Iraqi presidential election, 1995

The Iraqi presidential election of 1995 took place on October 15 of that year. It was the first presidential election under the rule of Saddam Hussein, who had taken power in 1979. Taking the form of a referendum with no opposition candidates, the election involved giving voters paper ballots that said: "Do you agree that Saddam Hussein should be the president of the Republic of Iraq for another seven years?" They then used pens to mark "yes" or "no". [Youssef M. Ibrahim, "Iraqis Go to Polls; Guess Who Will Win", "The New York Times", October 15, 1995] The next day, Izzat Ibrahim, Hussein's deputy in the ruling Revolutionary Command Council (RCC), announced the incumbent had won 99.96% of some 8.4 million valid votes cast. Officially, 3,052 people voted against him (45 of them in BaghdadYahia, Latif and Wendl, Karl. "I Was Saddam's Son", p.281-2. Arcade Publishing (1997), ISBN 1559703733] ), ["No Surprise in Iraqi Vote", "The New York Times", October 17, 1995. Ibrahim declared: "It is an immortal day in the history of Arabism and Islam. It is a blow to the states that have harbored enmity toward Iraq and raised unjustified doubts about the legitimacy of its regime or the right of its people to choose the form of government they like."] and turnout was 99.47%. [Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce and Root, Hilton L. "Governing for Prosperity", p.62. Yale University Press (2000), ISBN 0300080182] The international community reacted with widespread incredulity to these figures.Taylor & Francis Group. "The Middle East and North Africa 2004", p.465. Routledge (2003), ISBN 1857431847]

The election was prompted by the August defection to Jordan of senior government officials Hussein Kamel and Saddam Kamel and their wives. During the crisis that followed, Saddam took steps to control the damage; the referendum was an attempt to shore up his claim to legitimacy. [Freedman, Robert Owen. "The Middle East and the Peace Process: The Impact of the Oslo Accords", p.229. University Press of Florida (1998), ISBN 0813015545] At a September 7 meeting of the RCC, an interim amendment to the Constitution was approved whereby its chairman would automatically assume the presidency, subject to approval of the National Assembly and endorsement by national plebiscite. Parliament approved his candidacy on September 10, setting the stage for the meticulously-organised election.

Prior to the election, Baath Party members visited homes, making sure to ask if households had ration cards (at the time, food was scarce as a result of the Iraq sanctions); the clear implication was that the wrong kind of vote could mean no food. [Purdum, Todd. S. "A Time of Our Choosing: America's War in Iraq", p.25. Macmillan (2003), ISBN 0805075623] Voters were required to name relatives on their ballots and, according to some opposition reports, were threatened with punishment against their families if they voted "no". In a November report, the UN Special Rapporteur noted that because of the intrusiveness of the security apparatus "virtually no citizen would risk demonstrating any opposition to the Presidency or Government—or would do so at his mortal peril"; [Cordesman, Anthony H. and Hashim, Ahmed. "Iraq: Sanctions and Beyond", p.117. Westview Press (1997), ISBN 0813332362] the notion that opponents would face some sort of retribution was shared by most observers. [Kryzanek, Michael J. "Comparative Politics: A Policy Approach", p.440. Westview Press (2003), ISBN 0813397928] During the election, which served to emphasize that the Baath Party and the RCC were the country's true centres of power, loyal and tenacious party cadres brought voters in droves to the polling stations, [Hiro, Dilip. "Iraq: In the Eye of the Storm", p.66. Thunder's Mouth Press (2002), ISBN 1560254777] themselves swamped with pro-Hussein propaganda. ["Iraqis Go to Polls to Vote on Hussein", "The New York Times", October 16, 1995] The result confirmed that Iraqis' fear of Saddam was greater than the severe hardship that had resulted from the sanctions. [Mackey, Sandra. "The Reckoning: Iraq and the Legacy of Saddam Hussein", p.305. W. W. Norton & Company (2002), ISBN 0393324281]

The campaign involved unending glorification of Saddam; for instance, General Ali Hassan al-Majid declared, "O lofty mountain! O glory of Iraq! By God we have always found you in the most difficult conditions a roaring lion and a courageous horseman, one of the few true men".Hiro, Dilip. "Neighbors, Not Friends: Iraq and Iran after the Gulf Wars", p.97. Routledge (2001), ISBN 0415254124] Saddam himself never appeared in public prior to the election, but paid supporters streamed through the streets, shouting "Naam, naam, Saddam" ("Yes, yes, Saddam"). A highlight came four days prior to the vote at an Iraq-Qatar football game, when a dejected, pensive-looking Uday Hussein (normally glamorized) was shown on television, upset by what the announcer claimed was a (probably fictitious) fire that Saddam had set to his expensive cars as punishment for attacking Watban Ibrahim al-Tikriti and for the defections; soon afterward, Uday's role was increased as he sought to lure the men and their wives back to Iraq.

Confident of popular participation, the government invited some 500 foreign journalists to witness the exercise; turnout (at least in Baghdad) was large enough to impress the visiting reporters, although the official figure was doubtless exaggerated. One Western ambassador was impressed by the show of force involved, including a unanimous vote from Karbala (centre of the 1991 Shiite uprising against Saddam): "If this referendum proves anything, it is that the party is firmly in control of Iraq and Saddam runs it with an iron fist. If they can organize a referendum like this in less than three weeks, mobilize party cadres in every village, hamlet, town and city, produce precise lists for eight million voters and march all of them to the polls to say 'yes' unanimously, it means they are not about to fall".Youssef M. Ibrahim, "Vote Leaves Iraqi as Winner and West at a Loss", "The New York Times", October 18, 1995]

The most common sentiment heard from ordinary voters was that Saddam had managed to keep the country together and provided strong leadership, implying his overthrow would lead to the sort of chaos seen in Bosnia or Lebanon. The top foreign observer was nationalist Russian politician Vladimir Zhirinovsky, who was treated to a palace feast with Hussein, Tariq Aziz and other top officials shortly before voting began. Following the election, on October 17 Hussein was sworn into his new term in a televised ceremony; Aziz pledged political reforms, including parliamentary elections that took place the following year.

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