- Alpha (investment)
Alpha is a
risk-adjusted measure of the so-called active return on an investment. It is the return in excess of the compensation for the risk borne, and thus commonly used to assess active managers' performances. Often, the return of a benchmark is subtracted in order to consider relative performance, which yields Jensen's alpha.
The alpha coefficient () is a parameter in the
capital asset pricing model(CAPM). It is the intercept of the Security Characteristic Line (SCL). Alternatively, it is also the coefficient of the constant in a market model regression.
It can be shown that in an
efficient market, the expected value of the alpha coefficient equals the return of the risk free asset: .
Therefore the alpha coefficient indicates how an investment has performed after accounting for the risk it involved:
*: the investment has earned too little for its risk (or, was too risky for the return)
*: the investment has earned a return adequate for the risk taken
*: the investment has a return in excess of the reward for the assumed risk
For instance, although a return of 20% may appear good, the investment can still have negative alpha if it involved an excessively risky position.
Origin of the concept
The concept and focus on Alpha comes from an observation increasingly madeFact|date=March 2008 during the middle of the
twentieth century, that around 75 percentof stock investment managers did not make as much money picking investmentsas someone who simply invested in every stock in proportion to the weight it occupied in the overall market in terms of market capitalization, or indexing. Many academics feltFact|date=March 2008 that this was due to the stock marketbeing "efficient" which means that since so many people were paying attention to the stock market all the time, the prices of stocks rapidly moved to the correct price at any one moment, and that only random variation beyond the control of the manager made it possible for one manager to achieve better results than another, before fees or taxes were considered. A belief in efficient markets spawned the creation of market capitalization weighted index funds that seek to replicate the performance of investing in an entire market in the weights that each of the equity securities comprises in the overall market.Fact|date=March 2008 The best examples are the S&P 500and the Wilshire 5000which approximately represent the 500 largest equities and the largest 5000 securities respectively, accounting for approximately 80%+ and 99%+ of the total market capitalization of the US market as a whole.
In fact, to many investorsFact|date=March 2008, this phenomenon created a new standard of performance that must be matched: an investment manager should not only avoid losing money for the client and should make a certain amount of money, but in fact should make more money than the passive strategy of investing in everything equally (since this strategy appeared to be statistically more likely to be successful than the strategy of any one investment manager). The name for the additional return above the expected return of the beta adjusted return of the market is called "Alpha".
Relation to beta
Besides an investment manager simply making more money than a passive strategy, there is another issue:Although the strategy of investing in every stock appeared to perform better than 75 percent of investment managers, the price of the stock market as a whole fluctuates up and down, and could be on a downward decline for many years before returning to its previous price.
The passive strategy appeared to generate the market-beating return over periods of 10 years or more. This strategy may be risky for those who feel they might need to withdraw their money before a 10-year holding period, for example. Thus investment managers who employ a strategy which is less likely to lose money in a particular year are often chosen by those investors who feel that they might need to withdraw their money sooner.
The measure of the correlated
volatilityof an investment (or an investment manager's track record) relative to the entire market is called "beta". Note the "correlated" modifier: an investment can be twice as volatile as the total market, but if its correlation with the market is only 0.5, its beta to the market will be 1.
Investors can use both alpha and beta to judge a manager's performance. If the manager has had a high alpha, but also a high beta, investors might not find that acceptable, because of the chance they might have to withdraw their money when the investment is doing poorly.
These concepts not only apply to investment managers, but to any kind of investment.
* [http://www.moneychimp.com/articles/risk/regression.htm Portfolio Analysis With Linear Regression] - Applying the
capital asset pricing modelto portfolio performance analysis.
* [http://www.ilukacg.com/articles/Tao%20of%20Alpha.pdf The Tao of Alpha] - An intuitive primer on the alpha/beta paradigm.
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