Gap Hypothesis

Gap Hypothesis

The gap hypothesis is the hypothesis that states that parts of active faults that have had relatively few earthquakes are likely to be the sites of strong earthquakes.

The Loma Prieta

Previous to 1989, there had been a seismic gap below Santa Cruz, California. In 1988, seismologists predicted there would be 30% chance that over the next 30 years an earthquake of at least 6.5 magnitude would fill this gap. In 1989, the Loma Prieta, a 7.1 earthquake, occurred.

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