin of error and confidence interval of each poll varies by organisation and date.

Contents

Poll results

Results of several polling organisations together:

Date Organisation AK Party CHP MHP BDP SP DSP
May 2010 SONAR[1] 31.09 32.48 18.59 4.27 3.74 3.53
June 2010 Denge[2] 42.4 27.2 11.6 6.1 4.3 –
July 2010 SONAR[3] 31.1 33.5 15.5 5.1 3.3 3.1
August 2010 Konsensus[4] 40.1 30.6 12.0 – – –
August 2010 SONAR[5] 37.23 31.20 13.59 4.02 2.39 3.29
September 2010 Andy-ar[6] 44.1 25.3 10.3 5.7 5.8 –
November 2010 AKP[7] 46.8 25.0 12.7 6.0 2.0 –
December 2010 Konsensus[8] 40.9 26.0 15.6 7.5 – –
December 2010 A&G[9] 44.0 31.0 10.0 – – –
December 2010 ORC[10] 40.7 23.3 12.1 5.9 5.4 –
January 2011 Metropoll[11] 43.5 30.7 13.8 6.5 1.3 –
February 2011 USADEM[12] 46.70 27.40 11.21 7.65 – –
March 2011 İKSara[13] 48 28 15 4,5 1 –
March 2011 MetroPoll[14] 48.3 27.5 11.7 6.6 2 –
March 2011 Konsensus[15] 46.4 25.8 13.6 5.7 2 –
April 9, 2011 GENAR[16] 47.9 24.4 12.2 4.5 2.8 –
April 2011 ORC[17][18] 50.1 24.5 11.7 4.0 6.1 –
April 30, 2011 GENAR[19] 48.7 25.2 11.9 6.4 - –
April 2011 İKSara[20] 46.4 30.3 13.5 5.4 1.4 –
April 2011 Marmara[21] 47.1 27.4 11.2 6.0 1.3 0.9
April 2011 AKAM[22] 41.8 25.8 15.1 6.0 3.6 –
20 May 2011 ORC[23] 49.5 25.2 11.3 5.1 6.8 –

Poll results by Andy-Ar

Results of Andy-Ar:

Date AK Party CHP MHP BDP SP DP DSP BBP HSP Others
November 2010[24] 46.4 24.7 10.2 5.9 1.4 1.2 0.8 1.1 2.9 5.4
December 2010[25] 46,8 26,1 10,6 5,9 1,7 0,9 0,5 2,6 2,8 2,1
January 2011[26] 48,3 25,2 10,6 6,9 2,2 0,5 0,3 2,1 1,1 2,8
February 2011[27] 48,8 26,2 10,4 6,8 1,6 0,4 0,4 2,6 0,9 1,9
March 2011[28] 48,2 26,8 11,2 5.8 1,2 – – 2,2 2,1 2.5
April 2011[29] 51.2 28.8 10.7 4.3 – – – – – –
May 2011[30] 52 27 10.5 7 – – – – – –

Poll results by Konsensus

Results of Konsensus Research & Consultanty:

Date AK Party CHP MHP BDP SP Others
June 2010 40,6 30,6 12,0 5,4 2,3 9,6
July 2010 41,1 29,8 12,7 6,2 3,8 6,2
August 2010 44,9 27,0 12,3 5,2 3,0 7,6
September 2010 46,9 24,5 10,6 8,7 3,5 5,8
October 2010 44,8 25,1 12,9 6,7 3,4 7,1
November 2010 40,9 26,0 14,2 7,5 2,5 8,9
December 2010 46,0 26,5 12,5 6,7 3,2 5,1
January 2011 49,6 26,8 11,1 6,9 0,8 4,0
February 2011 46,4 25,8 13,6 5,7 2,2 6,3
March/April 2011[31] 48,9 25,8 10,9 6,0 1,8 2,5
May 2011[32] 48,6 28,3 11,6 6,0 1,2 1,7

References

  1. ^ CHP %32.48 ile AK Parti'yi geçti, CNNTURK, 30 Mayıs 2010.
  2. ^ http://www.bugun.com.tr/haber-detay/107272-chp-uctu-mhp-cakildi-haberi.aspx
  3. ^ http://www.angus-reid.com/polls/39352/turkeyaas_ruling_akp_trails_behind_republicans/
  4. ^ http://nethaberci.com/sondakika-siyaset-haberleri/yarin-secim-olsa-ve-referandum-anketi-6129.html
  5. ^ SONAR Ağustos 2010 Referandum ve seçim anketi sonuçları açıklandı, Hürriyetport, August 11, 2010.
  6. ^ http://pursaklargencleri.com/siyaset/son-secim-anketinde-mhp-cakildi.html
  7. ^ http://haber.gazetevatan.com/iste-erdoganin-elindeki-son-secim-anketi/342372/9/Siyaset
  8. ^ http://www.haberturk.com/gundem/haber/582720-iste-carpici-anket-sonuclari
  9. ^ http://nethaber.com/Haber/171214/CHP-Adil-Gure-SECIM-ANKETI/
  10. ^ http://www.stratejikboyut.com/haber/iste-aralik-ayi-secim-anketi--47774.html
  11. ^ http://www.pressturk.com/haber/en-son-secim-anketi-ak-parti-435-chp/40662.html
  12. ^ http://www.haber3.com/secim-anketine-gore-turkiyede-durum-foto-galerisi-15469.htm
  13. ^ http://www.zaman.com.tr/haber.do?haberno=1105220&title=chpyi-memur-ak-partiyi-ev-hanimlari-yukseltiyor&haberSayfa=0
  14. ^ http://www.todayszaman.com/news-239150-majority-welcomes-headscarved-deputies-opinion-poll-finds.html
  15. ^ http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/n.php?n=survey-experts-don8217t-see-a-new-composition-at-parliament-next-term-2011-03-21
  16. ^ İşte partilerin son oy oranları
  17. ^ [1]
  18. ^ http://www.istanbulhaber.com.tr/haber/orcnin-nisan-ayi-secim-anketi-sasirtti-78438.htm
  19. ^ İşte en son seçim anketi
  20. ^ IKSara Arastirma Sirketi Secmenin Nabzini Tuttu
  21. ^ [2]
  22. ^ [3]
  23. ^ Seçimlere 23 gün kala son seçim anketi
  24. ^ http://andy-ar.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/arsiv/turkiye_siyasi_gundem_arastirmasi_kasim_2010.ppt
  25. ^ http://andy-ar.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/arsiv/turkiye_siyasi_gundem_arastirmasi_aralik_2010.ppt
  26. ^ http://andy-ar.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/arsiv/turkiye_siyasi_gundem_arastirmasi_ocak_2011.ppt
  27. ^ http://andy-ar.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/01/Türkiye-Siyasi-Gündem-Araştırması-Şubat-2011.ppt
  28. ^ http://andy-ar.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/01/mart-2011-siyasi-gündem-araştırması.ppt
  29. ^ http://andy-ar.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/04/nisan-2011.doc
  30. ^ http://www.stargazete.com/politika/ak-parti-yuzde-52-oy-ile-lider-chp-yuzde-25-mhp-yuzde-10-haber-351823.htm
  31. ^ [4]
  32. ^ [5]
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