- Thaw (weather)
Thaw is the period when the
snow andice melt, at the end of thewinter , in cold climates.A special thaw, outside normal season, is January thaw.
January thaw
The January thaw is an observed but unexplained temperature rise in mid-
winter found in mid-latitude North America .Sinusoid al estimates of expected temperatures, for northern locales, usually place the lowest temperatures aroundJanuary 23 and the highest aroundJuly 24 , and provide fairly accurate estimates of temperature expectations. Actual average temperatures in North America usually significantly differ twice over the course of the year:* Mid-autumn temperatures tend to be warmer than predicted by the
sinusoidal model , creating the impression of extended summer warmth known asIndian summer .
* For five days aroundJanuary 25 , temperatures are usually significantly warmer than predicted by the sinusoidal estimate, and also warmer than neighboring temperatures on both sides.During this "thaw" period, usually lasting for about a week, temperatures are generally about 10 °F (6 °C) above normal. This varies from year to year, and temperatures fluctuate enough that such a rise in late-January temperature would be unremarkable; what is remarkable (and unexplained) is the tendency for such rises to occur more commonly in late-January than in mid-January or early February, which sinusoidal estimates have to be slightly warmer.
In some regions (such as northern
Canada ) this phenomenon will not be manifest as a "thaw" in the technical sense, since temperatures will remain below freezing.The January thaw is believed to be a weather singularity.
External links
* [http://www.islandnet.com/~see/weather/almanac/arc2002/alm02jan2.htm "January Thaw: Winter Cold Relief"]
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