Polls before the Kenyan elections 2007

Polls before the Kenyan elections 2007

Opinion polls played an important role in the runup to the Kenyan elections of December 2007. A number of institutes published results on the presidential candidates. Nation Media employed the Kenyan Steadman market information company to conduct regular polls, which thus received the widest attention.

Polls are a new instrument on the Kenyan political scene. Recent elections had seen some results published which met, however, with widespread skepticism.

The publication of polls in 2007 generated large interest and controversy as they were alternatively welcomed or condemmed by parties and observers on the national scene and frequently criticized as having been manipulated by one or the other side. [http://demokrasia-kenya.blogspot.com/2007/04/demystifying-steadmans-april-fool-prank.html The Steadman Group is part of President Kibaki’s Reelection Campaign Team - Kenyan Democracy Project-BlogTuesday, April 03, 2007 seen 11-08-2007 ] [http://kenyalondonnews.co.uk/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=774&Itemid=44 Steadman Polls – The Real Story (Kenya London News - undated, written before elections, seen 11-01-2008)] [http://www.eastandard.net/hm_news/news.php?articleid=1143978638 Steadman polls now questioned (EAStandard 09-12-2007)]

Generally polls showed in early stages a lead for President Mwai Kibaki and a strong showing of Kalonzo Musyoka on the opposition side.

After realingments in the opposition Raila Odinga had managed to get the support of regional leaders from a multi-tribal background and Musyoka looked largely reduced to his Kamba hometurf. This showed in the polls with Odinga surging ahead.

After re-formation on the president's side criticism at Odinga became more pointed and this message seems to have had effect in narrowing the difference between the leading presidential contestants.

National polls


=October 23, 2007 [ [http://www.nationmedia.com/dailynation/nmgcontententry.asp?category_id=1&newsid=109318 Raila tops yet again in latest opinion poll ratings with lead in six provinces ] "Daily Nation", October 27, 2007 (Poll by Steadman International)] =

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