- Littlewood's law
Littlewood's Law states that individuals can expect a
miracle to happen to them at the rate of about one per month.The law was framed by Cambridge University Professor
J. E. Littlewood , and published in a collection of his work, "A Mathematician's Miscellany"; it seeks (among other things) to debunk one element of supposedsupernatural phenomenology and is related to the more general "Law of Truly Large Numbers ", which states that with a sample size large enough, any outrageous thing is likely to happen.Littlewood's law, making certain suppositions, is explained as follows: Littlewood defines a miracle as an exceptional event of special significance occurring at a frequency of one in a million; during the hours in which a human is awake and alert, a human will experience one thing per second (for instance, seeing the computer screen, the keyboard, the mouse, the article, etc.); additionally, a human is alert for about eight hours per day; and as a result, a human will, in 35 days, have experienced, under these suppositions, 1,008,000 things. Accepting this definition of a miracle, one can be expected to observe one miraculous occurrence within the passing of every 35 consecutive days -- and therefore, according to this reasoning, seemingly miraculous events are actually commonplace.
References
*"Littlewood's Miscellany", edited by
B. Bollobás ,Cambridge University Press ; 1986. ISBN 0-521-33702-X
*"Debunked! ESP, Telekinesis, Other Pseudoscience",Georges Charpak andHenri Broch , translated from the French byBart K. Holland ,Johns Hopkins University Press . ISBN 0-8018-7867-5See also
*
Coincidence
*Contingency
*Confirmation bias
*Law of Truly Large Numbers
*Adages named after people
*Synchronicity External links
* [http://www.nybooks.com/articles/16991 Littlewood's Law] described in a review of "Debunked! ESP, Telekinesis, Other Pseudoscience" by
Freeman J. Dyson , in theNew York Review of Books . Full article requires purchase.
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